#deposit insurance

24 04, 2023

M042423

2023-04-24T10:40:00-04:00April 24th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

The Price of Higher FDIC Protection and How to Prevent It

Last week’s memo stirred up a lot of comment about ways to provide at least some private-sector deposit insurance.  The consensus is that, while nothing is easy about a private-sector backstop for federal coverage, the concept warrants careful consideration because all the other reform ideas on their own are still more problematic.  This isn’t just because proposals for expanded federal coverage – my own included – extend the federal safety net at resulting moral hazard.  In some cases, as I said, this risk is worth taking because some depositors warrant protection.  Still, there’s sure to be a price for more federal coverage – super-costly premiums and/or more bank regulation – that argue for market-based solutions to the greatest extent compatible with social welfare and stable finance.

M042423.pdf

24 04, 2023

Karen Petrou: The Price of Higher FDIC Protection and How to Prevent It

2023-04-24T10:40:22-04:00April 24th, 2023|The Vault|

Last week’s memo stirred up a lot of comment about ways to provide at least some private-sector deposit insurance.  The consensus is that, while nothing is easy about a private-sector backstop for federal coverage, the concept warrants careful consideration because all the other reform ideas on their own are still more problematic.  This isn’t just because proposals for expanded federal coverage – my own included – extend the federal safety net at resulting moral hazard.  In some cases, as I said, this risk is worth taking because some depositors warrant protection.  Still, there’s sure to be a price for more federal coverage – super-costly premiums and/or more bank regulation – that argue for market-based solutions to the greatest extent compatible with social welfare and stable finance.

This trade-off was most recently addressed last week by John Vickers, a former U.K. regulator.  Commenting on proposals across the pond akin to those in the U.S. to expand the sovereign deposit backstop, Mr. Vickers cautioned that added coverage should come with higher regulatory capital to ensure that banks do not take undue advantage of the comfy quilt into which the current, porous safety net would be transformed.

The U.K. deposit insurance system is different than that in the U.S., most notably by the absence of costly, ex ante bank premiums for the privilege of deposit-insurance coverage.  However, the U.S. risk-based premium system that sets bank premium payments is asset – not insured deposit – based.  As a result, coverage could go up considerably …

17 04, 2023

M041723

2023-04-17T12:01:55-04:00April 17th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

Why FDIC Privatization Isn’t a Pipe Dream

As night follows day, so proposals to privatize the FDIC have again followed bank failures.  While debate over deposit-insurance privatization was, is, and will be an ideological tug of war between free-market conservatives and government safety-net progressives, it’s nonetheless an important option that warrants careful analysis as the FDIC yet again faces huge losses, banks are charged crippling and procyclical premiums, and talk turns to still more federal coverage at still greater risk not just to insured banks, but also to taxpayers.  Pure FDIC privatization remains impossible, but target risk transfers warrant careful, but quick consideration.

M041723.pdf

17 04, 2023

Karen Petrou: Why FDIC Privatization Isn’t a Pipe Dream

2023-04-17T12:02:05-04:00April 17th, 2023|The Vault|

As night follows day, so proposals to privatize the FDIC have again followed bank failures.  While debate over deposit-insurance privatization was, is, and will be an ideological tug of war between free-market conservatives and government safety-net progressives, it’s nonetheless an important option that warrants careful analysis as the FDIC yet again faces huge losses, banks are charged crippling and procyclical premiums, and talk turns to still more federal coverage at still greater risk not just to insured banks, but also to taxpayers.  Pure FDIC privatization remains impossible, but target risk transfers warrant careful, but quick consideration.

Privatization was last seriously discussed when Congress rewrote FDIC coverage in 2006.  This was a halcyon time when the FDIC was so sanguine about all the rules put in place after the S&L and bank crises that its 2007 study confidently predicted that systemic risk was a thing of the past, uninsured deposits would never again be covered, and the Deposit Insurance Fund more than sufficed for any systemic situation.

Of course, the great financial crisis that began later that same year put the lie to all this happy talk.  Privatization proposals now aren’t anywhere near as happy nor do they repeat past assertions that, with FDIC privatization, the nation could also dispense with bank regulation.  Instead, and for good reason, talk has now returned to private options because, without them, moral hazard seems sure to be embedded in a financial system that is still more shadowy.

A modern rethink of FDIC privatization must …

11 04, 2023

DAILY041123

2023-04-11T16:56:01-04:00April 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Finds Still Sticker Deposit Rates, Tougher Fed Policy Transmission

A new post from Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff concludes that, even as deposit funding declines, banks remain liquid due to less rate-sensitive sources such as time deposits and FHLB advances.  As we noted when assessing a prior FRB-NY deposit post, these analyses go beyond conventional deposit-flight and unfair-competition arguments to show the complexity of funding-market behavior during periods of rising interest rates.  The latest post brings the prior study through the end of 2022, showing continuing lags between the fed funds rate and interest-bearing deposit rates through the fourth quarter.

Chopra Wants Expanded FDIC Coverage, Payment-System Guardrails, Comp Reform

In remarks today, CFPB Director Chopra called for tailoring DIF assessments to protect community banks and to expand coverage to payroll and certain other accounts.  He also said that current law may give regulators the tools needed to deal with viral runs via systemic designations for certain payment systems and/or providers.  He did not explain how this would be accomplished in practice (e.g., mandatory speed bumps, etc.).

Daily041123.pdf

28 03, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Policy Implications of FDIC-Resolution Innovations

2023-04-03T12:48:36-04:00March 28th, 2023|The Vault|

As noted yesterday, the FDIC’s recent rescues have had several unusual features with implications not only for future policy, but also for pending special assessments to replenish the DIF for the $22.5 billion estimated costs to the Deposit Insurance Fund.  Analyzed here, new tools – e.g., voluntary liquidation, equity-appreciation rights, lines of credit – have determine the extent to which this estimate holds, how FHLB advances are treated in future resolutions, and the role the FDIC may play in companies that acquire failed IDIs….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

28 03, 2023

RESOLVE50

2023-03-28T11:42:40-04:00March 28th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: Policy Implications of FDIC-Resolution Innovations

As noted yesterday, the FDIC’s recent rescues have had several unusual features with implications not only for future policy, but also for pending special assessments to replenish the DIF for the $22.5 billion estimated costs to the Deposit Insurance Fund.  Analyzed here, new tools – e.g., voluntary liquidation, equity-appreciation rights, lines of credit – have determine the extent to which this estimate holds, how FHLB advances are treated in future resolutions, and the role the FDIC may play in companies that acquire failed IDIs.  A forthcoming FedFin report will assess another issue sure to come up at Congressional hearings:  why the FDIC and other agencies used these options in concert with a systemic designation protecting uninsured depositors rather than their OLA powers designed to prevent both uninsured-depositor protection and the most recent of the Fed’s facilities backing the banking system.

RESOLVE50.pdf

27 03, 2023

M032723

2023-03-27T10:27:26-04:00March 27th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

Another SVB Casualty:  U.S. Biomedical Research

As seems always the case when fear has the banking system in its maw, myths have proliferated that are now also magnified and amplified by viral social media.  One such myth about Silicon Valley Bank has it that most of its depositors were high-wealth, high-tech folk whom the government should never bail out.  In fact, many depositors had no choice but to park all their funds at SVB, a more-then-dubious practice at the bank that almost brought biomedical research to its knees.  Had these depositors been forced to bear losses, treatments and cures for life-threatening and-changing diseases would have stalled, likely for years.  We need not only to prevent future researchers from being put at such risk by a single bank, but also to change the biomedical-funding model from one at the mercy of high-cost equity investors to a stable sector for which lower-cost debt is readily at hand for any researcher with demonstrable ability to repay.  Think what debt funding did for sustainable energy via green bonds and you’ll see what a like-kind model for “biobonds” could do to speed urgently-needed treatments and cures.

M032723.pdf

27 03, 2023

Karen Petrou: Another SVB Casualty:  U.S. Biomedical Research

2023-03-27T10:27:35-04:00March 27th, 2023|The Vault|

As seems always the case when fear has the banking system in its maw, myths have proliferated that are now also magnified and amplified by viral social media.  One such myth about Silicon Valley Bank has it that most of its depositors were high-wealth, high-tech folk whom the government should never bail out.  In fact, many depositors had no choice but to park all their funds at SVB, a more-then-dubious practice at the bank that almost brought biomedical research to its knees.  Had these depositors been forced to bear losses, treatments and cures for life-threatening and-changing diseases would have stalled, likely for years.  We need not only to prevent future researchers from being put at such risk by a single bank, but also to change the biomedical-funding model from one at the mercy of high-cost equity investors to a stable sector for which lower-cost debt is readily at hand for any researcher with demonstrable ability to repay.  Think what debt funding did for sustainable energy via green bonds and you’ll see what a like-kind model for “biobonds” could do to speed urgently-needed treatments and cures.

The link between SVB and biomedical research is not the stuff of moral-hazard myth, but rather a complex tale of a specialized institution serving a sector that came to hold unique sway over a vital public good:  lengthening life and easing suffering.  Providing banking services to venture capital (VC) is a high-risk business unless a financial institution devotes expensive intellectual capital to the sector and …

23 03, 2023

DAILY032323

2023-03-23T17:09:59-04:00March 23rd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OFR Study Predicts Household Gains, Banking Instability From Digital Currencies

A new OFR working paper concludes that full integration of digital currencies into the economy would reduce financial-system volatility and improve household welfare, but also increase the probability of a banking crisis.

HFSC Poses Still Tougher SVB/SBNY Resolution Questions

Following tough GOP letters to the Fed and FDIC earlier this week, HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and Subcommittee Chair Hill (R-AR) last night sent even sterner missives to Chairman Gruenberg and Secretary Yellen.

Bipartisan Push Begins For CEO Clawbacks

Ahead of its first of many hearings on the collapse of SVB and SBNY, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) and Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) today sent letters to the former CEOs of the banks demanding that they answer for the bank failures, noting also that they will be expected to testify before the Committee if they are unable to do so next week.

OFR Blog: CRE, Residential Markets Pose Little Systemic Risk

Despite growing concerns about CRE and even potential systemic risk, an OFR blog post today concludes that neither the residential nor commercial real estate market poses a significant threat to the financial system.

Basel Stands By Its Rules, Contemplates New Supervisory Standards

The Basel Committee’s release following its March 14 meeting unsurprisingly notes the bank failures preceding it just days before, but attributes them principally to poor risk management in the face of rising rates.

GSEs Seek Public Comment on Credit Score Model Transition

The FHFA today announced

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