FHFA – Federal Financial Analytics

20 03, 2023

FedFin Analysis: Possible Cures for a Viral Run

Eliza Allen2023-03-20T16:12:34-04:00March 20th, 2023|The Vault|

Among the most vexing issues in the wake of SVB’s failure is the extent to which social media may have led to the first “viral run,” a run akin to the meme-stock volatility that lead the SEC and others to fear a new form of “flash-crash” risk. In this report, we assess current policy options related to deposit runs resulting from social media, an issue cited frequently by HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) as a top priority as he begins work on post-SVB financial standards. We note some remedies – e.g., a ban on deposit-related communication were they permissible under various constitutional and statutory free-speech edicts.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

20 03, 2023

LIQUIDITY33

Eliza Allen2023-03-20T16:12:26-04:00March 20th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Analysis: Possible Cures for a Viral Run

Among the most vexing issues in the wake of SVB’s failure is the extent to which social media may have led to the first “viral run,” a run akin to the meme-stock volatility that lead the SEC and others to fear a new form of “flash-crash” risk. In this report, we assess current policy options related to deposit runs resulting from social media, an issue cited frequently by HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) as a top priority as he begins work on post-SVB financial standards. We note some remedies – e.g., a ban on deposit-related communication were they permissible under various constitutional and statutory free-speech edicts. In this report, we thus assess tools more readily at hand that federal regulators might deploy now that social media’s destabilizing impact has been recognized, noting the challenges of forestalling runs without at the same time providing opinions on individual banking organizations or issuing preemptive systemic protections that would have the effect of eliminating deposit-insurance limits. This report will thus also assess other options, including standards prohibiting deposit-related “exclusivity” requirements, dedicated Fed liquidity facilities, and revisions to the liquidity rules. Options to revise FDIC coverage to address this risk through structural changes to coverage thresholds will be detailed in a forthcoming Petrou op-ed.

LIQUIDITY33.pdf…

20 03, 2023

FedFin on: The Collateral Damage of the Banking Crisis

Eliza Allen2023-03-20T14:30:07-04:00March 20th, 2023|The Vault|

In this report, we build on FedFin’s in-depth reports about recent bank failures to detail new risks for all of the innocent bystanders in the U.S. mortgage market along with a not so-innocent bystander: the Federal Home Loan Banks. We note also some take-aways FHFA may draw from the crisis with regard to GSE regulation, resolution, and supervision. In short, things will be different assuming they don’t get worse and then still more of a paradigm shift.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

20 03, 2023

GSE-032023

Eliza Allen2023-03-20T13:51:11-04:00March 20th, 2023|4- GSE Activity Report|

The Collateral Damage Of The Banking Crisis

In this report, we build on FedFin’s in-depth reports about recent bank failures to detail new risks for all of the innocent bystanders in the U.S. mortgage market along with a not so-innocent bystander: the Federal Home Loan Banks. We note also some take-aways FHFA may draw from the crisis with regard to GSE regulation, resolution, and supervision. In short, things will be different assuming they don’t get worse and then still more of a paradigm shift.

GSE-032023.pdf…

15 03, 2023

DAILY031523

Eliza Allen2023-03-15T16:58:30-04:00March 15th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Waters Reiterates ICE/BKI Opposition

HFSC Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) released a statement today applauding the FTC’s move to block Intercontinental Exchange from acquiring the mortgage software company Black Knight.

Progressives Press For Tailoring Redo

Cementing prior denouncements of 2018 Dodd-Frank “rollbacks” into legislative action, 17 Democratic senators and 31 House Members today took direct aim at Trump-era banking policy by introducing legislation that would repeal Title IV of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act.

Bowman Presses Small-Bank Mergers, Climate Caution, Third-Party Guardrails

In remarks today, FRB Governor Bowman noted that delays in merger reviews cause significant operational and reputational risks and suggested considering all competitors when evaluating a small bank merger’s competitive effect to reduce delays.

New CFPB RFI Brings Data Brokers Under Scrutiny

Ahead of a planned rulemaking, the CFPB today released an RFI seeking comments on the business practices of data brokers, focusing on new business models to determine if certain practices fall under the scope of FCRA.

Warren, Blumenthal Call on DOJ, SEC to Investigate SVB

Although media reports indicate that an investigation is already under way, Sens. Warren (D-MA) and Blumenthal (D-CT) sent a letter today to Attorney General Garland and SEC Chairman Gensler urging them to investigate senior SVB officials if they are not already doing so.

FHFA Delays New DTI-Based Upfront Fee

Following an announcement this January that FHFA would implement changes to Fannie and Freddie’s single-family pricing framework, Director Thompson today announced that the Agency will delay the effective …

15 03, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Post-SVB Deposit Insurance Reform

Arezou Rafikian2023-03-15T16:58:47-04:00March 15th, 2023|The Vault|

Cementing prior denouncements of 2018 Dodd-Frank “rollbacks” into legislative action, 17 Democratic senators and 31 House Members today took direct aim at Trump-era banking policy by introducing legislation that would repeal Title IV of the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. But, while this initiative is gaining considerable attention, its legislative prospects are dim – indeed, even Senate Banking Committee Chairman Brown (D-OH) suggested as much…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.

…

15 03, 2023

DEPOSITINSURANCE118

Eliza Allen2023-03-15T12:48:33-04:00March 15th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: Post-SVB Deposit Insurance Reform

As promised in our first post-SVB impact assessment (see Client Report RESOLVE49), this report begins a series of analyses of specific policy issues. We start here with possible changes to FDIC insurance based on comments from Reps. Maxine Waters (D-CA), Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-MO), and other arguing either that the $250,000 limit for FDIC coverage needs to be eliminated or sharply increased. We also analyze the prospects for shifting the burden of higher DIF premiums to large banks as recommended by the ICBA, ending the FHLB’s super-lien due to the resulting, significant increase in FDIC resolution costs in recent failures, changes to the treatment of brokered deposits, and revisions to the FDIC’s overall risk-based assessment system (see FSM Report DEPOSITINSURANCE96). Other resolution issues – e.g., the future of proposed regional-bank standards (see FSM Report RESOLVE48) and bank merger policy will be covered in future reports along with the prospects for significant changes in bank capital, liquidity, and other prudential standards.

DEPOSITINSURANCE118.pdf…

13 03, 2023

DAILY031323

Eliza Allen2023-03-13T17:25:04-04:00March 13th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Biden Promises Regulatory Revamp

In an effort to restore confidence in the banking system, President Biden announced that he will ask Congress and the banking regulators to strengthen regulations that were rolled back by the Trump administration.

Political Battle Lines Take Shape

In the wake of yesterday’s decision to protect all SVB depositors, Members of Congress are now positioning themselves for future action.

Biden Presses Stability in Wake of SVB, Signature Rescues

Reflecting ongoing uncertainties and political fallout, President Biden later this morning reiterated comments from earlier today noted in our prior alert.

Comment Deadline Set for GSE Capital Proposal

The Federal Register today includes the FHFA’s proposal to refine Fannie and Freddie’s capital construct.

Fed Tries to Get Ahead of SVB Storm

Even as Sen. Hagerty (R-TN) led calls to review Fed supervision, the Fed today announced that Vice Chair Barr will lead a review of SVB’s supervision and regulation.

Daily031323.pdf…

27 02, 2023

GSE-022723

Max Camateros-Mann2023-02-27T12:12:01-05:00February 27th, 2023|4- GSE Activity Report|

A Consequential Capital Clean-Up

FHFA has proposed a set of refinements to the current GSE capital construct.

GSE-022723.pdf…

24 02, 2023

DAILY022423

Eliza Allen2023-02-24T16:55:41-05:00February 24th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

HFSC Starts With A Bang

On Tuesday, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) honors his commitment to advance significant legislation with what is sure to be a raucous mark-up. Most importantly, Chairman McHenry will bring up a bill yet to be introduced rewriting consumer-data privacy standards.

FHFA New-Product Vetting Delayed

FHFA today pushed back the effective date of its New-Product Rule by sixty days on grounds that more time is needed for the agency and the GSEs to develop the internal processes necessary for compliance. The former effective date was February 27; the new effective date is April 28.

HFSC Set To Lock Horns On Data Privacy

With the opening quote in his release making clear that this will be a partisan fight, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) formally introduced the privacy legislation that, as noted earlier today, is now set for Tuesday’s mark-up.

CFPB Begins Administrative Adjudication, Speeding Enforcement Actions

The CFPB today finalized new adjudication rules that add administrative adjudication to its usual course of seeking redress in federal district courts. The agency argues that predecessors from which Dodd-Frank drew its responsibilities use administrative adjudication and it is thus within the CFPB’s purview now also to do so.

Daily022423.pdf…