#FedNow – Federal Financial Analytics

3 03, 2023

Al030623

Eliza Allen2023-03-03T17:17:37-05:00March 3rd, 2023|3- This Week|

Gloves Off

When Chairman Powell comes before HFSC and Senate Banking this week, we’ll see if FedFin’s forecast for newly-rough going plays out, but all signs say it will. In the lead-up to the midterm, Democrats other than Sen. Warren (D-MA) who weren’t all that sympathetic to many Fed actions held their tongues in order to protect a central bank that, for all its putative independence, seemed aligned with Biden Administration statements promoting American prosperity and the near-term chances of reduced inflation. With the 2024 election looking even uglier than the midterm and Republicans in control of the House, Mr. Powell may find himself squeezed hard from both sides of the aisle, taking lots of heat on issues ranging from monetary policy and the debt ceiling to a panoply of Fed regulatory and payment-system decisions along with the pending nomination of a new vice chair.

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1 03, 2023

DAILY030123

Eliza Allen2023-03-01T16:38:23-05:00March 1st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

What’s Next For McHenry Privacy Bill

As we anticipated yesterday, HFSC reported H.R. 1165, Chairman McHenry’s privacy bill, on a party-line vote of 26-21. Discussions this morning lead us to conclude that Mr. McHenry plans to consider additional changes that could be made via a manager’s amendment when bringing the bill to the House floor given that its fate there is uncertain given the GOP’s slim majority.

CFPB Targets Public-Benefits Finance

The CFPB today published a “spotlight” examining numerous fees it says “erode” public benefit programs delivered through various financial products. Focusing in particular on prepaid cards, the spotlight states that the Bureau will monitor and may take action against entities violating consumer protection laws in the delivery of cash assistance. This comes following a major enforcement action in this area against Bank of America and reports of others pending against large banks.

Treasury Sets Out Steps Seemingly Towards A U.S. CBDC

Following up the President’s executive order on digital assets (see Client Report CRYPTO26) and Treasury’s subsequent report (see Client Report CBDC14), Under-Secretary Nellie Liang today outlined next steps leading to the Administration’s decision about CBDC benefits that will strongly guide the Fed’s CBDC final call. Ms. Liang details how CBDC and FedNow each have benefits, describing how CBDCs generally work and could function in the U.S.

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14 02, 2023

DAILY021423

Eliza Allen2023-02-14T16:52:49-05:00February 14th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

What’s Next At The Post-Brainard Fed

Clients have asked us to advise on what may be next for the Fed if Vice Chair Brainard is indeed named as head of the White House NEC, which now seems certain. In our view, there will be no change to FOMC policy given unanimity on this question and the leadership not only of the vice chair, but also of the Fed chairman and FRB-NY president. However, there could be a significant shift in the likelihood of a U.S. CBDC. Ms. Brainard has been the most outspoken advocate of a CBDC (see Client Report CBDC13), but her successor as head of the Fed payment committee is likely to be either Gov. Waller or Bowman, each of whom is a strong CBDC skeptic.

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2 12, 2022

DAILY120222

Eliza Allen2022-12-02T16:51:39-05:00December 2nd, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Menendez Blasts FRB-Chicago Choice

Continuing his campaign for increased diversity and transparency at the Federal Reserve, Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) issued a fiery statement criticizing the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s decision to name a non-Latino president.

Fed Revises PSR to Prepare for FedNow

The FRB today finalized changes to its Policy on Payment System Risk (PSR) to expand access to collateralized intraday credit. These reduce the administrative steps associated with requesting collateralized capacity, action the Fed says would improve intraday liquidity management and payment flows while also assisting the Reserve Banks managing intraday credit risk.

GOP Expands CBDC Attack to Project Hamilton

Readying an inquiry intended to block CBDC when the GOP takes over the house next year, Ranking Member McHenry (R-NC) and six other HFSC Republicans sent a letter to FRB Boston President Susan Collins demanding answers to allegations that private companies are abusing their work on Project Hamilton to position themselves for product sales to financial companies once a CBDC begins.

Fed Finally Outs Climate-Risk Principles

As long anticipated and likely late on Friday in hopes of avoiding critical GOP scrutiny, the Federal Reserve Board today released proposed climate-risk principles. These are “high-level” as is also the case for global edicts in this contentious arena (see FSM Report CLIMATE14), also tracking the OCC’s longstanding like-kind proposal (see FSM Report GREEN12).

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15 11, 2022

REFORM214

Max Camateros-Mann2022-11-22T15:27:38-05:00November 15th, 2022|5- Client Report|

Crypto, Deposit Rates, Capital Top Senate Discussion

At today’s Senate Banking oversight hearing with the banking agencies, Chairman Brown (D-OH) generally applauded the work of regulators, emphasizing the need for tough standards, like-kind rules for bigtech companies, and an inquiry into why depositor interest rates lag Fed rate hikes along lines posed earlier by Sen. Reed (D-RI). FDIC Acting Chairman Gruenberg concurred, criticizing banks for sluggish rates. Ranking Member Toomey (R-PA) reiterated his longstanding complaints about regulators straying outside their mission in areas such as climate change. He also called for SLR relief to reduce Treasury-market risk and opposed pending large-bank resolution guidance (see FSM Report LIVINGWILL19) on grounds that it is unnecessary.

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23 09, 2022

DAILY092322

Eliza Allen2022-09-26T08:37:38-04:00September 23rd, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Dems Reintroduce Instant Funds Availability Bill

Sens. Van Hollen (D-MD) and Warren (D-MA) yesterday introduced S. 4946, a bill they also introduced in 2019 (see FSM Report PAYMENT16) to require banks immediately to offer instant funds availability. As Sen. Van Hollen noted yesterday (see FSM Report REFORM213), the measure is intended to force banks to ensure instant funds availability and thus press membership in FedNow. It stands no chance of passage in this Congress, but were it to pass now or next year, FedNow likely could not handle a sudden influx of retail transactions as it remains only in its advance pilot stage.

FRB Proposes Sweeping FMU Operational-Risk Update

The FRB today proposed an update to rules governing operational risk-management for certain systemically important financial market utilities (FMUs). These requirements were last updated in 2014 and thus did not account well for cyber-threats and technology changes. The revised rules would, among other things, focus on incident management and notification; business continuity management and planning; third-party risk management; and review and testing of operational risk management measures.

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30 08, 2022

DAILY083022

Eliza Allen2023-01-03T16:41:05-05:00August 30th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-Atlanta: Cardless Consumers Pay More Per Transaction

After the Fed announced imminent FedNow liftoff, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta yesterday issued a release summarizing research that concludes that lower-income consumers pay considerably more per each payment transaction due the use of cash and debit cards that do not provide credit-card rewards and the overall price increase that merchants charge to compensate for interchange fees.

Oversight Subcomm Chair Presses Agencies on Crypto Oversight, Jurisdictional Warfare

The Chairman of the House Oversight Committee’s Subcommittee on Economic and Consumer Policy, Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL), today sent letters to Treasury, the SEC, the CFTC, the FTC, and several major crypto exchanges demanding information and documents showing what each is doing to combat cryptocurrency-related fraud. Calling for improved regulation and guidance, the Chairman criticizes regulators for their insufficient coordination in response to escalating risks.

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29 08, 2022

DAILY082922

Eliza Allen2023-01-04T10:17:26-05:00August 29th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

FedNow Set for Soon

Vice Chair Brainard today announced that the Fed’s instant-payment “FedNow” system will achieve its hoped-for opening in mid-2023 (see FSM Report PAYMENT20). Although this announcement covers only an expansion of the Fed’s pilot program rather than a complete launch, Ms. Brainard cautioned that, while the system is ready thanks to early adoption by some financial institutions, it remains to be seen if enough banks, core processors, software-developers, and other entities are willing to make the investments necessary to create the ubiquitous, equitable service sought by the central bank. However, it is unclear if slow adoption is due to preference for the U.S.’s longstanding, private real-time system, continuing challenges to inter-operability, the fact that FedNow will be a pilot even when officially launched, or if simple lag time accounts for the delay of concern to the Fed.

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17 08, 2022

DAILY081722

Eliza Allen2023-01-04T11:35:25-05:00August 17th, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Bowman Cautions on Payment-System Access, CBDC

In remarks today, FRB Gov. Bowman pointed to the Fed’s final payment-system access guidelines, again urging nonbanks not to have “false expectations” about access while an implementation process advances. She also noted a longstanding inter-agency proposal addressing partnership risks (see FSM Report VENDOR9) and said she believes final action is needed but provided no insight into when this might in fact occur. Noting also yesterday’s Fed supervisory letter on cryptoassets, Gov. Bowman indicated that additional supervisory guidance on stablecoins, custody, and other outstanding digital-asset issues is also being developed.

CFPB Digital-Market Standards Start Now

Today’s Federal Register includes the CFPB’s interpretive rule subjecting digital companies using behavioral or similar data to market consumer-finance products to federal consumer law (see FSM Report FINTECH30). The rule is effective immediately. As noted, the rule curtails the extent to which digital advertising and marketing strategies are exempt from CFPB regulation and state or federal enforcement actions.

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21 06, 2022

DAILY062122

Eliza Allen2023-01-26T11:42:57-05:00June 21st, 2022|2- Daily Briefing|

Deadline Set for CFPB Inquiry into Customer Service
The Federal Register today includes the CFPB’s RFI on how big banks serve their customers (see FSM Report CONSUMER43), now seeking a comment deadline of July 21.

BIS Presses Hard for Fast-Acting CBDCs, Payment Systems, Crypto Standards
The BIS today issued an ambitious report outlining what it calls a “new monetary order.”

SEC Finally Nabs a CRA for Conflicts of Interest
The SEC today announced an unusual enforcement case against a credit rating agency, acting on demands recently expressed by HFSC Democrats.

FDIC Proposes DIF Rate Hike, Possible Assessment-Standard Realignment
Taking action after two years, the FDIC today proposed to increase bank DIF premiums by two basis points.

HFSC Highlights Fed Policy Twists Ahead of Powell Hearing
The Democratic staff memo ahead of HFSC’s Thursday hearing with Chairman Powell provides a detailed discussion of recent monetary-policy moves and the extent to which the Fed has been surprised by macroeconomic events.

Spurred by GAO, OCC to Ramp Up Redlining-Exam Procedures
The GAO today recommended that the OCC update its redlining examination procedures and improve its data collection related to small banks in this area.

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