#FRB NY – Page 3 – Federal Financial Analytics

18 04, 2023

DAILY041823

Eliza Allen2023-04-18T17:03:30-04:00April 18th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Finds NBFIs a Source of Systemic Risk Over the Centuries

Reflecting renewed interest in “narrow banks,” the Federal Reserve Bank of New York blog posted evidence of systemic risk from nonbanks in the absence of any banks at all.

Stablecoin Compromise Faces Steep Challenges

As noted yesterday, HFSC’s Digital Asset Subcommittee is set for a Wednesday hearing clearly intended to lay the groundwork for near-term action on Chairman McHenry’s (R-NC) longstanding goal of enacting stablecoin legislation.

Despite Failures, DIF Restoration Ahead Of Schedule

At the FDIC Board’s meeting today, FDIC staff said that – while the timing for restoring the DIF to its 1.35% statutory minimum remains uncertain – the DIF could reach its statutory minimum ahead of time and by 2024.

Bowman Remains Staunch CBDC Skeptic

Reiterating that any U.S. CBDC requires Congressional approval, Gov. Bowman today also reiterated her longstanding skepticism to any such instrument.

CFPB Plans Timing Study to Buttress Junk-Fee Regs

The Federal Register today includes a CFPB comment request on its “Junk Fees Timing Study,” which would be part of a series of online lab experiments testing differences in consumer choices across different information presentations.

Warren, Reed Demand OFR Use Subpoenas To Obtain Systemic Data

Sens. Warren (D-MA) and Reed (D-RI) today urged OFR Acting Director Martin to fill data gaps around financial stability risks posed by climate change, cryptocurrencies, and repo markets.

Daily041823.pdf…

14 04, 2023

DAILY041423

Eliza Allen2023-04-14T16:36:06-04:00April 14th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Waller Defends Fed SVB Policy

FRB Gov. Waller today defended recent Fed actions, reiterating that SVB was an idiosyncratic risk but it also posed systemic run risk, the most fundamental threat to financial stability.

FHFA Opens the Suggestion Box

FHFA today sought views on its corpus of GSE regulation.

FRB-NY Proposes Novel Way To Prevent Bank Runs

A new post from FRB-NY staff adapts the minimum-balance-at-risk (MBR) policy long discussed for MMFs (see FSM Report MMF16) to bank deposits to determine the extent to which it would quell uninsured-deposit runs.

CFPB Announces Revisions To APOR Methodology

The CFPB today announced a revised version of its Methodology for Determining Average Prime Offer Rates (APOR).

Bowman Rejects Calls For New Rules

In remarks today, FRB Gov. Bowman again differed from Vice Chairman Barr, emphasizing that recent failures are likely not an “indictment” of current rules and that judgment should await the Fed’s report and those from others.

Daily041423.pdf…

11 04, 2023

DAILY041123

Eliza Allen2023-04-11T16:56:01-04:00April 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Finds Still Sticker Deposit Rates, Tougher Fed Policy Transmission

A new post from Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff concludes that, even as deposit funding declines, banks remain liquid due to less rate-sensitive sources such as time deposits and FHLB advances. As we noted when assessing a prior FRB-NY deposit post, these analyses go beyond conventional deposit-flight and unfair-competition arguments to show the complexity of funding-market behavior during periods of rising interest rates. The latest post brings the prior study through the end of 2022, showing continuing lags between the fed funds rate and interest-bearing deposit rates through the fourth quarter.

Chopra Wants Expanded FDIC Coverage, Payment-System Guardrails, Comp Reform

In remarks today, CFPB Director Chopra called for tailoring DIF assessments to protect community banks and to expand coverage to payroll and certain other accounts. He also said that current law may give regulators the tools needed to deal with viral runs via systemic designations for certain payment systems and/or providers. He did not explain how this would be accomplished in practice (e.g., mandatory speed bumps, etc.).

Daily041123.pdf…

10 04, 2023

DAILY041023

Eliza Allen2023-04-10T17:27:00-04:00April 10th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Study: When Franchise Value Flies Out the Window

In a timely Friday post ahead of earnings season, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s staff posted an assessment of the impact of higher interest rates on bank franchise value. This is judged by both going concern valuations (i.e., the economic value of equity, known as EVE) and how much tangible common equity (TCE) is left after liquidating a gone concern. Stylized models are developed of “traditional banks” – i.e., those where sticky core deposits constitute most liabilities and assets are principally adjustable-rate – versus “alternative banks” with large holdings of floating rate liabilities along with large books of fixed-rate assets.

Warren, AOC Challenge SVB’s Large Depositors

Following her request and that of Sen. Blumenthal (D-CT), Sen. Warren (D-MA) and Rep. Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) yesterday sent a series of letters to fourteen of SVB’s largest corporate depositors seeking to get at any abuses that may have precipitated the $42 billion run the day before the bank failed on March 10. The letters thus demand explanations for what they call a “mutual backscratching dynamic,” any actions related to deposit withdrawals, and the rationales behind large uninsured deposits.

Daily041023.pdf…

10 04, 2023

M041023

Eliza Allen2023-04-10T17:29:32-04:00April 10th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

Why the Fed is a Repeat Offender

As we noted in a recent report, a divided Congress that may not even be able to keep the U.S. Government in business is one unlikely to enact substantive financial reform. Thus, we’re in for yet another episode of political damage control, regulatory excuses, and a few heads on enforcement spikes without meaningful, measurable, and accountable supervisory reform. Been there, done that, had another financial crash, or so my dispiriting read of recent efforts to force post-crash supervisory reform makes all too clear. It’s probably too much to ask that Congress not flit off to the next election before it ensures meaningful regulatory-agency accountability for manifold supervisory lapses, but if it does what it usually does, then we are doomed to more crashes with worse consequences unless it and the White House force the Fed to do what it’s never done before: meaningfully and transparently improve supervisory rigor and enforcement might.

M041023.pdf…

10 04, 2023

Karen Petrou: Why the Fed is a Repeat Offender

Eliza Allen2023-04-10T17:29:46-04:00April 10th, 2023|The Vault|

As we noted in a recent report, a divided Congress that may not even be able to keep the U.S. Government in business is one unlikely to enact substantive financial reform. Thus, we’re in for yet another episode of political damage control, regulatory excuses, and a few heads on enforcement spikes without meaningful, measurable, and accountable supervisory reform. Been there, done that, had another financial crash, or so my dispiriting read of recent efforts to force post-crash supervisory reform makes all too clear. It’s probably too much to ask that Congress not flit off to the next election before it ensures meaningful regulatory-agency accountability for manifold supervisory lapses, but if it does what it usually does, then we are doomed to more crashes with worse consequences unless it and the White House force the Fed to do what it’s never done before: meaningfully and transparently improve supervisory rigor and enforcement might.

In my memo three weeks ago, I showed how regulators by 2001 had failed to act on the lessons of the 1980s and 1990s before the largest bank failure at the time presaged the great financial crisis hot on its heels. After the GFC, the U.S. convened the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC). When it issued its report in 2011, it drew scathing conclusions not only about all the “light-touch” regulation before the crash, but also supervisory unwillingness or inability to ensure that what rules there were were rules that were obeyed.

Despite this report and …

3 04, 2023

DAILY040323

Eliza Allen2023-04-03T17:05:54-04:00April 3rd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

BIS: Banning Capital Distributions Proved Good for Banks, Borrowers

If macroeconomic or market conditions worsen, it seems likely that anxious regulators will look to preserve bank capital and turn to the ban on capital distributions briefly in place at the height of the Covid crisis. A new BIS study of the impact these restrictions had on the EU at the time is thus a timely guide to regulatory thinking under new leadership at the White House, Fed, OCC, and FDIC.

CFPB Loads Its UDAAP Bazooka

The CFPB today released what to our initial review appears an explosive new policy statement even though the agency asserts that it sets no new policy.

BIS Study Finds Retail CBDCs May Counter Financial Shocks

Supporting its overall goal of two-tier CBDC, the BIS released a model-based working paper today finding that the introduction of a retail CBDC that is perfectly substitutable with bank deposits in an open, large economy (i.e., the U.S.) could lower real interest rates and be an effective tool for countering financial shocks.

Why MMFs Beat Bank Deposits

A new FRB-NY post uses recent evidence to confirm an earlier study that MMFs are more responsive than bank deposits to monetary-policy tightening. Indeed, the data are striking, with MMF rates since March of 22 matching fed funds moves by 97 percent versus an only eight percent match for three-month CDs.

Daily040323.pdf…

24 03, 2023

DAILY032423

Eliza Allen2023-03-24T17:13:54-04:00March 24th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Expands Attack On Fed Supervisory Actions

In yet another letter ahead of next week’s hearings, Senate Banking Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) and all Republican Members of the committee asked Fed Chairman Powell and FRB-SF President Daly a series of questions asserting that SVB’s failure reflects significant supervisory lapses.

FSOC Breaks The Glass

Although there is no formal announcement, FSOC will hold what is clearly an emergency, closed meeting later today per a new media advisory.

Top HFSC Republicans Join SVB-Supervisory Inquest

Following a similar letter from Senate Banking Republicans earlier today, HFSC Subcommittee Chairmans Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) along with Rep. Kim (R-CA) sent yet another letter to Vice Chair Barr and FRB-SF President Daly also demanding detailed supervisory-related information on SVB.

Reserve Banks Promise to Bear Some Sometime Soon

Under ever-growing pressure, all of the Federal Reserve Banks today under the New York Fed’s aegis announced a common transparency policy.

HFSC GOP Targets State Bank Supervisors

Top House Republicans today brought state banking commissions into the SVB and SBNY fray, asking each for extensive details on recent actions and setting the April 6 deadline now evident in all recent GOP requests in this arena.

GOP Leaders Also Demand FSOC Answers

HFSC Subcommittee Chairman Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) today also sent letters to FSOC Chair Yellen and Council of Inspectors General on Financial Oversight Chair Delmar requesting detailed information on meetings surrounding the banking agencies’ March 12 decision to invoke a systemic risk exception for SVB …

7 03, 2023

DAILY030723

Eliza Allen2023-03-07T16:44:19-05:00March 7th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Renews Culture Analyses With Fintech Focus

Although the New York Fed’s corporate-culture efforts were high profile in the wake of the great financial crisis, attention has shifted to matters leading the Reserve Bank to retool its effort. In remarks today, James Hennessy, head of this work at the New York Fed, announced that focus has turned to how the digital transformation affects corporate culture, looking for example at how new entrants affect bank decision-making. This appears to be a reference to a new inter-agency worry: that fintech or similar partnerships are driven more by bank profit considerations than attention at the same time to risk management and consumer protection.

Daily030723.pdf…

27 02, 2023

DAILY022723

Eliza Allen2023-02-27T16:39:49-05:00February 27th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY: CRA Now Makes No Measurable Difference

As the banking agencies wrestle with their still-unfinished CRA rule (see FSM Report CRA32), the Federal Reserve Bank of New York today released a staff report concluding that the law has little to no impact on like-kind household credit in target areas. Using data available only to the Fed, the report finds that banks largely meet CRA in target areas by acquiring existing mortgage loans, not making new ones.

SCOTUS Re CFPB Has Broad Ramifications

In a case with significant implications not only for the CFPB, but also other financial agencies, the Supreme Court today agreed to review the Fifth Circuit’s decision invalidating CFPB funding via transfers from the Federal Reserve’s income rather than annual Congressional appropriation.

CFPB Puts A Repeat Offender Out Of Business

Wielding the hammer Director Chopra claimed when he announced his campaign against repeat offenders, the CFPB today used the powers it argues derive from its authorizing law (see FSM Report CONSUMER14) to put a nonbank mortgage lender out of business. In this case, RMK Financial was found to have persistently violated a 2015 agreement under consumer-finance laws and rules to mislead veterans about the terms of their VA and FHA mortgages.

Daily022723.pdf…