#equality

1 08, 2022

Karen Petrou: The Incredible Shrinking Fed

2023-01-04T13:36:59-05:00August 1st, 2022|The Vault|

As seems increasingly the case, I spent more time last week than hoped with airport personnel.  In the course of the economic-inequality discussion that prompted my travels, I mentioned that I had little confidence in the general-public inflation expectation data in which economists put such stock.  So, I asked my aide what she thought and was told that her biggest fear is the “rising price of the dollar” and whether she will thus be able to afford her apartment and get her kids ready for school.  The airport was packed and she is turning down overtime, but she has to take care of her kids and day care costs are higher than even more pay can manage.  Pressing on, I got only a blank stare following mention of the Federal Reserve but then heard a diatribe about useless politicians including those she no longer thinks care for anyone but themselves.  I think this lady’s views are emblematic of lower-wage workers who once were active voters and thus also an important warning signs not only of how unequal economies work at odds with the Fed’s macro models, but also of the outcome of the election this year and, should things only get worse, then in 2024.

I decided not to waste time by asking Kisha (not her real name) to agree that the recession is just an illusion because all the data boxes have yet to be checked as the President, Treasury Secretary, and Fed chairman insist.  It’s hard to think …

30 06, 2022

FedFin: Equitable Servicing Standard Time?

2023-01-24T15:55:53-05:00June 30th, 2022|The Vault|

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s latest report on foreclosure risk includes a worrisome finding:  the sharp rise in interest rates means that most loan-mod recipients won’t actually get much relief.  This combined with troubling data on GSE loan-mod results and racial equity could spur FHFA intervention if market conditions worsen…

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

9 06, 2022

FedFin on: Equitable Endeavors

2023-01-27T15:57:10-05:00June 9th, 2022|The Vault|

When Sandra Thompson earlier this year enunciated a new equitable-finance mission, we forecast that Fannie and Freddie would undertake an array of new activities that significantly expand their footprint along with their equity and equality impact.  As anticipated, the plans announced yesterday by Fannie and Freddie go beyond FHFA’s reiterated mission statement earlier this week, mirroring in some ways the banking agencies’ broad view of CRA as a community-development and racial-equity instrument as well as the boost to LMI housing on which attention long focused.  But, for all the public-good creds these plans engender, several will doubtless promote market angst as the GSEs launch pilots that tread heavily on MI, title-insurer, and servicer toes.

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

23 05, 2022

Karen Petrou: The Moral Obligation of Stablecoin Issuers

2023-02-21T14:07:43-05:00May 23rd, 2022|The Vault|

At the height of what proved his fleeting power, the founder of a now-evaporated stablecoin said, “I never debate the poor.”  And, perhaps he doesn’t have to – his was not among tall the fiat-currency wallets emptied in the course of this high-flying venture.  Those were mostly in the virtual pockets of young and often minority households.  Regardless, this statement is stark evidence of the difference between the social-welfare obligations demanded of banks and the get-it-while-you-can ethos embodied by this entrepreneur, Elon Musk, and all their acolytes.  We demand much of banks because they take other people’s money.  The same obligations should bind stablecoins because they also take other people’s money and thus need to be governed not just for safety and soundness, but also for equality and equity.

It might be argued that a community-service rationale isn’t warranted for crypto-currency because stablecoin issuers are not intermediaries – indeed, this was a defense against new rules laid out at a recent hearing and it’s the rationale behind the Toomey draft bill to craft a federal stablecoin construct, which eschews most prudential and any community obligations for nonbank stablecoin issuers.

Leaving aside the competitive inequity of a two-tier regulatory framework for the same business, there are three compelling public-welfare arguments for subjecting stablecoins and many other virtual currencies to critical components of bank regulation even if they don’t emulate every aspect of a full-service bank.

First, taking money from other people and promising that they can get it back …

17 05, 2022

FedFin on: CRA Regulatory Rewrite

2023-02-21T14:50:17-05:00May 17th, 2022|The Vault|

Following much talk about the need to update Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) rules since this was last done in 1995, federal banking agencies have finally agreed on a proposed redesign of standards essential to banks that wish to expand or acquire as well as those seeking strong community ties and the policy and political benefit these afford.  Much of the complexity in the NPR results from the agencies’ decision to allow only partial credit for activities (e.g., mortgages) largely assumed in the past…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

16 05, 2022

FedFin: Minimizing Mortgages, Maximizing Community Service

2023-02-21T15:06:30-05:00May 16th, 2022|The Vault|

As we noted last week, the federal banking agencies sighed a mighty sigh and heaved up a massive inter-agency proposal rewriting decades-old standards detailing which activities earn the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) points essential for any bank’s strategic objectives and national reputation.  As discussed below, the new proposal is lengthy, complex, and in some cases analytically daunting or flat-out confusing.  Still one critical conclusion is clear…

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.

 …

21 03, 2022

Karen Petrou: How to Set Course to a Digital Future

2023-04-03T13:18:42-04:00March 21st, 2022|The Vault|

Last week, we laid out the macrofinancial implications of the Ukraine crisis – i.e., its impact on the global financial-and-regulatory order.  Some of this analysis is founded on President Biden’s digital-asset executive order, which also has profound and immediate impact on critical macroprudential issues at the border of innovation and regulation to which we now turn.  To forecast how digitalization will come upon us, the digital-asset order must be read in the Administration’s broader context in which high-impact political issues, such as racial equity, weigh at least as heavily as the complexities of CBDC or even the benefit of a future financial crises foregone.

Administration policy based on Democratic politics is set not only by the digital-asset order, but also by other White House directives that will define the boundaries of what Treasury and the agencies – the Fed included at least to a point – will do.  To forecast digital-asset policy, one must thus also divine the outcome of two other executive orders.

First, there’s the President’s competition directive.  Every critical consumer-protection question under the CFPB’s purview is now considered first and foremost in terms of competition, with the agency’s director making it manifestly clear that almost anything done by any big bank is a target for structural reform.  Director Chopra doesn’t like fintech or biotech much better than most banks do, but his approach to digital assets is likely only to squelch big banks as much as he can and thus to drive cryptoassets further into …

9 02, 2022

FedFin: Plan B

2023-04-05T10:02:28-04:00February 9th, 2022|The Vault|

Continuing her very different vision of Fannie and Freddie, FHFA Acting Director Thompson today has released a new strategic plan for the agency emphasizing the importance of both equitable and sustainable housing finance.

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

8 02, 2022

FedFin: Partisan Impasse Suggests Small Chance for Stablecoin Statutory Change

2023-04-05T12:06:36-04:00February 8th, 2022|The Vault|

Today’s HFSC hearing on stablecoins makes it clear that the bipartisan legislation Chairwoman Waters (D-CA) prefers is at best a long way off. Democrats generally agreed with the President’s Working Group stablecoin report (see Client Report CRYPTO21), with Under-Secretary Liang today not only describing its findings but reinforcing the need for rapid regulatory intervention in concert with substantive statutory change.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

3 02, 2022

FedFin Assessment: Raskin Confirmation Possible, But a Squeaker

2023-04-05T14:06:56-04:00February 3rd, 2022|The Vault|

As this report details, all three Fed nominees before the Senate Banking Committee today emphasized the vital importance of Fed independence and their anti-inflation zeal to quell GOP opposition and cement it among moderate Democrats. Professor Philip Jefferson sailed through and will be confirmed — perhaps quickly — by a relatively -wide bipartisan margin. We expect Professor Lisa Cook also to prevail, with Democrats likely joined by a
couple of moderate Republicans convinced that attacks on her expertise art unseemly with regard to a Black woman given how rarely similar concerns are voiced about white nominees with no macroeconomic-policy expertise.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

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