#equality

13 01, 2022

FedFin on: Brainard Navigates Troubled Waters; Looks Like Smooth Sailing for Thompson

2023-04-24T15:40:10-04:00January 13th, 2022|The Vault|

At today’s confirmation hearing, Gov. Brainard took a lot of the heat on inflation Republicans only mildly mentioned during Mr. Powell’s Tuesday confirmation hearing (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE67). As we anticipated (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE66) this reflects the fact that the GOP is united in opposition to her appointment as Fed vice chair; should she hold Sen. Manchin (D-WV) she will be confirmed; if not, perhaps not. Ranking Member Toomey (R-PA) also used the occasion to signal – again unsurprisingly – GOP opposition should Sarah Bloom Raskin be nominated….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

11 01, 2022

FedFin Assessment: Powell Sidesteps Many Challenges, Promises Much

2023-04-24T15:54:45-04:00January 11th, 2022|The Vault|

As promised yesterday (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE66), we listened closely today to gauge the extent to which Chairman Powell faces a serious challenge to reconfirmation. At least as far as Senate Banking Members are concerned, he doesn’t. Although Sen. Warren (D-MA) and other Democrats lambasted Mr. Powell over insider-trading allegations and what they called the Fed’s unresponsiveness, all still were cordial and seemed generally to blame the problem on institutional failures, not the chairman. Sen. Menendez (D-NJ) called the Fed’s diversity policy “outrageous,” but also does not seem inclined….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

9 12, 2021

FedFin: Super-Special

2023-05-23T12:54:23-04:00December 9th, 2021|The Vault|

On Tuesday, HUD and the CFPB opened the door to special-purpose mortgage finance.  Now, we expect FHFA to use this safe harbor to mandate express GSE equitable-finance programs and for banks to take much of what’s left in all their commitments after George Floyd’s murder and turn it into mortgage and other community-finance products.

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

9 12, 2021

FedFin: Super-Special

2023-05-23T12:54:16-04:00December 9th, 2021|The Vault|

On Tuesday, HUD and the CFPB opened the door to special-purpose mortgage finance.  Now, we expect FHFA to use this safe harbor to mandate express GSE equitable-finance programs and for banks to take much of what’s left in all their commitments after George Floyd’s murder and turn it into mortgage and other community-finance products.

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

8 12, 2021

FedFin: HFSC Begins Political Taxonomy of Crypto-Asset Policy

2023-05-23T13:06:52-04:00December 8th, 2021|The Vault|

As anticipated, today’s HFSC hearing was a marathon session at which industry witnesses defended their business model, Republicans liked it fine, and Democrats worried about a wide array of policy challenges. While both sides of the aisle agreed that cryptoassets might well enhance financial inclusion, partisan battle lines formed over issues such as the extent to which stablecoins are fully reserved, covered by the securities laws, and if a single regulator for this sector is either desirable or feasible. Industry witnesses strongly rejected the PWG’s stablecoin conclusions (see Client Report CRYPTO21), suggesting for example that stablecoins are safer than bank deposits because they are fully – not fractionally – reserved.

 

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

6 12, 2021

Karen Petrou: Why Pro-Competition Consumer Finance May Not be Pro-Consumer Consumer Finance

2023-05-23T13:26:47-04:00December 6th, 2021|The Vault|

Under Rohit Chopra, consumer protection has taken an important, widely-overlooked turn with potent consequences for all retail financial-product providers.  Media coverage of the CFPB’s bigtech order, mortgage-discrimination action, and last week’s anti-overdraft campaign highlighted traditional issues such as fair lending and predatory pricing. These are indeed in the CFPB’s sights, but so also is a much bigger target: the extent to which a few large companies are said to be able to set consumer interest rates and otherwise dictate the shape of U.S. retail finance. This might cut big banks down to the puny size their critics seek, but it’s more likely to accelerate the transformation of retail finance into a wild west of unregulated providers outside the reach of safety-and-soundness standards and, in many cases, even of the CFPB. If this pro-competition campaign is mis-calibrated, the CFPB will put consumers at still greater risk.

Mr. Chopra’s interest in market competition doubtless derives from his stint as a lone, strong voice at the Federal Trade Commission who lost pretty much every battle he waged against giant corporate combos.  It surely stems also from President Biden’s executive order demanding that federal agencies take express pro-competitive action. And, indeed, there’s a lot to do in sectors such as tech-platform companies that already seem to have skipped over just being monopolies to become potent oligopolies with powerful impact over each aspect of everyday life, not to mention pricing and economic inequality.

However, neither traditional nor neo-Brandeisian antitrust theory applies well …

2 12, 2021

FedFin: Going Down?

2023-05-23T13:59:59-04:00December 2nd, 2021|The Vault|

Two recent studies add fuel to the fire we first spotted late last year: demands for ARMs that only go down.  Director Thompson’s latest scorecard combines with her equitable-finance mission to make this option a top political priority even if its market feasibility remains at best uncertain.

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

1 12, 2021

FedFin: HFSC Throws Partisan Brickbats without Financial-Policy Impact

2023-05-23T14:19:51-04:00December 1st, 2021|The Vault|

Continuing the partisan and often-acrimonious tone of the Senate Banking hearing (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE64), HFSC today heard from Chairman Powell and Secretary Yellen.  Much of the session was preoccupied by differing views of whom or what is to blame for inflation, with Members also squaring off on the benefit of the BBB and infrastructure bills.  Many financial-policy priorities were sidelined by these big-picture battles, with the session omitting discussion of topics such as digital currency, bank consolidation, and even fair lending and diversity.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

8 11, 2021

Karen Petrou: When Economic Theory Meets Political Reality

2023-06-01T14:58:22-04:00November 8th, 2021|The Vault|

In a thought-provoking column on Friday, former Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Kocherlakota asked if the Fed is playing politics with interest rates.  As he points out, this is a troubling prospect, albeit wholly an unproven one.  What doesn’t need proof, though, is that interest rates are playing a deadly game with politics.  Last Tuesday, economic theory met political reality in yet another collision in which voters made it at least as clear as they did in 1980 that they won’t put up with low rates if they lead to high prices and the economic inequality it exacerbates.  The Fed has a profound, albeit de facto, fiscal role. Failure to reckon with it poses risks not just to Democratic officeholders, but also to the Fed itself.

Last July, Jay Powell emphatically rebutted a Member of Congress who asked him about my view that the Fed has dramatically, if inadvertently, increased income and wealth inequality.  Then as before and after, the Fed chairman asserted that economic inequality is wholly an artifact of fiscal policy.  At his press conference on Wednesday, he did express sympathy for those dealing with high prices, but he still insisted that policy relief is beyond the Fed’s reach as stipulated in its statutory mandate.

Later this month, I’ll present a paper showing that the Fed’s full statutory mandate requires attention to the “general welfare” and other equality drivers.  I’ll also lay out how seemingly pure monetary policy has become a real, dominant fiscal power by …

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