3- This Week

23 02, 2024

AL022624

2024-02-23T16:40:22-05:00February 23rd, 2024|3- This Week|

Anniversary Party

March 10 is the one-year anniversary of Silicon Valley Bank’s costly failure, although one might better date the beginning of the end of regional-bank regulation as we knew it to March 8, the date Silvergate bit the digital dust.  Congress has talked much of these failures ever since, but actually done nothing but chide the banking agencies from different sides of the political spectrum based on what Members think of the massive regulatory rewrite proposed in SVB’s wake and ongoing internal work at the banking agencies to improve woefully-inadequate supervision.  We would add the value also of focusing on the FDIC’s inability to resolve troubled banks to the urgent to-do list, but Congress has yet to turn to it and so neither does the FDIC.  Still, lack of action does not mean lack of talk.  There will in fact be much, much talk about recent failures when Chair Powell comes to Congress next week and even, we expect, a bit of legislative action that just might change a little bit of banking law.

Al022624.pdf

16 02, 2024

Al021924

2024-02-16T15:54:42-05:00February 16th, 2024|3- This Week|

Bagehot’s Legacy

HFSC Financial Institutions Chair Barr (R-KY) last week invoked the patron saint of central banks, Walter Bagehot, reminding his hearing (see Client Report LIQUIDITY34) that central banks are to use their lender-of-last-resort powers only for solvent banks and then only at a premium.  To do other, Bagehot said and Mr. Barr repeated, is to encourage moral hazard, the sin the chair went on to attribute to the modern-day Federal Reserve.  He also floated legislation to curb the Fed’s 13(3) emergency-liquidity powers, legislation on which he will have a surprising ally, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA).  She is a long-time advocate of tougher restrictions on Fed emergency liquidity (see FSM Report FEDERALRESERVE21).  Still, we think the odds of legislation in this Congress are small, with Congress, the agencies, and banks sure instead to focus on what will be demanded of them in terms of discount-window readiness, FedWire resilience, FHLB access, and additional liquidity.  Vice Chair Barr is less enthusiastic than Acting Comptroller Hsu about new liquidity standards, but much is afoot and thus so are we.  More to come…

Al021924.pdf

9 02, 2024

Al021224

2024-02-09T16:40:01-05:00February 9th, 2024|3- This Week|

Are We Wasting Your Time?

We most assuredly hope not, but watching Congress last week was deeply dispiriting not only when it comes to the most critical issues of the day, but also to essential financial-policy decisions.  Our in-depth reports on Tuesday’s HFSC hearing with Secretary Yellen (see Client Report FSOC30) and Thursday’s Senate follow-up (see Client Report FSOC31) laid out key topics discussed and what was said as we always do.  But what we said about what was said was largely inconsequential because almost nothing of real note was said.  The exception came on Thursday when the Secretary intimated that near-term action may begin to deal with the systemic risk FSOC fears from nonbank mortgage companies.  But even here she was elliptical and no senator made any effort to pin her down.  Instead, they – like their House counterparts and the secretary – reiterated partisan talking points about the economy, inflation, and the debt.  But, reading between the lines in our reports and our other analyses illuminates a remarkable number of likely, meaningful Congressional actions on issues of immediate financial policy import assuming NYCB doesn’t fail and absorb the little bandwidth Congress seems to have for financial policy.

Al021224.pdf

2 02, 2024

Al020524

2024-02-02T16:12:41-05:00February 2nd, 2024|3- This Week|

Systemic Show-Down

As seems always the case, the Treasury Secretary’s appearance before Congress this week reporting on FSOC’s work will feature a lot more partisan wrangling than policy insight.  We will nonetheless glean what we can, with snippets possibly of greater import than usual because Democrats are pushing FSOC harder than ever to be more than the “book-report club” described by CFPB Director Chopra (see Client Report CONSUMER54).

Al020524.pdf

26 01, 2024

Al012624

2024-01-26T16:10:55-05:00January 26th, 2024|3- This Week|

Here We Go Again

Late last week, Bloomberg reported that the same kind of interest-bearing stablecoin products that wreaked havoc in 2023 and even some that purport to offer checking accounts are proliferating again with kudzu’s tenacity.  Offshore trading volumes for stablecoins grew 28 percent to almost touch $1 trillion at the end of last year, a move said to be bolstered by larger reserve assets at the largest stablecoin issuers.  The problem is that other than the case-by-case enforcement actions that drove this market offshore, there is still no U.S. law or rule to protect investors and, as stablecoins head over the $1 trillion hump, also the financial system.  Will that change this year?

Al012924.pdf

19 01, 2024

Al012224

2024-01-19T16:12:35-05:00January 19th, 2024|3- This Week|

Keep Those Cards and Letters… 

Although the comment deadline on the capital standards (see FSM Report CAPITAL230) closed last Tuesday, Members of Congress viewed that deadline with the same insouciance they adopt for keeping the federal government open.  That is, they got around to it when they felt like it.  As a result, letters on the capital rule keep coming in and FedFin analyses keep sending you summaries of each of their key points.  As Karen Petrou’s Monday memo will lay out, the most surprising aspect of most of the letters from Democrats is how guardedly they express support for the capital proposal.

Al012224.pdf

12 01, 2024

Al011524

2024-01-12T15:32:45-05:00January 12th, 2024|3- This Week|

The Shut-Down Shut-Up

Although the calendar later in this report notes several Congressional hearings set for this week, these will be poorly attended if they are even convened.  That’s because we’re back on the brink, waiting to find out if Speaker Johnson (R-LA) can corral his super-conservative colleagues or if key parts of the U.S. government will close their doors.  Even if they don’t, the disruption of an imminent shut-down and start-up is significant and much of the government is thus already holding its breath.  The banking agencies are funded outside the appropriations process and will soldier on, but other financial regulators face shut-down of all but their emergency functions as soon as the 19th and, if that deadline mercifully passes, then again on February 2nd when the rest of the government is on the brink of losing its funding.  A Washington snowstorm always stows chaos and the one likely on Tuesday surely won’t make any of this any easier.

Al011524.pdf

5 01, 2024

Al010824

2024-01-05T16:03:51-05:00January 5th, 2024|3- This Week|

Catch-up Class

We hope you had a long, lovely holiday and are energized for what will be a chaotic year of critical final regulatory decisions and turbulent political action.  FedFin analysts used the quiet time to ensure that we provided clients with in-depth analyses of important actions at the end of 2023 to be sure we’re all ready for 2024.

Al010824.pdf

29 12, 2023

Al010124

2023-12-29T10:35:55-05:00December 29th, 2023|3- This Week|

Federal Financial Analytics’ Weekly report will be abbreviated this week due to the holidays. In-depth analyses of weekly developments as well as Karen Petrou’s weekly memo will return next week. All of us at FedFin wish you a happy New Year.

Al010124.pdf

22 12, 2023

Al122523

2023-12-22T12:10:38-05:00December 22nd, 2023|3- This Week|

Weekly Analyses Returning In The New Year

Federal Financial Analytics’ Weekly report will be abbreviated this week due to the holidays.  In-depth analyses of weekly developments as well as Karen Petrou’s weekly memo will return in the new year.  All of us at FedFin wish you a joyous holiday season.

Al122523.pdf

Go to Top