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24 03, 2023

FedFin Analysis: Whom and What the FDIC and Fed Can Save How

2023-03-24T17:05:38-04:00March 24th, 2023|The Vault|

Recent editorials and other media have often said that the FRB and/or FDIC have powers or taken actions that is not the factual case as we understand it.  Members of Congress also appear sometimes willing to make assertions about what agencies can do now even if it is unclear if there is statutory authority to do so.  We have provided individual clients with key clarifications, but do so now more generally to support strategic and advocacy decision-making.  Of particular importance is the authority the FDIC is said to have or lack related to uninsured deposits; as detailed below, the agency actually has significant authority to do so as well as even to back BHC debt, as long as certain stringent conditions are met.  As detailed in FSM Report RESCUE65, Congress limited both the FDIC and Fed in hopes that….

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24 03, 2023

RESCUE79

2023-03-24T16:30:20-04:00March 24th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Analysis: Whom and What the FDIC and Fed Can Save How

Recent editorials and other media have often said that the FRB and/or FDIC have powers or taken actions that is not the factual case as we understand it.  Members of Congress also appear sometimes willing to make assertions about what agencies can do now even if it is unclear if there is statutory authority to do so.  We have provided individual clients with key clarifications, but do so now more generally to support strategic and advocacy decision-making.  Of particular importance is the authority the FDIC is said to have or lack related to uninsured deposits; as detailed below, the agency actually has significant authority to do so as well as even to back BHC debt, as long as certain stringent conditions are met.  As detailed in FSM Report RESCUE65, Congress limited both the FDIC and Fed in hopes that the Dodd-Frank orderly-liquidation authority (OLA, see FSM Report SYSTEMIC30) would permit orderly resolution of even the largest banks and nonbanks without long-term federal support; a subsequent FedFin report will bring the assessment of OLA powers into the current crises’ context given that Congress will surely seek to determine why the FDIC and its sister authorities chose to provide taxpayer support rather than deploy OLA.

RESCUE79.pdf

20 03, 2023

Karen Petrou: Three Fast, Urgent Fixes to U.S. Bank Supervision and One Major Change to End Bailouts

2023-03-20T11:35:24-04:00March 20th, 2023|The Vault|

In the wake of recent bank failures, much has rightly been said about how supervisors failed to act even though warning claxons blared.  Nothing that happened to Silvergate, SVB, or Signature is due to forces beyond supervisory control, but there are deep, structural weaknesses in how banks have long been supervised.  How long?  I went back to my 2001 Senate Banking testimony about what was then the largest-ever failure to find that many of the lessons that should have been learned never sunk in.

Given that this hearing was in 2001, a good deal of what I said about bank capital requirements was about Basel I and is thus long out of date.  However, one key point isn’t:  the capital triggers used to spark prompt corrective action (PCA) were and are an unduly-simplistic way to identify the need for rapid supervisory intervention.

Silvergate, SVB, and Signature were all “well” capitalized right up to the brink of collapse because each of the banks in its own way arbitraged the capital rules to enormous – and obvious – advantage.  Nothing in law or rule bars bank supervisors from stepping in well before PCA ratios sink but nothing seems to stir supervisors to do so.  1991’s PCA requirements were an important advance at the time, but it was outdated only a decade later.  Now, it’s a dangerous supervisory distraction.

What else noted in 2001 remains an urgent fix?  Over two decades ago, I urged the FDIC to reinstate the high-growth early-warning system it …

20 03, 2023

M032023

2023-03-20T11:35:13-04:00March 20th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

Three Fast, Urgent Fixes to U.S. Bank Supervision and One Major Change to End Bailouts

In the wake of recent bank failures, much has rightly been said about how supervisors failed to act even though warning claxons blared.  Nothing that happened to Silvergate, SVB, or Signature is due to forces beyond supervisory control, but there are deep, structural weaknesses in how banks have long been supervised.  How long?  I went back to my 2001 Senate Banking testimony about what was then the largest-ever failure to find that many of the lessons that should have been learned never sunk in.

m032023.pdf

10 03, 2023

DAILY031023

2023-03-10T16:57:08-05:00March 10th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Anti-Woke Is Worse Than Woke When It Comes To Financial Distortion

A new study released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago concludes that anti-woke policies distort financial outcomes by looking at 2021 Texas law prohibiting municipalities from conducting certain businesses with financial institutions that violated the law’s anti-woke criteria.

CFPB Opens Mortgage Servicing to Regulatory Rewrite

The CFPB today published an RFI seeking the effect of TILA mortgage loan originator rules on small businesses as part of a regular ten-year review.

FedFin Assessment: SVB’s Failure And Its Aftermath

As clients will recall, we predicted Silvergate’s failure, but not its contagion risk for Silicon Valley Bank, which failed earlier this morning following the combination of a run and capital shortfall.

SVB Rumors Stoke Treasury Response

Following the sudden failure of Silicon Valley Bank, Treasury Secretary Yellen today convened the heads of the Fed, FDIC, and OCC to discuss its ramifications.

Congress Begins SVB Inquiry

In the first of a series of statements sure to come from Congress, HFSC Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) today said that she was alarmed by the collapse of SVB and that she is monitoring and convening Committee members with regulators.

Daily031023.pdf

28 02, 2023

DAILY022823

2023-02-28T17:16:34-05:00February 28th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

CFPB Treads Gingerly on Mortgage-Disclosure Exceptions

In a notice emphasizing the CFPB’s distaste for allowing regulatory exceptions, the Bureau asks for comment on an application for one to which it seems a bit more sympathetic.

FDIC Sees Sunny Side of Bank Earnings Data

In its review of banking-industry fourth-quarter results, the FDIC today notes a sharp increase in the gap between bank loan yield and deposit interest costs.

Basel Forecasts End-Game Capital Shortfalls

The Basel Committee today issued its latest monitoring report, finding that large global banks saw capital decreases to pre-pandemic levels even as liquidity ratios continued to improve.

Bipartisan China Bills Fly Through HFSC Markup

As anticipated, HFSC today reported five bills to censure China and protect Taiwan, along with bills addressing drug-trafficking financing, biomedical security and bank service company examinations.

Democrats Stand Firm versus Privacy Preemption

Following an orderly and bipartisan start to today’s HFSC markup, Democrats and Republicans today came to verbal blows over the Chairman’s data privacy bill.

Daily022823.pdf

1 12, 2022

DAILY120122

2022-12-01T17:57:37-05:00December 1st, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

FDIC, FRB-NY Highlight AOCI Losses

In remarks accompanying the banking-sector 3Q report, Acting FDIC Chairman Gruenberg noted that unrealized losses on AFS/HTM securities now total $690 billion, up 47 percent from just the second quarter.  This issue is also highlighted in remarks today from the head of supervision at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, but neither she nor Mr. Gruenberg indicates if the agencies plan any action in this arena.

Brown Talks Civil Rights, GOP Attacks CFPB

Although Chairman Brown (D-OH) used today’s Fair Lending hearing to renew discussion of his 2020 legislation bringing financial institutions under the Civil Rights Act (see FSM Report FAIRLEND9), most of the focus at the session was on the CFPB.

House Panel Blasts Fintech PPP Practices, Seeks Investigation

A new report from the Select Committee on the Coronavirus investigating the role of fintechs in PPP fraud concludes that fintechs failed to implement appropriate oversight and fraud-prevention strategies despite accruing “massive” profits from administration fees.

Barr Talks Even Tougher on Bank Capital Rewrite

Although Vice Chairman Barr today confirmed statements to the Senate Banking Committee (see Client Report REFORM214) that his holistic-capital review is under way without any immediate conclusions, he also emphasized that it will ensure that ample capitalization is sufficient for severe stress and creates incentives for prudent lending.  Current capital levels are, he said, at the low end of what research suggests they should be.

Daily120122.pdf

30 09, 2022

DAILY093022

2022-10-03T13:40:26-04:00September 30th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Brainard Acknowledges Risk But Sticks to Policy Guns

Responding to acute concerns that Fed policy will shatter global financial stability, Fed Vice Chair Brainard today emphasized her longstanding and once-isolated view that monetary policy must consider financial stability.

Global Standard-Setters Turn to Clearing Margin, Liquidity

The Basel Committee, IOSCO, and CPMI issued the first substantive response to the FSB’s decision to target margining practices following its review of the 2020 financial crisis and the need to address nonbank financial intermediation (see Client Report NBFI).

HFSC Republicans Denounce Beneficial Ownership Rule

HFSC Ranking Member McHenry (R-NC) and Rep. Luetkemeyer (R-MO) released a statement today sharply criticizing FinCEN’s beneficial ownership final rule as overly broad and complex.

Basel Concludes High Capital Compatible with Sustained Profitability

The Basel Committee today released its latest report on bank capitalization, finding that profitability remains robust despite capital ratios increasing to the highest level since the beginning of the exercise in 2012.

Bowman Comes Out Swinging on New, Costly Big-Bank Rules

Following a speech earlier this week largely siding with banks on merger policy, FRB Gov. Bowman today agreed with assertions from bank CEOs (see Client Report REFORM213) and others that the largest U.S. banks are now well capitalized as judged by ratios and effective stress testing.

FRB/FDIC Turn to Regional Resolvability

The Fed and FDIC today announced that they will shortly propose resolution guidance for most regional banks.

Daily093022.pdf

3 08, 2022

DAILY080322

2023-01-04T13:29:59-05:00August 3rd, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Senate Ag Crypto Bill Lauds CFTC, Faces Many Obstacles

As we anticipated as the crypto debate continues, the Senate Agriculture Committee has sought to claim jurisdiction with a new, bipartisan bill granting the CFTC broad regulatory, supervisory, and enforcement powers over most digital-asset platforms and the assets traded on them.

ECB Study Favors CBDCs Over Private Crypto for Cross-Border Payments

study released by the ECB today argues that CBDCs would be a cheaper, safer, and more effective vehicle for cross border payments for global transactions than privately-issued cryptoassets or stablecoins.  Based on assessment of global, not just EU markets, the study thus has implications for those in the U.S. opposing a CBDC.

FRB-Minneapolis Renews Attack on Big-Bank Capital Resilience

Renewing its attack on big-bank capital ratios, the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis today released its own stress-test conclusions, reinforcing its president’s longstanding view that the largest U.S. banks are woefully under-capitalized even though test results show considerable variance on a bank-by-bank basis as well as overall resilience.

FRB Philadelphia President Touts Fintech’s Financial Inclusion Potential

FRB Philadelphia President Patrick Harker today stated that fintech can increase financial inclusion, specifically citing buy-now pay-later products because they offer financial services to low- to moderate-income customers who would otherwise be locked out of traditional lending because they are more likely to be non-White, lower earning, and younger.

Daily080322.pdf

20 07, 2022

GSE147

2023-01-06T14:35:08-05:00July 20th, 2022|5- Client Report|

Thompson Emphasizes CRT, Equitable Finance, Safety as Top FHFA Objectives

At her first hearing as confirmed FHFA Director, Sandra Thompson made it clear to House Financial Services that she is committed to expanding credit-risk transfer (CRT), encouraging equitable finance via new GSE activities, and recapitalizing Fannie and Freddie as quickly as possible. Pressed by Rep. Hill (R-AR) to finalize a 2020 proposal to make new Enterprise programs subject to public notice, Ms. Thompson promised to finalize a rule but demurred when asked to do so by year-end. Her written testimony includes a commitment for a ninety-day listening session to consider a new mission for the Federal Home Loan Banks, but members did not ask about this or other recent calls to reconsider the System.

GSE147.PDF

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