In this report, we build on our previous analyses of the mortgage implications of the pending capital rules, forecasting what’s next for mortgage assets as the FRB, FDIC, and OCC wrestle with the mess Karen Petrou has elsewhere argued they brought upon themselves by careless analytics and political misjudgment. We think the odds for significant changes to mortgage risk weightings are high, but this won’t be enough to quell demands for a brand-new proposal….

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