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So far Arezou Rafikian has created 2100 blog entries.
21 04, 2025

American Banker, Monday, April 21, 2025

2025-04-22T12:54:20-04:00April 21st, 2025|Press Clips|

Fed regulation, supervision take backseat in independence fight

By Kyle Campbell

Federal Reserve officials are battling to maintain their political independence on monetary policy, but the same cannot be said for their regulatory and supervisory authorities. Instead, central bank officials have downplayed their ability to set their own banking oversight policies rather than boisterously defend it from the Trump administration’s efforts to bring it under more direct executive control… Some policy analysts and observers see the Fed’s disparate treatment of its authorities as a pragmatic choice. Facing pressure on multiple fronts, Karen Petrou, managing partner at Federal Financial Analytics, said the Fed was wise to bolster its monetary independence — and fortunate to have had it explicitly exempted from the Trump administration’s overtures.”The Fed is lucky to have maintained the Trump administration’s agreement to its monetary policy independence in the executive order the president issued on that point,” Petrou said, referring to a February action making independent agencies more accountable to the White House. “That was not a foregone conclusion.” Petrou added that the legislative history and the academic literature that establish and justify the Fed’s monetary independence do not clearly apply to its regulatory and supervisory functions. “Their independence for supervision dates to a period in which the principal concern was that bank examiners would sanction or favor banks based on [favoritism], and that remains a concern,” Petrou said. “But I don’t think that the kinds of rules that redefine macroeconomic growth or the competitive landscape, like …

3 04, 2025

FedFin Assessment: Will There be Banking Battles in This Trade War?

2025-04-03T16:37:22-04:00April 3rd, 2025|The Vault|

In this report, FedFin provides its first assessment of how the sweeping tariffs on trade-in-goods set last night by the White House are likely to affect financial-services firms.  We address first-order effects from trade-in-goods disruptions and resulting macroeconomic consequences as well as the extent to which this trade war – and it’s already a trade war – may spread to trade-in-services that disrupt the course of cross-border finance, transborder data flows, and even financial stability….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

31 03, 2025

FedFin on: Stablecoin Regulatory Framework

2025-03-31T13:07:30-04:00March 31st, 2025|The Vault|

The chair of the House Financial Services Committee, Rep. French Hill (R-AR), the Digital Asset Subcommittee’s chair, Rep. Bryan Steil (R-WI), eight other Republicans and three Democrats have introduced House legislation to create a long-awaited federal framework for dollar-denominated payment stablecoins.  The bill differs substantively from Senate language, especially with regard to the scope of federal authority and the extent to which stablecoins might come to supplant bank deposits.  However, the bills are similar in many respects and are likely to become still closer as House and Senate consideration continues ahead of final agreement and enactment into law later this spring….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

26 03, 2025

FedFin on: Trump Orders Improve Federal-Payment Efficiency, Increase White House Control

2025-03-26T15:52:28-04:00March 26th, 2025|The Vault|

As noted, the President yesterday issued two executive orders demanding significant change to the federal payment system.  In this report, we assess the financial-market and banking-system implications of the orders, one of which emphatically states that nothing done to enhance digitalization may be construed to authorize a central bank digital currency.  The purpose of the orders is to reduce fraud, with the Administration saying that GAO has calculated annual federal losses due to fraud to be as much as $521 billion, some of which is doubtless independent of payment-system operations……

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.

 …

21 02, 2025

Politico, Friday, February 21, 2025

2025-02-24T15:24:01-05:00February 21st, 2025|Press Clips|

Trump’s plan to rein in agencies sparks alarm for the Fed

20 02, 2025

FedFin on: Debanking Prohibition

2025-02-20T10:46:10-05:00February 20th, 2025|The Vault|

In concert with other efforts to prevent debanking, two Republican senators have introduced legislation to bar insured depository institutions from certain government contracts if the IDI or its affiliate refuses to do business with lawful enterprises they dislike on what the bill describes as social-policy grounds.  The bill is very brief and thus does not provide an administrative framework for implementation in areas such as determining which entities banks inappropriately dislike and which contracts are to be barred.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

19 02, 2025

FedFin Assessment: What Happens When OMB Runs Bank Regulation

2025-02-19T15:40:10-05:00February 19th, 2025|The Vault|

In this report, we build on our earlier alert regarding the President’s executive order (EO) bringing federal financial regulation and supervision directly under the Executive Branch.  Although some commenters have suggested this will have little material impact given pending Trump nominees to key posts, we expect it will at the least slow and in many cases alter what would be largely technical decisions by moving them into the often-viral political environment in ways far beyond changes now effected through the Congressional Review Act.  Further, areas where the banking industry seeks new rules – e.g., a rewrite of current capital standards taking the best of the 2023 proposal, cryptoasset certainty, debanking, NBFI constraints from the SEC/CFTC – could be complicated by White House or OMB demands based on little knowledge of financial markets and bank operations, along with political pressures rarely evident in the insular realm of banking-agency rulemakings….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

16 12, 2024

FedFin on: A Half-Empty Privatization Glass

2024-12-17T17:52:59-05:00December 16th, 2024|The Vault|

Markets are getting very excited by ongoing Trump transition rhetoric about GSE privatization and a Friday CBO study refining its 2020 scenarios to conclude that release-and-recapitalization could proceed more quickly and prove less costly than four years ago suggested.  That said, CBO remains cautious about what would happen if recap/release actually began, standing by its earlier, conservative view of budgetary implications and systemic impact.  One little-noticed conclusion of note for those favoring privatization for free-market reasons:  if privatized GSEs can’t sustain GSE volume, CBO concludes (we think rightly) that …

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

16 12, 2024

American Banker, Monday, December 16, 2024

2024-12-16T09:44:04-05:00December 16th, 2024|Press Clips|

Where the Fed’s Michael Barr goes from here

By Kyle Campbell

Michael Barr has a lot to do and little time to do it. His term as vice chair for supervision at the Federal Reserve ends in 19 months. Before then, he hopes to change liquidity standards, require more banks to issue long-term debt and rewrite the capital framework for the nation’s largest banks…The proposal stems from an agreement struck by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in 2017, which was itself a product of the group’s post-global financial crisis policy response. Implementing the Basel endgame has been a thorny issue for regulators around the world. The U.K. and the European Union also have not fully adopted the standards into their bank oversight regimes.But Karen Petrou, managing partner of  Financial Federal Analytics and a leading expert in regulatory policy, said the U.S. proposal put forth last year was simply too flawed to be codified. “The fundamental reason why the endgame capital rules and other priorities never advanced is that they were a combination of intensely technocratic detail combined with overarching, often inexplicable purposes, such as simply significantly raising capital requirements,” Petrou said. “Proposals like that, with so many technical flaws and inconsistencies combined with controversial objectives, almost always fail. It is a very poor approach to federal rulemaking.”

https://www.americanbanker.com/news/where-the-feds-michael-barr-goes-from-here

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