#FSOC – Page 2 – Federal Financial Analytics

3 04, 2023

REFORM219

Eliza Allen2023-04-03T11:07:12-04:00April 3rd, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Forecast: Probable Changes to Bank Supervision, Regulation, Law

With Thursday’s White House announcement, we know that the Administration will do its best to support Fed and FDIC efforts to color recent events as a failure of Republican-led rulemaking, not also one of agency supervisory acumen, speed, and even competence. So far, key Democrats are instead pursuing a two-track strategy: complaining mightily about Trump-era rules but also joining with Republicans to cite an array of supervisory lapses they want quickly remediated by new standards, new rules, and – if need be – also by new law. Indeed, on Friday, Democrats made it clear that they want considerably more from the Administration than the fixes on which the agencies prefer to focus. Given how much is in motion and how much could advance, this report details FedFin’s forecast for near-term action in each of these arenas, focusing on matters with broad industry impact rather than specific SVB/Signature- enforcement issues. We thus provide forecast for immediate supervisory actions, those Congress will demand, new rules (tailoring and beyond), and the few legislative initiatives we believe have a reasonable chance of passage and Presidential approval.

REFORM219.pdf…

31 03, 2023

DAILY033123

Eliza Allen2023-03-31T16:49:24-04:00March 31st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Senate Presses Fed Transparency, Accountability

Responding in part to testimony earlier this week (see Client Report REFORM217), Sens. Tillis (R-NC), Warren (D-MA), and seven colleagues have introduced legislation (S. 1160) to bring Federal Reserve Banks under the FOIA and force greater responsiveness to Congress – a response also to last year’s battle over master-account data and continuing crypto controversies. The measure would also mandate an independent IG, force the Fed to respond to Congressional ethics inquiries, and allow Senate Banking and HFSC bipartisan leadership to review confidential supervisory data. Sen. Tillis and three other Republicans also introduced S. 1155 to redesign the Fed.

Senate Dems Implicitly Chide Administration Reg-Reform Agenda, Demand Holistic Assessment

Following one of the somewhat surprising lines of inquiry at Senate Banking’s SVB hearing, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) and all the Committee Democrats today pressed back against the list of rules the White House yesterday prioritized for rewrites. While they did not take issue with that list, they also want FSOC to undertake a holistic review of banking, consumer, and systemic rules, noting the importance in this effort of also protecting small banks from undue harm. The senators expressly want FSOC to go beyond the President’s focus on what they call “traditional” prudential standards also to examine non-quantifiable risks such as social media and AI.

Daily033123.pdf…

30 03, 2023

DAILY033023

Eliza Allen2023-03-30T17:27:30-04:00March 30th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Yellen Calls for Bank, Nonbank Regulatory Rewrite

Implicitly confirming press reports that the White House will soon press for tougher bank rules, Treasury Secretary Yellen today said that, as beneficial as the rules imposed since the great financial crisis have been, more stringent standards are necessary.

Hsu Sets Dual OCC Mission: Safety, Fairness

In remarks today, Acting Comptroller Hsu emphatically echoed statements of other top regulators that the banking system is safe and sound, emphasizing that the OCC is monitoring the market and is prepared to use its tools to protect the system.

Basel Updates Global Liquidity, Operational Standards

Although the U.S. has still not even proposed the Basel IV “end-game” standards, the Basel Committee continues to refine them and today issued its latest set of FAQs.

White House Sets Reg-Reform Agenda

As anticipated early this morning, the White House has issued a statement calling on federal banking agencies to roll back rules the President describes as weakening “common-sense bank safety and supervision.”

Senate Dems Press Agencies to Strengthen Capital Rules

Following this week’s hearings (see Client Report REFORM218), Sens. Warren (D-MA), Blumenthal (D-CT), and Duckworth (D-IL) sent a letter to Vice Chair Barr, Chairman Gruenberg, and Acting Comptroller Hsu urging them to strengthen large-bank capital requirements.

CFPB Stands By Its Small-Business Reporting Rules

Despite strong industry and GOP opposition, the CFPB today finalized its small business data collection rulemaking in a sweeping final rule the Bureau says will increase transparency in small business lending, promote economic …

24 03, 2023

DAILY032423

Eliza Allen2023-03-24T17:13:54-04:00March 24th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Expands Attack On Fed Supervisory Actions

In yet another letter ahead of next week’s hearings, Senate Banking Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) and all Republican Members of the committee asked Fed Chairman Powell and FRB-SF President Daly a series of questions asserting that SVB’s failure reflects significant supervisory lapses.

FSOC Breaks The Glass

Although there is no formal announcement, FSOC will hold what is clearly an emergency, closed meeting later today per a new media advisory.

Top HFSC Republicans Join SVB-Supervisory Inquest

Following a similar letter from Senate Banking Republicans earlier today, HFSC Subcommittee Chairmans Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) along with Rep. Kim (R-CA) sent yet another letter to Vice Chair Barr and FRB-SF President Daly also demanding detailed supervisory-related information on SVB.

Reserve Banks Promise to Bear Some Sometime Soon

Under ever-growing pressure, all of the Federal Reserve Banks today under the New York Fed’s aegis announced a common transparency policy.

HFSC GOP Targets State Bank Supervisors

Top House Republicans today brought state banking commissions into the SVB and SBNY fray, asking each for extensive details on recent actions and setting the April 6 deadline now evident in all recent GOP requests in this arena.

GOP Leaders Also Demand FSOC Answers

HFSC Subcommittee Chairman Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) today also sent letters to FSOC Chair Yellen and Council of Inspectors General on Financial Oversight Chair Delmar requesting detailed information on meetings surrounding the banking agencies’ March 12 decision to invoke a systemic risk exception for SVB …

22 03, 2023

DAILY032223

Eliza Allen2023-03-22T17:37:57-04:00March 22nd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FTC Builds On Treasury Cloud Concerns, Seeks Competition, AI Views

Signaling apprehension about a number of risks outlined in a recent Treasury report, the FTC today requested comment on the business practices of cloud computing providers.

Scott, Warren Reach Over Partisan, Ideological Divide to Blast the Fed

Demonstrating the confluence of populist and progressive thinking about the Fed we anticipated at the start of this year, Sens. Rick Scott (R-FL) and Warren (D-MA) have introduced legislation mandating that the Fed’s inspector general be fully independent of the chair and board of governors.

Fed Under Still More Pressure to Boost Regional-Bank Supervision

Sen. Warren (D-MA) continued her prolific letter-writing campaign, today also joining with Sens. Duckworth (D-IL), Blumenthal (D-CT), Sanders (I-VT), Reed (D-RI), Hirono (D-HI), Markey (D-MA), King (I-ME), Whitehouse (D-RI), Smith (D-MN), Van Hollen (D-MD), and Schatz (D-HI) to call upon Vice Chairman Barr quickly to heighten regulatory standards for banking organizations between $100 and $250 billion.

Powell Protests Suggestions Of Fed Supervisory Error

At his press conference today, Chairman Powell sought to defend the Fed so vigorously that some of his comments may ignite still more criticism.

Yellen Denies FDIC-Coverage Rewrite, Suggests Need for Liquidity-Rule Revisions

In her appearance today before the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Financial Services and General Government, Treasury Secretary Yellen refuted press reports that Treasury is considering significant deposit-insurance coverage expansion, saying only that the banking system is safe and it is too soon to consider structural reforms.

Daily032223.pdf…

6 03, 2023

DAILY030623

Eliza Allen2023-03-06T16:54:30-05:00March 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Revs Up Fight Vs. Big-Bank Capital Hikes

Firing a fusillade ahead of capital rewrites expected late this month, Senate Banking Republicans late Friday sent FRB Chairman Powell a letter arguing strongly against capital increases and laying out a strong view that the agencies are required by law to tailor key standards.

BIS Project Finds Retail-CBDC Cross-Border Benefits

In a project boosting retail CBDC, the BIS Innovation Hub today announced the results of Project Icebreaker, a cross-border retail CBDC pilot between Sweden, Norway, and Israel.

GOP Will Deploy IGs To Demand Fed, CFPB, SEC Reform

In addition to a hearing that morning with Chairman Powell, the full HFSC will call federal banking agencies on the carpet Wednesday for “wasteful” spending and other governance issues.

Dems Beg Gensler Not to Scrap Scope 3 Climate Disclosures

Responding to intense GOP opposition to the SEC’s climate disclosure proposal, fifty Congressional Democrats led by Sen. Warren (D-MA) sent a letter to SEC Chairman Gensler today urging him not to scale the proposal back, especially its Scope 3 provisions.

Treasury Wants Fast NBFI, OEF, Crypto Standards

Treasury International Affairs Under-Secretary Jay Shambaugh today outlined U.S. priorities, emphasizing not only the importance of containing Russia and countering new threats, but also quickly advancing numerous global initiatives.

Hsu Pushes To Start The End Game

Acting Comptroller Hsu today reiterated his determination to act as quickly as possible on Basel’s end-game rules, noting the interagency statement last year that this would soon be done without providing …

21 02, 2023

Karen Petrou: FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

Arezou Rafikian2023-02-21T11:15:33-05:00February 21st, 2023|The Vault|

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own. Two conclusions came to light: the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

First to the capital rewrites and how costly they could be. In its most recent NBFI review, the FSB took sharp issue with the extent to which the U.S. has taken sufficient steps to curb the inter-connected risks to NBFIs evident even before the 2020 market collapse. We expect the banking agencies not only to issue the end-game rules discussed in my last memo, but also to make good on the U.S. promise to Basel well before the game nominally ended with the 2017 revisions.

This means new capital standards costing banks big when it comes to bank equity investments in funds and higher risk weightings for exposures to unregulated financial institutions. It also means new capital requirements absorbing “step-in” risk – i.e., the extent to which reputational risk forces banks to stand by their off-balance sheet funds, SIVs, or other instrumentalities. Two banks in fact supported affiliated funds in MMFs during the 2020 …

21 02, 2023

M022123

Eliza Allen2023-02-21T11:15:27-05:00February 21st, 2023|6- Client Memo|

FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own. Two conclusions came to light: the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

m022123.pdf…

6 02, 2023

DAILY020623

Eliza Allen2023-02-06T16:57:16-05:00February 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Confirms Regional-Bank Struggle Following LIBOR Transition

A new Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff study and blog post reaffirms many regional-bank fears about the LIBOR transition not fully allayed by compromise provisions in the Fed’s recent benchmark-setting regulation (see FSM Report LIBOR9). Focusing on the credit-line sector (which is largely unfunded), the paper finds that the likely cost of bank wholesale funding under stress will sharply exceed that earned on corporate-line drawdowns priced to SOFR, with these spreads likely especially wide for regional banks. The paper’s models and data thus lead to the conclusion that the shift to SOFR will decrease line availability.

Barr Prioritizes Privacy, Small-Bank Capital, FSOC Restraints

A new staff memo provides not only the agenda for Wednesday’s House Financial Institutions & Monetary Policy Subcommittee, but also the priorities Chairman Barr (R-KY) will pursue with regard to financial regulation. Key concerns are encouraging fintech, data privacy (a priority issue also for Chairman McHenry), facilitating de novo charters, and holding the banking agencies accountable. Bills on which a record will be established is one yet to be introduced to revise the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act’s privacy standards to stipulate federal preemption, expand coverage and give consumers rights akin to those now also under consideration by the CFPB for a limited number of banking activities (see FSM Report DATA3).

Daily020623.pdf…

12 01, 2023

DAILY011223

Eliza Allen2023-01-12T16:51:37-05:00January 12th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OCC Tightens Fair-Lending Review

Acting Comptroller Hsu took the occasion today of release of a new fair-lending manual to emphasize the OCC’s commitment to ending credit discrimination.

McHenry Chairmanship Starts With CFPB Confrontation

In his first financial-policy action since becoming HFSC Chairman, Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-NC) today blasted the Bureau and its “reckless” Director for what he described as expanding its authority beyond congressional intent.

FRB-NY Staff Renew Debate Over FBO Liquidity, Market Impact

A new post from FRB-NY staff assesses the funding strategies of FBO branches and agencies to judge their current impact setting dollar-liquidity pricing in the U.S. wholesale funding market.

OFR Cites Heightened Systemic Risk, MMF Worries

In its annual report on 2021, OFR has concluded that financial stability risks are generally elevated due to macroeconomic tightening, inflation, climate change and volatility in Treasury, crypto, and commodity markets.

DOJ Lands Unprecedented Redlining Settlement

Continuing the Administration’s racial-equity campaign, the Department of Justice today announced an historic settlement with City National Bank.

Daily011223.pdf…