#Raskin

19 01, 2022

Daily011922

2023-04-24T13:33:40-04:00January 19th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

GOP Signals Congressional CBDC Strategy
Although the bill will not pass in this Congress, we draw client attention to H.R. 6415, legislation just now noted in the Congressional Record to bar the FRB from offering the “FedAccounts” Democrats espouse (see FSM Report CBDC).

OCC Grants Non-Traditional Charter Conditions on BHC Status
After close of business yesterday, the OCC gave conditional approval to SoFi’s acquisition of an insured depository and thus to its charter now as a full-service national bank.  The approval signals not only that the OCC will approve acquisitions and continue to charter national banks even in non-traditional cases, but also that the moratorium on crypto charters remains in full force.

Senate Banking Split on Several Key Nominations
The Senate Banking Committee today voted on several key Biden Administration nominees without taking up any of the pending Fed appointments.  The narrowness of several votes makes it clear that, as we anticipated (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE66), controversial appointments such as Sarah Bloom Raskin and Lael Brainard have uncertain futures.

Large Banks Lead on D&I, CFPB Study Finds
The CFPB today released a report analyzing publicly-available FY2020 diversity and inclusion data for depository and nondepository institutions, putting forward a series of best practice recommendations.

Daily011922.pdf

18 01, 2022

Daily011822

2023-04-24T13:38:11-04:00January 18th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

FinCEN Takes Cautious Steps to AML Innovation
In remarks just released today, Acting FinCEN Director Him Das largely revisited recent FinCEN actions in response to Congressional requirements.

Brown Lays Out Fed Confirmation Plan
Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) today told press that he will accelerate hearings on Fed-nominees Bloom Raskin, Cook, and Jefferson as well as seek floor time in early February. He did not make it clear if he hopes to package all these nominations with Mr. Powell’s in hopes that this will provide additional votes, but Senate procedure requires votes on each nomination even if all are taken up together.

DOJ/FTC Propose Structural Antitrust Rewrite
Although the Department of Justice already has opened the door for public comment on bank mergers (see FSM Report MERGER10), it and the Federal Trade Commission today sought comment on the entire U.S. antitrust construct.

Daily011822.pdf

14 01, 2022

Al011422

2023-04-24T15:20:35-04:00January 14th, 2022|3- This Week|

Filling Out the Fed

Last week was an eventful week for the Federal Reserve, not only due to critical appointments and confirmations, but also because the latest round of inflation data has made the central bank’s forecasting skills seem still less prescient and its power to determine the macro economy even more precarious.  As we noted in our reports (see below), Senate Republicans appear ready to let Mr. Powell off the hook, doubtless because they view him as the least objectionable option from their perspective than anyone else President Biden might nominate.  Instead, they have targeted Lael Brainard’s vice-chair nomination as the one on which they’ll take an anti-inflation stand.  For good measure, Republicans are also and more quietly signaling to the Fed that, if they’re unhappy with either monetary or regulatory policy, they will stop just talking about Fed independence and start taking it away.

Al011422.pdf

13 01, 2022

FEDERALRESERVE68

2023-04-24T15:39:54-04:00January 13th, 2022|5- Client Report|

Brainard Navigates Troubled Waters; Looks Like Smooth Sailing for Thompson

At today’s confirmation hearing, Gov. Brainard took a lot of the heat on inflation Republicans only mildly mentioned during Mr. Powell’s Tuesday confirmation hearing (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE67).  As we anticipated (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE66) this reflects the fact that the GOP is united in opposition to her appointment as Fed vice chair; should she hold Sen. Manchin (D-WV) she will be confirmed; if not, perhaps not.  Ranking Member Toomey (R-PA) also used the occasion to signal – again unsurprisingly – GOP opposition should Sarah Bloom Raskin be nominated as the Fed’s supervisory vice chair.

FEDERALRESERVE68.pdf

13 01, 2022

FedFin on: Brainard Navigates Troubled Waters; Looks Like Smooth Sailing for Thompson

2023-04-24T15:40:10-04:00January 13th, 2022|The Vault|

At today’s confirmation hearing, Gov. Brainard took a lot of the heat on inflation Republicans only mildly mentioned during Mr. Powell’s Tuesday confirmation hearing (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE67). As we anticipated (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE66) this reflects the fact that the GOP is united in opposition to her appointment as Fed vice chair; should she hold Sen. Manchin (D-WV) she will be confirmed; if not, perhaps not. Ranking Member Toomey (R-PA) also used the occasion to signal – again unsurprisingly – GOP opposition should Sarah Bloom Raskin be nominated….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

12 01, 2022

FedFin Forecast: Prudential Regulatory Framework Set for Structural Change Largely Built on Current Standards

2023-04-24T15:49:23-04:00January 12th, 2022|The Vault|

As promised, FedFin begins our 2022 forecasts with this in-depth report on bank regulation. In general, we conclude that the context of decisions in 2022 and beyond will shift from a focus on tailoring efficiencies and burden relief to one emphasizing risk mitigation, fairness, equity, and — for the very biggest banks — a smaller systemic footprint. This report looks at the impact of pending personnel decisions as well as the outlook for climate-risk, new capital rules, FBO standards, and other key issues….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

12 01, 2022

REFORM211

2023-04-24T15:49:07-04:00January 12th, 2022|5- Client Report|

FedFin Forecast: Prudential Regulatory Framework Set for Structural Change Largely Built on Current Standards

As promised, FedFin begins our 2022 forecasts with this in-depth report on bank regulation.  In general, we conclude that the context of decisions in 2022 and beyond will shift from a focus on tailoring efficiencies and burden relief to one emphasizing risk mitigation, fairness, equity, and — for the very biggest banks — a smaller systemic footprint.  This report looks at the impact of pending personnel decisions as well as the outlook for climate-risk, new capital rules, FBO standards, and other key issues.  The only rule we think might get a near-term substantive rewrite is the stress capital buffer (see FSM Report CAPITAL225) via tougher CCAR standards and a reversal of the prior decision to end qualitative objections.  The odds of a leverage rewrite are smaller, but not negligible.

REFORM211.pdf

10 01, 2022

Al011022

2023-04-25T14:02:41-04:00January 10th, 2022|3- This Week|

2022 BUILDING BLOCKS

We hope the holidays gave you a relaxing break no matter your travel and omicron worries.  FedFin staff stayed busy because so did federal policy-makers.  Actions in the last two weeks or so lay a solid platform for game-changing decisions in 2022 on…

Al011022.pdf

10 01, 2022

FEDERALRESERVE66

2023-04-25T14:19:06-04:00January 10th, 2022|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: Powell, Brainard Confirmations Confront Challenges

Many of you have asked us to forecast key policy implications ahead of two high-powered hearings this week considering President Biden’s top Fed nominees.  We will as usual provide clients with in-depth analyses after the Senate Banking Committee ponders Chairman Powell’s nomination for a second term on Tuesday and Gov. Brainard’s to become vice chair on Thursday.  Now, we explain why we think Mr. Powell’s confirmation chances – while still good – are not the slam-dunk many media sources suggest and why Gov. Brainard also faces a challenging outlook.  We will not consider the odds that an appointment in the next few days of Sarah Bloom Raskin as vice chair for supervision will alter the political calculus except to say that the last time the White House tried this Sen. Warren (D-MA) didn’t budge.  We don’t expect she will this time.  This report does not consider other pending nominations to join the Board of Governors because none of them are likely to affect policy debate except when it comes to demands for greater Fed diversity.

FEDERALRESERVE66.pdf

 

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