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24 03, 2023

DAILY032423

2023-03-24T17:13:54-04:00March 24th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Expands Attack On Fed Supervisory Actions

In yet another letter ahead of next week’s hearings, Senate Banking Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) and all Republican Members of the committee asked Fed Chairman Powell and FRB-SF President Daly a series of questions asserting that SVB’s failure reflects significant supervisory lapses.

FSOC Breaks The Glass

Although there is no formal announcement, FSOC will hold what is clearly an emergency, closed meeting later today per a new media advisory.

Top HFSC Republicans Join SVB-Supervisory Inquest

Following a similar letter from Senate Banking Republicans earlier today, HFSC Subcommittee Chairmans Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) along with Rep. Kim (R-CA) sent yet another letter to Vice Chair Barr and FRB-SF President Daly also demanding detailed supervisory-related information on SVB.

Reserve Banks Promise to Bear Some Sometime Soon

Under ever-growing pressure, all of the Federal Reserve Banks today under the New York Fed’s aegis announced a common transparency policy.

HFSC GOP Targets State Bank Supervisors

Top House Republicans today brought state banking commissions into the SVB and SBNY fray, asking each for extensive details on recent actions and setting the April 6 deadline now evident in all recent GOP requests in this arena.

GOP Leaders Also Demand FSOC Answers

HFSC Subcommittee Chairman Barr (R-KY) and Huizenga (R-MI) today also sent letters to FSOC Chair Yellen and Council of Inspectors General on Financial Oversight Chair Delmar requesting detailed information on meetings surrounding the banking agencies’ March 12 decision to invoke a systemic risk exception for SVB …

23 03, 2023

DAILY032323

2023-03-23T17:09:59-04:00March 23rd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OFR Study Predicts Household Gains, Banking Instability From Digital Currencies

A new OFR working paper concludes that full integration of digital currencies into the economy would reduce financial-system volatility and improve household welfare, but also increase the probability of a banking crisis.

HFSC Poses Still Tougher SVB/SBNY Resolution Questions

Following tough GOP letters to the Fed and FDIC earlier this week, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and Subcommittee Chair Hill (R-AR) last night sent even sterner missives to Chairman Gruenberg and Secretary Yellen.

Bipartisan Push Begins For CEO Clawbacks

Ahead of its first of many hearings on the collapse of SVB and SBNY, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) and Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) today sent letters to the former CEOs of the banks demanding that they answer for the bank failures, noting also that they will be expected to testify before the Committee if they are unable to do so next week.

OFR Blog: CRE, Residential Markets Pose Little Systemic Risk

Despite growing concerns about CRE and even potential systemic risk, an OFR blog post today concludes that neither the residential nor commercial real estate market poses a significant threat to the financial system.

Basel Stands By Its Rules, Contemplates New Supervisory Standards

The Basel Committee’s release following its March 14 meeting unsurprisingly notes the bank failures preceding it just days before, but attributes them principally to poor risk management in the face of rising rates.

GSEs Seek Public Comment on Credit Score Model Transition

The FHFA today announced

22 03, 2023

DAILY032223

2023-03-22T17:37:57-04:00March 22nd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FTC Builds On Treasury Cloud Concerns, Seeks Competition, AI Views

Signaling apprehension about a number of risks outlined in a recent Treasury report, the FTC today requested comment on the business practices of cloud computing providers.

Scott, Warren Reach Over Partisan, Ideological Divide to Blast the Fed

Demonstrating the confluence of populist and progressive thinking about the Fed we anticipated at the start of this year, Sens. Rick Scott (R-FL) and Warren (D-MA) have introduced legislation mandating that the Fed’s inspector general be fully independent of the chair and board of governors.

Fed Under Still More Pressure to Boost Regional-Bank Supervision

Sen. Warren (D-MA) continued her prolific letter-writing campaign, today also joining with Sens. Duckworth (D-IL), Blumenthal (D-CT), Sanders (I-VT), Reed (D-RI), Hirono (D-HI), Markey (D-MA), King (I-ME), Whitehouse (D-RI), Smith (D-MN), Van Hollen (D-MD), and Schatz (D-HI) to call upon Vice Chairman Barr quickly to heighten regulatory standards for banking organizations between $100 and $250 billion.

Powell Protests Suggestions Of Fed Supervisory Error

At his press conference today, Chairman Powell sought to defend the Fed so vigorously that some of his comments may ignite still more criticism.

Yellen Denies FDIC-Coverage Rewrite, Suggests Need for Liquidity-Rule Revisions

In her appearance today before the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Financial Services and General Government, Treasury Secretary Yellen refuted press reports that Treasury is considering significant deposit-insurance coverage expansion, saying only that the banking system is safe and it is too soon to consider structural reforms.

Daily032223.pdf

20 03, 2023

DAILY032023

2023-03-20T17:07:20-04:00March 20th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

HFSC Sets Plan For Crisis Review

In what may be an effort to buy some time as the banking crisis hopefully eases and tempers cool, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) late Friday asked GAO to conduct an immediate review of recent bank failures, insider actions, and related policy actions such as the March 12 systemic rescue and new Fed facility.

Warren Piles On To Powell With New IG Study

Sen. Warren (D-MA) in a letter Saturday applied even more pressure on the banking agencies by urging the Fed’s, FDIC’s, and Treasury’s IGs to conduct independent investigations of the bank as well as “regulatory and supervisory problems” leading to failures, renewing claims that Chair Powell is especially culpable.

McHenry, Scott Take Gloves Off For Fed, FDIC Investigation

HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and Ranking Senate Banking Member Scott (R-SC) today sent letters to Chair Powell and Chair Gruenberg, making it clear that – for all Mr. McHenry’s more conciliatory statements – Republicans are launching an investigation premised on potential missteps by the Fed and/or FDIC warranting rapid remediation.

House GOP Conservatives Oppose Liberalized FDIC-Coverage Ceiling

Countering demands for an end to FDIC insurance ceilings not only from Sen. Warren (D-MA), but also from their GOP peers, the very conservative House Freedom Caucus today released a statement demanding an end to what it calls “big government bailouts.”

Daily032023.pdf

17 03, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Future of U.S. Bank Capital, Liquidity, Structural Regulation

2023-03-17T16:50:38-04:00March 17th, 2023|The Vault|

In this report, we continue our policy postmortem of SVB/SBNY and, now, so much more.  Prior reports have assessed the overall political context (see Client Report RESOLVE49) and likely changes to FDIC insurance (see Client Report DEPOSITINSURANCE118), with a forthcoming Petrou op-ed in Barron’s focusing on specific ways to reform federal deposit insurance to protect only the innocent.  In this report, we look at some key regulatory changes likely as the banking agencies reevaluate the regional-bank capital, liquidity, and the IDI/BHC construct.  As noted in our initial assessment and thereafter, we do not expect meaningful legislative action on the Warren, et. al. bill to repeal “tailoring” requirements, but we do expect bipartisan political pressure not just for supervisory accountability (see another forthcoming report), but also regulatory revisions.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

17 03, 2023

REFORM216

2023-03-17T14:27:00-04:00March 17th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment:  Future of U.S. Bank Capital, Liquidity, Structural Regulation

In this report, we continue our policy postmortem of SVB/SBNY and, now, so much more.  Prior reports have assessed the overall political context (see Client Report RESOLVE49) and likely changes to FDIC insurance (see Client Report DEPOSITINSURANCE118), with a forthcoming Petrou op-ed in Barron’s focusing on specific ways to reform federal deposit insurance to protect only the innocent.  In this report, we look at some key regulatory changes likely as the banking agencies reevaluate the regional-bank capital, liquidity, and the IDI/BHC construct.  As noted in our initial assessment and thereafter, we do not expect meaningful legislative action on the Warren, et. al. bill to repeal “tailoring” requirements, but we do expect bipartisan political pressure not just for supervisory accountability (see another forthcoming report), but also regulatory revisions.  While Republicans strongly opposed tougher capital rules when Chairman Powell appeared before them just last week (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE73), we expect them now only to make token statements of concern about any changes that do not adversely affect smaller banking organizations.  In addition to looking at specific regulatory rewrites, this report assesses timing, noting in particular how the pending end-game rules could serve as the vehicle for changes the agencies hope to muster quickly in order to minimize demands for structural change to their own powers.

REFORM216.pdf

16 03, 2023

DAILY031623

2023-03-16T17:11:59-04:00March 16th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FedFin Assessment: One CS Consequence – LISCC Reinstatement For All Large Foreign GSIBs

In the wake of CS’s distress, we draw client attention to a 2021 exchange sure to factor heavily in the political response.

Brown Presses For In-Depth SVB, Signature Review

As anticipated (see Client Report RESOLVE49), Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) today called on all the banking agencies and Treasury quickly to undertake a review of SVB and Signatures failures.

Warren Heaps Still More Blame On Powell

In another letter today, Sen. Warren (D-MA) once again lambasted Chair Powell for what she claimed was his direct contribution to the collapse of Signature Bank and SVB as well as a “a culture of corruption” at the Fed.

Senate GOP Blames Fed, California re SVB

Senate Banking Republicans today tweeted a series of comments citing articles going back to last year identifying SVB risk and suggesting strongly that the Fed and California state supervisors are at fault for missing clear warning signs.

Bipartisan Senators Push Better Beneficial-Ownership Data Access

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Whitehouse (D-RI) was joined by Sens. Wyden (D-OR), Warren (D-MA), Grassley (R-IA), and Rubio (R-FL) late yesterday in submitting a comment letter to FinCEN taking serious issue with its proposed implementation of the Corporate Transparency Act (CTA) (see FSM Report AML135).

Senate Finance Hearing Deepens SVB Divide

At a heated Senate Finance hearing with Treasury Secretary Yellen, Members were quick to deviate from the hearing’s budget-focused agenda to address who should bear the …

13 03, 2023

DAILY031323

2023-03-13T17:25:04-04:00March 13th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Biden Promises Regulatory Revamp

In an effort to restore confidence in the banking system, President Biden announced that he will ask Congress and the banking regulators to strengthen regulations that were rolled back by the Trump administration.

Political Battle Lines Take Shape

In the wake of yesterday’s decision to protect all SVB depositors, Members of Congress are now positioning themselves for future action.

Biden Presses Stability in Wake of SVB, Signature Rescues

Reflecting ongoing uncertainties and political fallout, President Biden later this morning reiterated comments from earlier today noted in our prior alert.

Comment Deadline Set for GSE Capital Proposal

The Federal Register today includes the FHFA’s proposal to refine Fannie and Freddie’s capital construct.

Fed Tries to Get Ahead of SVB Storm

Even as Sen. Hagerty (R-TN) led calls to review Fed supervision, the Fed today announced that Vice Chair Barr will lead a review of SVB’s supervision and regulation.

Daily031323.pdf

13 03, 2023

RESOLVE49

2023-03-13T16:56:53-04:00March 13th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin First Take:  Failure Fall-out

As we noted last night, the President concurred with Treasury, the Fed, and FDIC in deciding that SVB’s Friday failure and imminent runs on Signature Bank and, most likely, others posed a systemic risk.  This determination permits the FDIC to override all the efforts to end the moral hazard feared when uninsured depositors are fully protected in bank resolutions and came with a new Fed facility making it still easier for banks to obtain liquidity from the Federal Reserve.  As we also observed, much effort is being made to assert that none of these backstops is a bailout, a conclusion sure to draw considerable discussion and dissent even from those who concur that the scale of potential run risk Monday morning could not otherwise have been averted.  With this risk hopefully now resolved, much policy and political debate will begin about the Administration’s decision; why Silicon Valley Bank was so vulnerable; whether rules or enforcement are to blame for its failure, that of Signature Bank, and systemic fragility; and – even if rules are generally robust – which revisions to them are needed.  The overall construct of reactions to this emergency and then the likelihood of substantive response beyond the Congressional statements and President’s commitment to new rules this morning will emerge in more specific form over the next few days if market strains continue to ease.  FedFin will of course continue to apprise clients of key considerations.

RESOLVE49.pdf

13 03, 2023

FedFin First Take: Failure Fall-out

2023-03-15T16:50:33-04:00March 13th, 2023|The Vault|

As we noted last night, the President concurred with Treasury, the Fed, and FDIC in deciding that SVB’s Friday failure and imminent runs on Signature Bank and, most likely, others posed a systemic risk.  This determination permits the FDIC to override all the efforts to end the moral hazard feared when uninsured depositors are fully protected in bank resolutions and came with a new Fed facility making it still easier for banks to obtain liquidity from the Federal Reserve.  As we also observed, much effort is being made to assert that none of these backstops is a bailout, a conclusion sure to draw considerable discussion and dissent even from those who concur that the scale of potential run risk Monday morning could not otherwise have been averted.  With this risk hopefully now resolved, much policy and political debate will begin about the Administration’s decision; why Silicon Valley Bank was so vulnerable;…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

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