#stablecoin – Federal Financial Analytics

15 11, 2023

REFORM230

Eliza Allen2023-11-15T15:58:45-05:00November 15th, 2023|5- Client Report|

Bipartisan Capital Bashing Continues in the House

Following yesterday’s Senate Banking hearing (see Client Report REFORM229), today’s HFSC session with top bank regulators again highlighted growing bipartisan consternation over the unintended consequences of the agencies’ capital proposal (see FSM Report CAPITAL230). Although Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) echoed Chairman Brown’s defense, Democratic criticism today went beyond concerns about mortgages and green bonds also to address credit availability, new trading and derivatives standards, capital recognition of securities losses, and insufficient review of the proposal’s quantitative impacts. Republicans continued to bash the proposal for what they said is insufficient economic analysis. Unlike yesterday, attention to the FDIC’s harassment scandal most notably came from Democrats’ side of the aisle, with Ranking Member Waters using all of her questioning time to criticize the FDIC and request a report from each agency describing how they will review sexual-harassment. Reiterating concerns he and Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Chairman Barr (R-KY) recently raised regarding regulators’ interactions with international standard-setters, Chairman McHenry grilled Vice Chair Barr and Acting Comptroller Hsu about staff compensation and agency documentation practices at international events. Mr. Barr emphasized that all Board and staff member compensation comes from the Fed, while Mr. Hsu only said that his agency tracks participation in these bodies to ensure mission alignment. We continue to expect GOP pressure on the international-agency front but no action until GAO completes its report. Chair Gruenberg noted broad alignment with a new incentive-compensation proposal, but revised the initial timeline …

8 11, 2023

DAILY110823

Eliza Allen2023-11-08T16:56:25-05:00November 8th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

BIS: No Stablecoin Peg Has Held

Ahead of HFSC Chairman McHenry’s push for new stablecoin legislation, the BIS today issued a report looking at 68 stablecoins and found that not a single stablecoin tied to fiat-currency or similarly-robust assets sustained parity with its peg at all times, regardless of size or type of backing. The paper also suggests that there is no guarantee that issuers of stablecoins would be able to redeem stablecoins on demand or in full and identifies younger coins and unbacked coins as more price volatile.

Gruenberg, Barr Say Agencies Must Work With Banks to Implement CRA Standards

Commenting today on CRA, FDIC Chairman Gruenberg indicated that he is looking forward to working with banks to “figure out” how to make the rule work in critical areas such as the retail-lending and community-development lending tests. Vice Chair Barr and Acting Comptroller Hsu also highlighted implementation challenges, but all strongly supported the rule as a major advance sure to support community development and modernize banking requirements.

Daily110823.pdf…

31 10, 2023

DAILY103123

Eliza Allen2023-10-31T17:02:58-04:00October 31st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

HFSC GOP Turns to Merger-Policy Demands

Financial Institutions Subcommittee Chair Barr (R-KY) and Rep. Fitzgerald (R-WI) last night sent the federal banking-agency heads a stiff letter demanding to know when they plan finally to issue the long-promised bank-merger policy following public notice and comment.

China Leads New BIS CBDC Pilot

In a new CBDC project sponsored by the BIS’s Innovation Hub, central banks either directly associated with China or within its ambit will focus on multi-CBDC wholesale cross-border payments.

White House, Labor Turn to Retirement Advice “Junk Fees”

Building on its “junk-fee” initiative, the White House today expanded Obama-era “best-interest” standards to retirement advisers to close what it believes are loopholes in the SEC’s jurisdiction under its broker-dealer best-interest standard.

BIS CPMI: Even Sound Stablecoins May Not Be Worth the Effort

A new report from the BIS Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures finds that properly designed and regulated stablecoins could improve cross-border payments by increasing speed and transparency while lowering costs, especially in emerging markets and developing economies.

GAO Vacates Key SEC Crypto Ruling

The GAO today released a report finding that the SEC’s staff accounting bulletin (SAB) 121 is a rule subject to the Congressional Review Act, throwing a key Gensler anti-crypto ruling into immediate ineffectiveness and an uncertain future.

Daily103123.pdf…

20 10, 2023

DAILY102023

Eliza Allen2023-10-20T17:21:03-04:00October 20th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Senate AI Measure Tackles Financial Services

The text of the key Senate AI bill, S. 3050, has now become available.

Banking Agencies Offer Olive Branch

Reflecting strong pressure and recent FRB Chair Powell statements, the FRB today announced the launch of an open data collection assessing the rule’s effects – an issue on which many bank comment letters and Congressional Republicans have been scathing.

GOP Renew Funding Campaign vs. CFPB via Fed Losses

HFSC Vice Chairman Hill (R-AR) yesterday reintroduced legislation pressuring both the Fed and CFPB by prohibiting the Fed from transferring its earnings to the Bureau if the Fed incurs an operating loss.

FinCEN Highlights Hamas Sanction Red Flags

Reflecting ongoing Congressional pressure and recent Treasury sanctions, FinCEN today issued an alert reminding financial institutions to remain vigilant for suspicious activity related to Hamas funding sources.

Fed Stays Stoic on Financial-Stability Outlook

The FRB today released is semiannual financial-stability report differing little from the relatively-sanguine outlook in its May report (see Client Report SYSTEMIC94).

Daily102023.pdf…

6 10, 2023

DAILY100623

Eliza Allen2023-10-06T14:46:53-04:00October 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Chopra Has Big Plans for Payments

Likely assuming the coast is clear after the Supreme Court seemed reluctant to undo its charter earlier this week, CFPB Director Chopra today announced a series of steps designed to give the Bureau considerably more control over the payment system. First, the agency plans to issue supplemental orders to “certain” bigtech companies – doubtless PayPal – to ascertain stablecoin plans and how this affects consumer data.

Waller Still Sees Little Need for CBDC

Governor Waller today continued his skeptical CBDC stance, noting that Fed work on the product is largely motivated by preparedness concerns. Nonetheless, any US CBDC will be two-tier with direct retail CBDC requiring Fed master account access not permitted under current law. Mr. Waller also strongly disputed claims that CBDCs such as those in China pose a threat to the US dollar and countered suggestions that FedNow is a CBDC-precursor, emphasizing that its primary purpose is to speed payments.

Daily100623.pdf…

25 09, 2023

DAILY092523

Eliza Allen2023-09-25T16:05:07-04:00September 25th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

IMF Report: CBDC Designs Could Boost Financial Inclusion

On Friday, the IMF released a report concluding that a well-designed CBDC could foster financial inclusion and act as an entry point for the unbanked to the broader financial system. This will strengthen Democratic demands for a U.S. CBDC, but we expect GOP opposition to remain firm and the Fed’s posture to retain its current focus on wholesale CBDCs.

FRB-NY: Stablecoins, MMFs Have Same Dynamic Runs

An FRB New York study today concludes that stablecoin investors behaved similarly to MMF investors in numerous recent runs. Staff found that investors consider a stablecoin to have been effectively depegged once its price drops below $0.99 which triggers a run and mirrors the dynamics of MMFs “breaking the buck.”

Senate Dems Target SIFI Designation, Scenarios to Curb Climate Risk

Senator Warren (D-MA) along with Sens. Sanders (I-VT), Heinrich (D-NM), Markey (D-MA), Whitehouse (D-RI), and Merkley (D-OR) today released a letter dated last Wednesday to Treasury Secretary Yellen and Climate Counselor Zindler calling on the Department to significantly increase the urgency with which it targets climate-related financial risk.

Daily092523.pdf…

8 09, 2023

DAILY090823

Eliza Allen2023-09-08T16:06:25-04:00September 8th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Barr Backs Away from CBDC, Stands Firm vs. Stablecoins

FRB Vice Chair Barr today for the first time sided firmly with Chair Powell in approaching CBDCs with caution, if at all. Mr. Barr also emphasized not only that the Fed will not proceed with a CBDC without Executive Branch approval, but also now says that it would require “authorizing legislation,” not just Congressional “approval.”

Examining CBDC and Wholesale Payments

The FDIC today released an internal – but not necessarily independent – review of First Republic’s failure, largely saying that FDIC supervisory staff could have done better identifying emerging risks without strongly criticizing actions ahead of the bank’s collapse. This is blamed on factors evident at the time: e.g., rapid growth, poor liquidity and interest-rate risk management.

Fed Study: CBDC Unnecessary for Successful Wholesale Tokenization

As JPMorgan and other companies continue to advance wholesale digital payments and Chair Powell has suggested (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE73) that he may be open to wholesale CBDC, a new Fed staff study finds that tokenized wholesale payment systems do not require a new form of central-bank money.

Daily090823.pdf…

9 08, 2023

DAILY080923

Eliza Allen2023-08-09T16:35:20-04:00August 9th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Brown, Other Senate Dems Demand Fast Action on Fed Merger Policy Rewrite

Building on Sen. Warren’s (D-MA) longstanding Fed criticism, Chairman Brown (D-OH) along with Sens. Warren, Reed (D-RI), and Fetterman (D-PA) today directly demanded a substantive and speedy rewrite of Fed merger policy to ensure that statutory requirements related to financial-stability impact are met. The letter not only criticizes past mergers Sen. Warren has long said are “rubber-stamped” and JPMorgan’s acquisition of First Republic, but also cites the Fed’s decision to allow UBS to acquire Credit Suisse.

Waters Doubles Down On Opposition To GOP Stablecoin Bill

In stark contrast to HFSC Chairman McHenry’s (R-NC) comments praising PayPal’s new payment stablecoin, Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) today sharply criticized the product and the risks its poses given that the HFSC GOP has advanced a bill she thinks both highly problematic and unlikely to be enacted.

Daily080923.pdf…

7 08, 2023

DAILY080723

Eliza Allen2023-08-07T16:43:53-04:00August 7th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

McHenry Highlights New PayPal Stablecoin, Legislative Progress

In response to PayPal’s announcement this morning of a new payment stablecoin, HFSC Chairman McHenry today championed the new product, emphasizing that there has been bipartisan progress toward legislative action on his bill and touting strong state regulatory regimes such as New York’s. This is the venue PayPal has selected in concert with working with Paxos Trust, also New York State licensed but a firm sanctioned this year for prior stablecoin activities.

IMF: Fed Should Focus on Corporate-Bond Risk

A new study from the IMF on corporate bond shocks and commercial bank lending urges the Fed to limit its market maker of last resort function and focus future policy interventions on mitigating corporate-bond dealer vulnerabilities and increasing investment-fund resilience. It bases these recommendations on findings that corporate bond market shocks can generate significant contagion to the commercial banking sector that reduces bank lending and increases prices and that commercial banks cannot be expected to shore up corporate bond markets.

Daily080723.pdf…

27 07, 2023

DAILY072723

Eliza Allen2023-07-27T17:47:02-04:00July 27th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Tries to Calm CoCo Confusion

Doubtless responding to the CoCo chaos when Credit Suisse failed, the FSB today issued a report laying out how cross-border crisis-management groups are to handle unallocated TLAC (UTLAC) such as the “alternative Tier 1” bonds popular in the EU.

FDIC 3-2 Vote Presages Knock-Down Basel Battle

As anticipated, the FDIC today voted 3-2 to issue a sweeping rewrite of U.S. regulatory capital requirements.

Divided, Cautious Fed Advances End-Game, GSIB Rewrites

As anticipated, Gov. Bowman today voted against the new capital framework, as did Gov. Waller; as a result, the vote was 4-2.

Stablecoin Bill Advances, Compromises to Come

At a fiery HFSC markup today, Chairman McHenry (R-NC) announced that bipartisan negotiations had broken down largely due to the White House, choosing to proceed to a final package as he remains open to amendment before floor action.

House Republicans Skewer Basel Rules

Hill comment so far in response to the new capital rules is sparse.

Daily072723.pdf…