#market capital

26 01, 2024

DAILY012624

2024-01-26T16:09:38-05:00January 26th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

Agencies Rewrite Call Reports Ahead of Final Capital Regs

Despite growing bipartisan concern over a capital proposal likely to be significantly revised, the Fed, OCC, and FDIC today requested comment on proposed changes to call reporting requirements as well as regulatory capital and market risk capital reporting requirements to ensure that these conform with the agencies’ proposal.  Many changes reflect the departure from the advanced approach, with the agencies arguing that new disclosure requirements would increase transparency and complement the supervisory review process.  Certain item instructions would also be altered to reflect AOCI transition requirements, while form terminology would change to reflect the proposed expanded risk-based approach and the scope of banking organizations covered.

Daily012624.pdf

13 12, 2023

DAILY121323

2023-12-13T16:50:12-05:00December 13th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

HFSC Oversight Subcomm Revisits Iran Sanctions

Today’s HFSC Oversight Subcommittee hearing focused on the Biden Administration’s recent efforts to limit terrorist funding from Iran.  Chairman Huizenga (R-MI) questioned the need for the November 14th renewal of a waiver that allows Iraq to pay Iran for electricity, calling for increased pressure on Iran following Hamas’s October 7th attack.

SEC Sets Out Treasury Central-Clearing Construct

As anticipated, the SEC this morning voted 4-1 to mandate central clearing for Treasury securities used in many repo and reverse-repo transactions, modifying the proposal in key respects still unsatisfactory to Commissioner Peirce.  The rule addresses continuing concerns about Treasury-market fragility, in part by reducing the number of highly-leveraged hedge-fund transactions.

GAO Reaches Equivocal Verdict on Digital-Asset Crypto Evasion Risk

Addressing Congressional concerns such as those in the Warren-Marshall crypto-compliance bill, the GAO today issued a report finding that digital assets pose risk to U.S. sanction implementation and enforcement despite mitigating factors that may reduce certain risks.

Brown Presses Bank CEOs on Servicemember Rights

A week after the GSIB CEOs came before the Senate Banking Committee (see Client Report GSIB23), Banking Committee Chair Brown (D-OH) today sent a letter to the CEOs of the four largest consumer banks encouraging them to ensure that active-duty servicemembers obtain all the financial benefits to which they are entitled.

Daily121323.pdf

12 12, 2023

DAILY121223

2023-12-12T17:09:22-05:00December 12th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

IMF Calls for Enhanced Climate-Risk Analyses, Stress-Testing

Calling for implementation of the Basel Committee’s climate-related financial risk principles (see FSM Report CLIMATE14), the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department Director, Tobias Adrian, today pressed central banks to enhance their climate risk analyses and adapt stress-testing frameworks to better reflect climate-financial risk transmission and amplification channels.

Agencies Come Under Still More Workplace-Practice Scrutiny, Political Pressure

As we noted last week, House Republicans are now using ongoing assertions of FDIC workplace dysfunction to attack the OCC.

HFSC Subcomm Considers Sanctions Enforcement

Today’s HFSC National Security Subcommittee hearing focused primarily on critiques of US energy sanctions enforcement related to Russia, Iran, and Venezuela.

House Select Committee Calls on Fed to Stress Test China Risk

The House Select Committee on the Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party today released a bipartisan report urging Congress to direct the Fed to stress-test U.S. banks for their ability to withstand Chinese market risk, produce classified reports on these assessments, and consider the financial market impact of potential sanctions on Chinese financial firms.

Basel Proposes Modest Fix to IRR Standards, Post-SVB Revisions Await

As anticipated, the Basel Committee today released a consultation revising global interest-rate risk (IRR), standards updating current banking-book standards (see FSM Report IRR7) to toughen the IRR-shock calibration.

McKernan Extends Capital Olive Branch

FDIC Director McKernan today offered an end-game compromise that might actually lead to final rules in 2024 that defer some of the …

6 12, 2023

DAILY120623

2023-12-06T16:42:25-05:00December 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OFR Sees Heightened Systemic Risk

Striking a considerably more somber note than the FRB (see Client Report SYSTEMIC97), OFR today concluded that systemic risk is elevated due to an upcoming economic slowdown, heightened inflation,  and geopolitical risk and global conflict.

OCC Cracks Down on BNPL Finance

Reflecting continuing CFPB concerns about buy-now/pay-later finance, the OCC today sets new risk-management standards for federally-chartered entities in this arena.

HFSC Housing Subcommittee Revisits Housing Debate

Today’s HFSC Housing Subcommittee hearing largely followed the staff memo’s outlined political playbook, with Chairman Davidson (R-OH) calling for market-based solutions and Ranking Member Presley (D-MA) arguing that expanded subsidies are necessary alongside zoning reform to make housing affordable.

Fed Proposes Market-Risk Valuation Reporting

Readying disclosures for the market-risk capital rewrite (see FSM Report CAPITAL233), the Federal Reserve has proposed new reporting standards that would require covered banks to disclose valuations of their covered positions taking into account unearned credit spreads, close-out costs, early termination costs, investing and funding costs, liquidity, and model risk.

Fed Proposes New Liquidity Risk Reporting Standards

Reflecting growing fears that banks could not actually monetize HQLAs under stress as proved the case for Credit Suisse, the FRB is also proposing new reporting standards requiring covered companies to report on qualifying master netting agreement compliance with current liquidity-risk measurement standards.

Daily120623.pdf

3 10, 2023

DAILY100323

2023-10-03T16:38:58-04:00October 3rd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Hsu Notes Benefits of International Data Hub, Warns of Nonbank Risks

In remarks today, Acting Comptroller Hsu focused on the benefits of the BIS International Data Hub, noting for example that it provides national authorities with a horizontal view of key risks affecting the global financial system difficult to obtain elsewhere.

Basel Sees End-Game in Sight, US Off Late List

Finally taking the U.S. off the tardy list, the Basel Committee today updated its Basel III implementation dashboard, finding that as of Q3 2023 the US, along with the EU, UK, China, Switzerland, South Africa, and Hong Kong are now working to adopt revisions to the credit valuation adjustment and operational risk frameworks, the standardized approach for credit risk, the minimum requirements for market risk, and the output floor – i.e., Basel’s end-game.

Daily100323.pdf

28 07, 2023

Al073123

2023-07-28T17:05:25-04:00July 28th, 2023|3- This Week|

Few Surprises, Much Consternation

There is little in the new capital framework we did not forecast for new capital rules after the March bank failures (see Client Report REFORM219) and what we missed was later presaged in Vice Chair Barr’s recent speech (see Client Report CAPITAL228).  However, as we’ve also said many times, many devils lurk in regulatory-capital details.  We know the agencies’ capital-impact bottom line because the FDIC and Fed each outlined this at contentious meetings approving the proposal for public comment.  We also know that Republicans really don’t like the rule even if they haven’t read it and that key decision-makers – most notably Chair Powell – are hedging their affirmative votes for releasing the proposal with careful caveats of what they want to see in a final rule.  Thus, careful analytics are essential to effective assessments of winners and losers as a result of this complex package, especially if one looks – as FedFin will – at big-picture implications – i.e., those for the economy, financial system, and economic equality – as well as at sector- and institution-specific provisions not just in key asset classes based on specific risk weightings.

Al073123.pdf

26 07, 2023

CAPITAL229

2023-07-26T14:30:18-04:00July 26th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: What to Watch in the Regulatory-Capital Rewrite

As promised, we plan in-depth coverage of the Fed and FDIC meetings tomorrow as well as of the capital rewrites they are set to propose no matter all the warning shots from Congressional Republicans.  In this report, we provide an overview of each of the rules the agencies will propose based on key issues in the Basel end-game standards they will finally advance.  We do not focus on details or how the U.S. may adapt these rules except where public releases have provided advance insight.  Instead, we highlight key issues to provide vital background and context of tomorrow’s actions as well as key decision points on which comment and political advocacy are sure to center.

CAPITAL229.pdf

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