#White House – Federal Financial Analytics

27 07, 2023

DAILY072723

Eliza Allen2023-07-27T17:47:02-04:00July 27th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Tries to Calm CoCo Confusion

Doubtless responding to the CoCo chaos when Credit Suisse failed, the FSB today issued a report laying out how cross-border crisis-management groups are to handle unallocated TLAC (UTLAC) such as the “alternative Tier 1” bonds popular in the EU.

FDIC 3-2 Vote Presages Knock-Down Basel Battle

As anticipated, the FDIC today voted 3-2 to issue a sweeping rewrite of U.S. regulatory capital requirements.

Divided, Cautious Fed Advances End-Game, GSIB Rewrites

As anticipated, Gov. Bowman today voted against the new capital framework, as did Gov. Waller; as a result, the vote was 4-2.

Stablecoin Bill Advances, Compromises to Come

At a fiery HFSC markup today, Chairman McHenry (R-NC) announced that bipartisan negotiations had broken down largely due to the White House, choosing to proceed to a final package as he remains open to amendment before floor action.

House Republicans Skewer Basel Rules

Hill comment so far in response to the new capital rules is sparse.

Daily072723.pdf…

19 07, 2023

DAILY071923

Eliza Allen2023-07-19T16:57:05-04:00July 19th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FTC/DOJ Propose Sweeping M&A Rewrite

Following an extensive inquiry into a new U.S. merger construct, the Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission today released a draft formal policy statement that would codify issues previously raised in areas such as a transaction’s implications for workers.

White House Leaves Bank “Junk Fee” Attack As Is

Acting on President Biden’s competition executive order (see Client Report MERGER6), the White House today announced a slate of actions aimed at lowering consumer costs and promoting competition.

Bipartisan Senators Introduce New DeFi-AML/Sanctions Framework

Senator Reed (D-RI) yesterday introduced legislation along with Sens. Warner (D-VA), Rounds (R-SD), and Romney (R-UT) targeting DeFi-related money laundering and sanctions evasion.

Dems Reintroduce Bill Requiring Instant Consumer Deposit Access

Sens. Van Hollen (D-MD) and Warren (D-MA) and Reps. Pressley (D-MA) and Lynch (D-MA) have reintroduced the Payments Modernization Act, which requires financial institutions to recognize deposited funds in real-time and clarifies the moot point of whether the Fed has existing authority to build a real-time payments system.

Daily071923.pdf…

7 07, 2023

DAILY070723

Eliza Allen2023-07-07T16:47:33-04:00July 7th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

House Judiciary Joins GOP Asset-Manager ESG Attack

Continuing the GOP campaign against ESG, House Judiciary Chairman Jordan (R-OH) and Reps. Massie (R-KY) and Bishop (R-NC) sent letters late yesterday to the leadership of BlackRock, Vanguard, State Street Global Advisers, the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero, and the Net Zero Asset Managers initiative, claiming that what they call “collusive agreements” violate antitrust law.

FRB-KC: Farm Credit System Mergers May Influence Ag-Bank Portfolio Strategy

New research from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City staff concludes that, while Farm Credit System mergers over the past twenty years had relatively minor effects on agricultural-bank profitability and efficiency, they may have altered bank portfolio decisions with broader implications both for banks and the communities they serve.

CFPB, Treasury, HHS Launch Interagency Inquiry Into Medical-Payment Products

As part of the White House initiative to address medical-sector “junk fees” and consumer protection, the CFPB today was joined by HHS and Treasury in issuing an RFI on high-cost specialty financial products it says harm medical patients by driving up debt.

FHFA Joins Repeat-Offender Crackdown

Acting on the “repeat-offender” crackdown initiated by the CFPB and recently picked up by the OCC, FHFA today issued a proposed rule that would revise its Suspended Counterparty Program (SCP) regulation to authorize FHFA to immediately suspend business between the GSEs and counterparties who are found to have committed civil or criminal misconduct in connection with real property management or ownership.

Daily070723.pdf…

30 06, 2023

Al070323

Eliza Allen2023-06-30T16:32:36-04:00June 30th, 2023|3- This Week|

Fireworks Start After the Fourth

We expect July to be particularly full of sound and fury ahead of the August recess. It’s a traditional time in which Members of Congress try to position bills for floor action in the crazed race to whatever comes of adjournment after the usual fiscal year-end follies. This year’s July will be still more fiery given the underlying political context forged by GOP investigations of the Biden Administration and family, appropriations battles, and geopolitical instability.

Al070323.pdf…

28 06, 2023

DAILY062823

Eliza Allen2023-06-28T17:21:14-04:00June 28th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Biden Predicts End to Overdrafts

In a speech today detailing “Bidenomics”, President Biden continued his administration’s campaign against “junk fees,” specifically targeting overdrafts.

Fed Branch Approval Faced Unusual Bowman Protest

With a cryptic statement, FRB Gov. Bowman has taken the unusual step of protesting a branch application which she and all other governors approved. The issue appears to be the fact that two commenters objected to the branch application on grounds that the bank (Vantage in Texas) discriminates against African American borrowers. The Fed’s formal approval notes only these comments and otherwise approves of the bank’s fair-lending record, also noting its satisfactory CRA rating and the fact that the bank is principally a commercial lender.

Fed Finds Big Banks Resilient, Still Wants More Rules

The Fed’s stress-test release today attempts to meld both the Board’s finding that banks are not only resilient, but also “well-positioned” for a severe recession with Vice Chairman Barr’s plans to rewrite an array of new rules (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE72) that stress tests are only one measure of strength the “resilient” evidence itself.

Daily062823.pdf…

26 04, 2023

FedFin on: Systemic-Risk Determinations

Arezou Rafikian2023-04-26T16:59:28-04:00April 26th, 2023|The Vault|

Rejecting the Trump Administration’s hands-off approach to designating systemically-important nonbank financial institutions or activities and practices, the Biden Administration’s FSOC has bifurcated this construct with one proposal on designating entities and another that lays out an analytical approach to identifying systemic risk that would then guide firm and activity designation as well as Council staff coordination with primary federal regulators leading to new rules, product or service prohibitions/restrictions, or firm-specific supervisory action. If the final framework is as comprehensive as this proposal and FSOC is as actively engaged as its plan requires, then U.S. systemic standards could extend far more widely than is now the case even if firm-specific nonbank designations are few and far between…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

26 04, 2023

SYSTEMIC95

Eliza Allen2023-04-26T13:51:20-04:00April 26th, 2023|1- Financial Services Management|

Systemic-Risk Determinations

Rejecting the Trump Administration’s hands-off approach to designating systemically-important nonbank financial institutions or activities and practices, the Biden Administration’s FSOC has bifurcated this construct with one proposal on designating entities and another that lays out an analytical approach to identifying systemic risk that would then guide firm and activity designation as well as Council staff coordination with primary federal regulators leading to new rules, product or service prohibitions/restrictions, or firm-specific supervisory action. If the final framework is as comprehensive as this proposal and FSOC is as actively engaged as its plan requires, then U.S. systemic standards could extend far more widely than is now the case even if firm-specific nonbank designations are few and far between.

SYSTEMIC95.pdf…

11 04, 2023

DAILY041123

Eliza Allen2023-04-11T16:56:01-04:00April 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Finds Still Sticker Deposit Rates, Tougher Fed Policy Transmission

A new post from Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff concludes that, even as deposit funding declines, banks remain liquid due to less rate-sensitive sources such as time deposits and FHLB advances. As we noted when assessing a prior FRB-NY deposit post, these analyses go beyond conventional deposit-flight and unfair-competition arguments to show the complexity of funding-market behavior during periods of rising interest rates. The latest post brings the prior study through the end of 2022, showing continuing lags between the fed funds rate and interest-bearing deposit rates through the fourth quarter.

Chopra Wants Expanded FDIC Coverage, Payment-System Guardrails, Comp Reform

In remarks today, CFPB Director Chopra called for tailoring DIF assessments to protect community banks and to expand coverage to payroll and certain other accounts. He also said that current law may give regulators the tools needed to deal with viral runs via systemic designations for certain payment systems and/or providers. He did not explain how this would be accomplished in practice (e.g., mandatory speed bumps, etc.).

Daily041123.pdf…

11 04, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Top Brainard, Gruenberg Regulatory Rewrites

Arezou Rafikian2023-04-11T16:52:14-04:00April 11th, 2023|The Vault|

In this report, we drill down on prior forecasts (see Client Report REFORM219) of near-term regulatory action to identify the revisions sure to be prioritized as NEC Director Brainard and FDIC Chairman Gruenberg seek to reverse rules finalized over their objections when they were in the minority. Ms. Brainard does not have a direct role dictating what the Fed will do given central-bank independence, but she has a good deal of influence as evidenced most recently by the White House action list. Acting Comptroller Hsu was not casting formal votes over these years, but he was an influential staff leader in this area and clearly has his own list – see for example his efforts on bank merger and resolution policy (see FSM Report RESOLVE48). We expect he will concur with Vice Chairman Barr and Mr. Gruenberg if they all advance the rewrites to the tailoring rules to which Ms. Brainard and Mr. Gruenberg so strongly objected….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

11 04, 2023

REFORM220

Eliza Allen2023-04-11T10:41:47-04:00April 11th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: Top Brainard, Gruenberg Regulatory Rewrites

In this report, we drill down on prior forecasts (see Client Report REFORM219) of near-term regulatory action to identify the revisions sure to be prioritized as NEC Director Brainard and FDIC Chairman Gruenberg seek to reverse rules finalized over their objections when they were in the minority. Ms. Brainard does not have a direct role dictating what the Fed will do given central-bank independence, but she has a good deal of influence as evidenced most recently by the White House action list. Acting Comptroller Hsu was not casting formal votes over these years, but he was an influential staff leader in this area and clearly has his own list – see for example his efforts on bank merger and resolution policy (see FSM Report RESOLVE48). We expect he will concur with Vice Chairman Barr and Mr. Gruenberg if they all advance the rewrites to the tailoring rules to which Ms. Brainard and Mr. Gruenberg so strongly objected.

REFORM220.pdf…