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6 03, 2023

DAILY030623

2023-03-06T16:54:30-05:00March 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Revs Up Fight Vs. Big-Bank Capital Hikes

Firing a fusillade ahead of capital rewrites expected late this month, Senate Banking Republicans late Friday sent FRB Chairman Powell a letter arguing strongly against capital increases and laying out a strong view that the agencies are required by law to tailor key standards.

BIS Project Finds Retail-CBDC Cross-Border Benefits

In a project boosting retail CBDC, the BIS Innovation Hub today announced the results of Project Icebreaker, a cross-border retail CBDC pilot between Sweden, Norway, and Israel.

GOP Will Deploy IGs To Demand Fed, CFPB, SEC Reform

In addition to a hearing that morning with Chairman Powell, the full HFSC will call federal banking agencies on the carpet Wednesday for “wasteful” spending and other governance issues.

Dems Beg Gensler Not to Scrap Scope 3 Climate Disclosures

Responding to intense GOP opposition to the SEC’s climate disclosure proposal, fifty Congressional Democrats led by Sen. Warren (D-MA) sent a letter to SEC Chairman Gensler today urging him not to scale the proposal back, especially its Scope 3 provisions.

Treasury Wants Fast NBFI, OEF, Crypto Standards

Treasury International Affairs Under-Secretary Jay Shambaugh today outlined U.S. priorities, emphasizing not only the importance of containing Russia and countering new threats, but also quickly advancing numerous global initiatives.

Hsu Pushes To Start The End Game

Acting Comptroller Hsu today reiterated his determination to act as quickly as possible on Basel’s end-game rules, noting the interagency statement last year that this would soon be done without providing …

21 02, 2023

DAILY022123

2023-02-21T16:39:53-05:00February 21st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Nonbank Corporate Finance Stokes Systemic, Macro Risk

A new BIS paper supports bank assertions that nonbank corporate finance is considerably more procyclical in terms of its threat to financial stability and macroeconomic growth than that conducted by regulated companies.  This risk-arbitrage question is germane not only to the ongoing debate about NBFI regulation, but also efforts to ensure that U.S. “end-game” capital rules sharply reduce the RWA for lower-risk corporate obligations.

FSB Fears Systemic Risk from Bank, CCP Commodity Risk

A new FSB report today assesses systemic risk posed by the oil, gas, and wheat commodity markets  given its highly-leveraged and illiquid nature and its deep interconnections into the global banking system.  Global regulators conclude that bank exposures in general are “manageable,” but some banks and CCPs have significant sector exposure and thus risk.  Commodity firms have recently reduced liquidity risk, but they also hiked credit and market risk at a time of tightening that exacerbates them, leading the FSB to describe emerging risks and detail the data gaps that make it challenging to draw clear conclusions.

FSB Prioritizes Crypto, NBFIs

The FSB head’s letter to the G20 yesterday reiterates priorities outlined in his November letter, stating  that global regulators will deliver a joint paper with the IMF later this year synthesizing policy findings and regulatory issues around cryptoassets.  The FSB will also continue to prioritize NBFI supervision (see Client Report NBFI2), re-emphasizing the importance of studying hidden leverage and addressing liquidity mismatches in open-end funds.

Daily022123.pdf

21 02, 2023

Karen Petrou: FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

2023-02-21T11:15:33-05:00February 21st, 2023|The Vault|

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own.  Two conclusions came to light:  the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

First to the capital rewrites and how costly they could be.  In its most recent NBFI review, the FSB took sharp issue with the extent to which the U.S. has taken sufficient steps to curb the inter-connected risks to NBFIs evident even before the 2020 market collapse.  We expect the banking agencies not only to issue the end-game rules discussed in my last memo, but also to make good on the U.S. promise to Basel well before the game nominally ended with the 2017 revisions.

This means new capital standards costing banks big when it comes to bank equity investments in funds and higher risk weightings for exposures to unregulated financial institutions.  It also means new capital requirements absorbing “step-in” risk – i.e., the extent to which reputational risk forces banks to stand by their off-balance sheet funds, SIVs, or other instrumentalities.  Two banks in fact supported affiliated funds in MMFs during the 2020 …

21 02, 2023

M022123

2023-02-21T11:15:27-05:00February 21st, 2023|6- Client Memo|

FSOC’s NBFI Plans Will Cost Big Banks Dearly

Although the always-inscrutable FSOC’s read-out of its last meeting was clear only with respect to approval of prior meeting minutes, the brief mention of ongoing U.S. work to address nonbank financial intermediation (NBFI) was so tantalizing that we ventured down darkened corners of key agencies to get a read-out of our own.  Two conclusions came to light:  the U.S. will take tough action on limiting bank/NBFI interconnections in its pending bank capital rewrite and FSOC is fine with the SEC’s recent MMF and open-end fund proposals even if pretty much no one else is.

m022123.pdf

24 01, 2023

DAILY012423

2023-01-24T16:47:35-05:00January 24th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Chair Presses Need to Finalize Global Crypto Standards

In remarks today, FSB Chair Klaas Knot reiterated FSB’s 2023 priorities regarding NBFI, crypto, and climate change risks, also emphasizing that the FSB seeks to improve financial resilience rather than predicting the cause of the next financial crisis.

McHenry, Hill Suggest Crypto Action Plan

In a new tweet, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) emphasized the crypto plan he discussed earlier in a media interview.

Brown, Van Hollen Press Tough TLAC, Regional-Bank Resolvability Rule

Senate Banking Committee Chairman Brown (D-OH) and Sen. Van Hollen (D-MD) sent a letter to FDIC Chairman Gruenberg and FRB Vice Chair Barr late yesterday praising the agencies’ recent ANPR on large bank resolution standards (see FSM Report RESOLVE48), calling for TLAC that prevents taxpayer bailouts in the event of failure.

CFPB Kicks Off Credit Card Regulatory Rewrite

Following its credit card late-fee notice of proposed rulemaking (see FSM Report CREDITCARD35), the CFPB today sought comment on the credit card sector as a whole for its biennial review of the industry.

Daily012423.pdf

18 01, 2023

DAILY011823

2023-01-18T16:37:19-05:00January 18th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Pledges Further Work on Bank NBFI Capital Exposures, MMFs, OEFs

The FSB today published an update on its non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) reforms, finding that further progress is needed in implementing capital requirements for bank exposures to investment funds and large exposures.

CFPB Tells Examiners To Look At Servicer Fees, Foreclosure Process

The CFPB today released updated Mortgage Servicing Examination Procedures reflecting newly identified consumer risks since its 2016 update as well as pandemic-era servicing changes.

FRB-NY: Small Banks Behind Recent Discount Window Lending Spike

A new post from FRB-NY staff looks at why discount-window lending has recently increased, providing data that make it still more interesting that Silvergate chose emergency support from Home Loan Banks, not the Fed.

Daily011823.pdf

20 12, 2022

DAILY122022

2022-12-20T17:18:34-05:00December 20th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

CFPB Reaches Massive, Policy-Setting WFC Agreement

The CFPB today reached a landmark and perhaps even unprecedented $3.7 billion settlement with Wells Fargo on an array of “surprise-fee” and bad-practice allegations.  Because of the scope of this action and Director Chopra’s plans to use it as grounds for still greater penalties against WFC, we will shortly provide clients with an in-depth analysis of its policy and strategic implications.

Despite Fears, FSB Finds NBFIs Sound In 2021

Although the FSB’s most recent NBFI report (see Client Report NBFI2) and FSOC’s new annual update (see Client Report FSOC28) cite investment funds as a significant concern, FSB’s latest NBFI 2021 monitoring report concludes that most balance-sheet risk measures remained stable.  It does note that collective investment vehicles – a category that subsumes MMFs and other funds – experienced the largest growth in the report’s “narrow measure” and continued to have elevated levels of credit intermediation and liquidity and maturity transformation.

Daily122022.pdf

19 12, 2022

FedFin on: FSOC Targets Usual Suspects but Also Points to Big-BHC, Nonbank Mortgage Systemic Risk

2023-01-03T15:56:33-05:00December 19th, 2022|The Vault|

As promised, this FedFin report provides an in-depth analysis of FSOC’s 2022 annual report, focusing on findings with near-term policy implications.  As always, the report is lengthy and includes many observations and market details that provide insight into Treasury and member-agency-staff thought.  Much in it reiterates concerns about short-term funding markets, CCPs, and….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

19 12, 2022

FSOC28

2022-12-19T13:00:38-05:00December 19th, 2022|5- Client Report|

FSOC Targets Usual Suspects but Also Points to Big-BHC, Nonbank Mortgage Systemic Risk

As promised, this FedFin report provides an in-depth analysis of FSOC’s 2022 annual report, focusing on findings with near-term policy implications.  As always, the report is lengthy and includes many observations and market details that provide insight into Treasury and member-agency-staff thought.  Much in it reiterates concerns about short-term funding markets, CCPs, and investment funds (with FSOC for the first time urging regulators to look not only at MMFs and OEFs, but also at collective investment vehicles).  As previously noted, the report is relatively sanguine about digital-asset systemic risk but, also reiterates findings in FSOC’s report (see Client Report CRYPTO33) demanding rapid action on a raft of reforms in this high-risk sector.  What surprised us is the discussion of large BHCs, which departs from longstanding Fed and FSOC comfort in the post-GFC regulatory regime for this sector.

FSOC28.pdf

16 12, 2022

DAILY121622

2022-12-16T17:19:37-05:00December 16th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

GHOS Presses Speedy Bank-Crypto Capital Standards

Basel’s governing body, the Governors and Heads of Supervision, today endorsed the Committee’s planned work schedule.

Fed Finally Finalizes LIBOR Transition Regs

Narrowly ahead of its year-end statutory deadline, the Federal Reserve today issued a final version of its detailed proposal (see FSM Report LIBOR8) to implement the LIBOR Act’s provisions on replacement rates for existing contracts without fallback language (see FSM Report LIBOR7).

Regulators Highlight P2P, Crypto, NBFI Risks at FSOC Meeting

Although most of the FSOC’s discussion today of the LIBOR transition and climate risks was perfunctory, comments on the now-released 2022 Treasury annual report were not.

McHenry, Davidson Point to Forex-Clearing Systemic Risk

Picking up a recent BIS report finding at least $65 trillion at risk in off-balance sheet foreign-exchange clearing, incoming HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and the top Republican on the panel’s fintech task force, Rep. Warren Davidson (R-OH), called on Fed Chairman Powell and Secretary Yellen to investigate what they consider a looming risk to U.S. financial stability.

Chopra Presses Cloud-Service Provider, Stablecoin Systemic Designation

CFPB Chairman Chopra’s written statement for the FSOC meeting is considerably different than the oral one described in our earlier client alert.

Daily121622.pdf

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