#GSIB – Page 2 – Federal Financial Analytics

14 12, 2023

DAILY121423

Arezou Rafikian2023-12-15T17:22:54-05:00December 14th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Top Senate Democrats Heighten Payment App Scrutiny

Continuing to shift their focus from Zelle to payment-service providers, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) along with Sens. Reed (D-RI) and Warren (D-MA) today sent letters to Paypal and CashApp urging them to adopt new scam-reimbursement policies.

Treasury Defends Russian Sanctions, Economic-Warfare Clout

Facing increasing assertions that U.S.-led sanctions are not meaningfully affecting Russia, Treasury today issued a blog stoutly defending sanctions effectiveness.

Reed Presses OFR to Subpoena Shadow-Bank Data

The principal sponsor of the Dodd-Frank provisions creating the Office of Financial Research, Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), today defended the agency on grounds that it lacks a confirmed director, promising to push the appointment on the floor as quickly as possible.

Basel Targets Stablecoin Reserve-Asset Risk

Moving forward with “targeted” changes to current standards, the Basel Committee today outlined revisions to its crypto standards with significant practical implications.

Liang Disputes Over-Arching Need for New AI Regs

Treasury Under Secretary Liang today argued that AI is not fundamentally different than other financial innovations and is already subject to existing consumer-protection, safety-and-soundness, illicit-finance, and financial-stability guardrails.

FRB-NY Official Highlights AI Promise, Problems, Policy Action

Summarizing a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York AI conference, the Bank’s chief risk officer, Mihaela Nistor, concluded that AI can now identify GSIB and GSIFI risk due to its ability to detect tail behavior not now captured by relevant models.

Democrats Urge CFPB to Take Second Stand Against Forced Arbitration

Sens. Warren (D-MA) and Sanders (I-VT) were today …

7 12, 2023

DAILY120723

Eliza Allen2023-12-07T16:42:01-05:00December 7th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

BIS: CCP Collateral Holdings Pose Systemic Risk

A new BIS study looks at the risk that the transformation of OTC markets to centrally-cleared ones has in turn transformed markets based in part on know-your-counterparty into those dependent principally on collateral backing margin positions – an inherently more fragile market structure.

White House Presses FHLB Affordable-Housing Action

In remarks today, National Economic Advisor Lael Brainard not only highlighted the Biden Administration’s actions to address housing affordability, but also mentioned plans for new financing programs.

Ambitious CFPB Regulatory Plans Come Into View

The CFPB’s fall 2023 regulatory agenda provides status updates for several significant rulemaking items.

Basel to Set IRR, Window-Dressing, Crypto Standards

The Basel Committee’s year-end meeting advanced plans to address interest-rate risk (IRR) with a concrete agreement to issue a new consultation later this month updating current global IRR standards (see FSM Report IRR7).

BIS Points to MMF Risk When Rates Rise

Another new BIS paper concludes that the record size of MMFs poses significant threat to dollar-funding market stability.

OCC Warns Banks of AI Risk, Possible Supervisory Action

Reflecting growing Congressional, regulatory, and industry concerns over AI, today’s OCC semiannual risk assessment for federal banks states that national banks should be mindful of AI risks as these fall under current supervisory procedures.

Senate GOP Goes for Gruenberg’s Jugular

Despite efforts by the FDIC to reassure critics about its independent investigation, Senate Banking Republicans today fired off a ferocious letter demanding that FDIC Chair Gruenberg immediately resign …

1 12, 2023

Al120423

Eliza Allen2023-12-01T16:41:48-05:00December 1st, 2023|3- This Week|

Capital Conundrum

Early signals indicate that GSIB CEOs summoned this week before Senate Banking will do their best to use the session to solidify Congressional calls for substantive changes in pending capital rules based on a far more transparent, systematic CB analysis. Signals such as the Brown/Reed letter last week also make it clear that Democrats will push hard for tougher GSIB-specific standards to offset increasingly-likely changes to the capital rules. Democratic advocates of specific changes – i.e., with regard to LMI mortgages and small-business credit – will also use the session to navigate a path between helping regional banks on key points while looking tough on the overall question of big-bank capital. Again, sticking it to GSIBs may be their tactic. Republicans won’t let up against the capital rules, but we suspect they’ll also focus on borrowers and regional banks, side-stepping GSIB surcharges and other top-tier questions wherever possible.

Al120423.pdf…

1 12, 2023

DAILY120123

Eliza Allen2023-12-01T16:39:15-05:00December 1st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Barr Outlines Rationale for LCR, NSFR Rewrite

FRB Vice Chair Barr today reiterated his views that banks must be much better prepared to use the Fed discount-window, this time emphasizing that operational readiness entails regular testing of actual transactions at regular intervals as well as robust collateral pre-positioning.

Reed Presses Synthetic-Securitization Controls

Following his comments at recent hearings (see Client Report REFORM229), Sen. Reed (D-RI) late yesterday sent a letter to FRB Vice Chair Barr, FDIC Chair Gruenberg, and Acting Comptroller Hsu urging them to evaluate CRT transaction risk on financial stability grounds and, should they find an uptick in synthetic securitizations, request public comment on possible remedies to the risks Sen. Reed identifies.

Pending Veto, House Votes Against CFPB

As anticipated (see Client Report CONSUMER53), the House today voted 221 to 202 to authorize Congressional Review Act withdrawal of the CFPB’s small business reporting rule.

OCC Readies Research for Liquidity-Reg Rewrite

Likely readying itself for the raft of new liquidity proposals presaged in Michael Barr’s talk earlier today, the OCC today issued a call for papers on depositor behavior, bank liquidity, and run risk.

Daily120123.pdf…

30 11, 2023

DAILY113023

Eliza Allen2023-11-30T17:02:53-05:00November 30th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-Cleveland Head Calls for Reg Redesign

The head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester, yesterday argued for higher bank capital requirements, including counter-cyclical imposition of a capital buffer during low-risk periods so it can be released under stress based on credit growth under a formula ensuring that the CCyB in fact moves quickly to ease stress.

Brown, Colleagues Stand Behind GSIB Surcharge

Ahead of next week’s hearing with GSIB CEOs, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) was joined today by Sens. Warren (D-MA), Fetterman (D-PA), and Reed (D-RI) in a letter to FRB Vice Chair Barr voicing their strong support for the Board’s GSIB surcharge proposal (see FSM Report GSIB22).

IMF: Future of AI’s Impact on Banking Unpredictable

The IMF today released an article focused on AI, concluding that banking has the potential to be the biggest beneficiaries of AI, but also may have the most to lose. The article considers the unpredictable future of AI technology through optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, concluding that AI could better protect assets and markets, but also could be put to various nefarious uses.

Daily113023.pdf…

28 11, 2023

DAILY112823

Eliza Allen2023-11-28T16:35:09-05:00November 28th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-Dallas: Reciprocal Deposits Require Policy Attention

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas today released a staff study revaluating reciprocal deposits in the wake of SVB’s failure, concluding that policy-makers should reconsider concentration limits imposed in 2018 in conjunction with brokered-deposit constraints (see FSM Report DEPOSITINSURANCE108).

FRB-NY: OEFs Create Run-Run Risk

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York today released a staff study concluding that open-end funds (OEFs) experienced acute outflows after SVB failed, bank deposits received de facto unlimited insurance, and the FRB established the TBFP.

Chopra Testimony Ducks Tough Questions Ahead of Hearings

CFPB Director Chopra’s testimony for forthcoming hearings with HFSC and Senate Banking this week largely recaps Bureau action since his last appearance before Congress in June, with Mr. Chopra focusing on consumer debt issues highlighted in the CFPB’s recent consumer credit card market report.

FSB Wants Action on Crypto Vertical Integration

The FSB today released a report concluding that, while multifunction crypto-asset intermediaries (MCIs) currently pose limited financial-stability threat, cryptoasset stress events such as those that occurred over the past year present spillover risks to banks with concentrated deposit exposures to firms reliant on cryptoassets.

Basel Presses Supervisors to Enforce GSIB Data-Aggregation Standards

The Basel Committee today released a report finding that only two of the 31 GSIBs are fully compliant with its Principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting (see FSM Report RISKMANAGEMENT7).

Daily112823.pdf…

27 11, 2023

GSE-112723

Eliza Allen2023-11-27T11:49:59-05:00November 27th, 2023|4- GSE Activity Report|

An Advanced View of Regulatory Capital?

The most significant thing in FHFA’s final capital rule is not what is to be done, but what FHFA left out: ending the GSEs’ advanced-approach requirement. As a result, Fannie and Freddie can still use models for key calculations, a requirement that makes more sense for two complex organizations than it did for the regional banks also long subject to advanced-approach requirements even though the rules required them, like GSIBs, to hold the higher of the standardized or advanced approach.

GSE-112723.pdf…

9 11, 2023

SYSTEMIC98

Eliza Allen2023-11-09T13:06:42-05:00November 9th, 2023|1- Financial Services Management|

Systemic-Risk Determinations

Rejecting the Trump Administration’s hands-off approach to designating systemically-important nonbank financial institutions or activities and practices, the Biden Administration’s FSOC has finalized its bifurcated proposals to designate systemic entities and another laying out an analytical approach to identifying systemic risk that would then guide firm and activity designation as well as Council staff coordination with primary federal regulators. This is likely to lead to new additional systemic entity-based designations, rules, product or service prohibitions/restrictions, and/or firm-specific supervisory action. The final framework is as comprehensive as the proposal, meaning that U.S. systemic standards could extend far more widely than is now the case even if firm-specific nonbank designations are few and far between.

SYSTEMIC98.pdf…

20 10, 2023

DAILY102023

Eliza Allen2023-10-20T17:21:03-04:00October 20th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Senate AI Measure Tackles Financial Services

The text of the key Senate AI bill, S. 3050, has now become available.

Banking Agencies Offer Olive Branch

Reflecting strong pressure and recent FRB Chair Powell statements, the FRB today announced the launch of an open data collection assessing the rule’s effects – an issue on which many bank comment letters and Congressional Republicans have been scathing.

GOP Renew Funding Campaign vs. CFPB via Fed Losses

HFSC Vice Chairman Hill (R-AR) yesterday reintroduced legislation pressuring both the Fed and CFPB by prohibiting the Fed from transferring its earnings to the Bureau if the Fed incurs an operating loss.

FinCEN Highlights Hamas Sanction Red Flags

Reflecting ongoing Congressional pressure and recent Treasury sanctions, FinCEN today issued an alert reminding financial institutions to remain vigilant for suspicious activity related to Hamas funding sources.

Fed Stays Stoic on Financial-Stability Outlook

The FRB today released is semiannual financial-stability report differing little from the relatively-sanguine outlook in its May report (see Client Report SYSTEMIC94).

Daily102023.pdf…

20 10, 2023

Al102323

Eliza Allen2023-11-13T15:46:12-05:00October 20th, 2023|3- This Week|

Relentless Pressure and Resulting Concession

On Friday, the Federal Reserve offered an olive branch – small and partial, but still a branch – to Republican critics of pending standards and the big banks powering up all this pain. As we noted, the comment deadlines for the capital and GSIB-surcharge rules have been extended to January 16, a move also designed to thwart litigation based on procedural considerations. The Fed has also announced a new data-gathering exercise in which stakeholders can send in “data” but due to which much more input will also surely flow. This exercise also answers procedural critics and protects the bill, with the deadline here also January 16.

Al102323.pdf…