#FSOC – Federal Financial Analytics

6 03, 2023

DAILY030623

Eliza Allen2023-03-06T16:54:30-05:00March 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Revs Up Fight Vs. Big-Bank Capital Hikes

Firing a fusillade ahead of capital rewrites expected late this month, Senate Banking Republicans late Friday sent FRB Chairman Powell a letter arguing strongly against capital increases and laying out a strong view that the agencies are required by law to tailor key standards.

BIS Project Finds Retail-CBDC Cross-Border Benefits

In a project boosting retail CBDC, the BIS Innovation Hub today announced the results of Project Icebreaker, a cross-border retail CBDC pilot between Sweden, Norway, and Israel.

GOP Will Deploy IGs To Demand Fed, CFPB, SEC Reform

In addition to a hearing that morning with Chairman Powell, the full HFSC will call federal banking agencies on the carpet Wednesday for “wasteful” spending and other governance issues.

Dems Beg Gensler Not to Scrap Scope 3 Climate Disclosures

Responding to intense GOP opposition to the SEC’s climate disclosure proposal, fifty Congressional Democrats led by Sen. Warren (D-MA) sent a letter to SEC Chairman Gensler today urging him not to scale the proposal back, especially its Scope 3 provisions.

Treasury Wants Fast NBFI, OEF, Crypto Standards

Treasury International Affairs Under-Secretary Jay Shambaugh today outlined U.S. priorities, emphasizing not only the importance of containing Russia and countering new threats, but also quickly advancing numerous global initiatives.

Hsu Pushes To Start The End Game

Acting Comptroller Hsu today reiterated his determination to act as quickly as possible on Basel’s end-game rules, noting the interagency statement last year that this would soon be done without providing …

21 02, 2023

Karen Petrou: FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

Arezou Rafikian2023-02-21T11:15:33-05:00February 21st, 2023|The Vault|

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own. Two conclusions came to light: the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

First to the capital rewrites and how costly they could be. In its most recent NBFI review, the FSB took sharp issue with the extent to which the U.S. has taken sufficient steps to curb the inter-connected risks to NBFIs evident even before the 2020 market collapse. We expect the banking agencies not only to issue the end-game rules discussed in my last memo, but also to make good on the U.S. promise to Basel well before the game nominally ended with the 2017 revisions.

This means new capital standards costing banks big when it comes to bank equity investments in funds and higher risk weightings for exposures to unregulated financial institutions. It also means new capital requirements absorbing “step-in” risk – i.e., the extent to which reputational risk forces banks to stand by their off-balance sheet funds, SIVs, or other instrumentalities. Two banks in fact supported affiliated funds in MMFs during the 2020 …

21 02, 2023

M022123

Eliza Allen2023-02-21T11:15:27-05:00February 21st, 2023|6- Client Memo|

FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own. Two conclusions came to light: the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

m022123.pdf…

6 02, 2023

DAILY020623

Eliza Allen2023-02-06T16:57:16-05:00February 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Confirms Regional-Bank Struggle Following LIBOR Transition

A new Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff study and blog post reaffirms many regional-bank fears about the LIBOR transition not fully allayed by compromise provisions in the Fed’s recent benchmark-setting regulation (see FSM Report LIBOR9). Focusing on the credit-line sector (which is largely unfunded), the paper finds that the likely cost of bank wholesale funding under stress will sharply exceed that earned on corporate-line drawdowns priced to SOFR, with these spreads likely especially wide for regional banks. The paper’s models and data thus lead to the conclusion that the shift to SOFR will decrease line availability.

Barr Prioritizes Privacy, Small-Bank Capital, FSOC Restraints

A new staff memo provides not only the agenda for Wednesday’s House Financial Institutions & Monetary Policy Subcommittee, but also the priorities Chairman Barr (R-KY) will pursue with regard to financial regulation. Key concerns are encouraging fintech, data privacy (a priority issue also for Chairman McHenry), facilitating de novo charters, and holding the banking agencies accountable. Bills on which a record will be established is one yet to be introduced to revise the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act’s privacy standards to stipulate federal preemption, expand coverage and give consumers rights akin to those now also under consideration by the CFPB for a limited number of banking activities (see FSM Report DATA3).

Daily020623.pdf…

12 01, 2023

DAILY011223

Eliza Allen2023-01-12T16:51:37-05:00January 12th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OCC Tightens Fair-Lending Review

Acting Comptroller Hsu took the occasion today of release of a new fair-lending manual to emphasize the OCC’s commitment to ending credit discrimination.

McHenry Chairmanship Starts With CFPB Confrontation

In his first financial-policy action since becoming HFSC Chairman, Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) today blasted the Bureau and its “reckless” Director for what he described as expanding its authority beyond congressional intent.

FRB-NY Staff Renew Debate Over FBO Liquidity, Market Impact

A new post from FRB-NY staff assesses the funding strategies of FBO branches and agencies to judge their current impact setting dollar-liquidity pricing in the U.S. wholesale funding market.

OFR Cites Heightened Systemic Risk, MMF Worries

In its annual report on 2021, OFR has concluded that financial stability risks are generally elevated due to macroeconomic tightening, inflation, climate change and volatility in Treasury, crypto, and commodity markets.

DOJ Lands Unprecedented Redlining Settlement

Continuing the Administration’s racial-equity campaign, the Department of Justice today announced an historic settlement with City National Bank.

Daily011223.pdf…

5 01, 2023

DAILY010523

Eliza Allen2023-01-05T17:01:33-05:00January 5th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OFR Tackles Repo-Market Data Transparency

As pressed by the FSOC (see Client Report FSOC28), OFR today released a sweeping proposal to gather daily data on the uncleared bilateral repo market. The proposal follows a data-collection pilot that leads OFR now to detail 33 daily reporting items that would be collected from the forty largest bank and nonbank primary dealers in this systemic-critical sector.

OCC Reiterates Long Term Principles

The OCC today published its 2022 Annual Report, revealing little of its priorities for 2023. It does, however, reiterate long-term goals laid out by Acting Comptroller Hsu, including guarding against complacency, addressing inequality, adapting to digitalization, and managing climate risk.

Daily010523.pdf…

30 12, 2022

Al010223

Max Camateros-Mann2022-12-30T12:27:06-05:00December 30th, 2022|3- This Week|

Warming up for 2023

The last thing another pandemic-saddled holiday season needed was a nation-wide winter weather event and major airline cataclysm, but a year that brought us the Ukraine war and inflation levels not seen since the 1980’s was sure to sign off with a bit of chaos. We hope you were still able to celebrate and aren’t missing any luggage. Despite it all, global and U.S. financial regulators advanced many significant issues through the holidays. To help you catch up, here’s a round-up of what we sent over the past two weeks sure to come immediately into focus as critical issues advance:

Al010223.pdf…

20 12, 2022

DAILY122022

Eliza Allen2022-12-20T17:18:34-05:00December 20th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

CFPB Reaches Massive, Policy-Setting WFC Agreement

The CFPB today reached a landmark and perhaps even unprecedented $3.7 billion settlement with Wells Fargo on an array of “surprise-fee” and bad-practice allegations. Because of the scope of this action and Director Chopra’s plans to use it as grounds for still greater penalties against WFC, we will shortly provide clients with an in-depth analysis of its policy and strategic implications.

Despite Fears, FSB Finds NBFIs Sound In 2021

Although the FSB’s most recent NBFI report (see Client Report NBFI2) and FSOC’s new annual update (see Client Report FSOC28) cite investment funds as a significant concern, FSB’s latest NBFI 2021 monitoring report concludes that most balance-sheet risk measures remained stable. It does note that collective investment vehicles – a category that subsumes MMFs and other funds – experienced the largest growth in the report’s “narrow measure” and continued to have elevated levels of credit intermediation and liquidity and maturity transformation.

Daily122022.pdf…

19 12, 2022

FedFin on: FSOC Targets Usual Suspects but Also Points to Big-BHC, Nonbank Mortgage Systemic Risk

Arezou Rafikian2023-01-03T15:56:33-05:00December 19th, 2022|The Vault|

As promised, this FedFin report provides an in-depth analysis of FSOC’s 2022 annual report, focusing on findings with near-term policy implications. As always, the report is lengthy and includes many observations and market details that provide insight into Treasury and member-agency-staff thought. Much in it reiterates concerns about short-term funding markets, CCPs, and….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

19 12, 2022

FSOC28

Eliza Allen2022-12-19T13:00:38-05:00December 19th, 2022|5- Client Report|

FSOC Targets Usual Suspects but Also Points to Big-BHC, Nonbank Mortgage Systemic Risk

As promised, this FedFin report provides an in-depth analysis of FSOC’s 2022 annual report, focusing on findings with near-term policy implications. As always, the report is lengthy and includes many observations and market details that provide insight into Treasury and member-agency-staff thought. Much in it reiterates concerns about short-term funding markets, CCPs, and investment funds (with FSOC for the first time urging regulators to look not only at MMFs and OEFs, but also at collective investment vehicles). As previously noted, the report is relatively sanguine about digital-asset systemic risk but, also reiterates findings in FSOC’s report (see Client Report CRYPTO33) demanding rapid action on a raft of reforms in this high-risk sector. What surprised us is the discussion of large BHCs, which departs from longstanding Fed and FSOC comfort in the post-GFC regulatory regime for this sector.

FSOC28.pdf…