#HQLA

27 05, 2025

Karen Petrou: Making Liquidity Regulation Make Sense

2025-05-27T09:26:04-04:00May 27th, 2025|The Vault|

Although U.S. regulators remain determined to enact each rule as if it relates to no other, researchers have increasingly found that rules have cumulative and often conflicting purposes – see, for example, the sum total of bank rules which empowered nonbank financial intermediaries operating with impunity until they needed trillions in taxpayer backstops in 2020.   Following a seminal Federal Reserve Bank of New York paper on the cumulative consequences – none good – of considering capital and liquidity rules in isolation, a new BIS paper considers the internal contradictions of consequential liquidity regulation and central-bank backstops.  Now, if only bank regulators at home and abroad did the same.

The BIS paper looks at the push-pull evident in liquidity rules founded on expectations that banks should not use central-bank liquidity even though central banking is founded on the concept of providing liquidity to banks under stress.  As all too evident in the 2023 crisis, liquidity compliance cannot ensure banks stand firm in a run, even as the Fed’s discount window opened with all the alacrity of an centuries-old casement.  Solutions posed ever since have suggested stiffening the liquidity standards and ensuring discount-window operability, but each thread of this debate ignores the other.  The BIS paper happily proposes a framework in which the two pillars of bank resilience under liquidity stress are considered together to craft a sensible benign-scenario liquidity rule along with an effective, disciplined backstop that minimizes moral hazard.

The BIS paper rightly is to avoid so stringent a build-up …

3 06, 2024

Karen Petrou: Important Lessons in Regulatory Impact

2024-06-03T17:00:05-04:00June 3rd, 2024|The Vault|

With battle lines deeply dug in over so many recent rules, two new studies are important, timely reminders that rewriting rules doesn’t always mean eviscerating rules.  Sometimes, it’s a vital corrective to unintended consequences all too evident as proposals turn into rules that turn into a new, destructive market dynamic.  It might seem to make nothing more than common sense to recognize that rules need reconsideration, but as the occasional victim of diatribes following what I thought were just pragmatic recommendations, it’s reassuring to see a study from one of the current rules’ architects, Daniel Tarullo, and another from the Fed lay out the need for meaningful revisions to two high-impact rules:  big-bank stress tests and – just in time for still more of them – liquidity rules.

First to Mr. Tarullo’s paper.  In addition to being the instigator of much in the Dodd-Frank Act and the rules thereafter, Mr. Tarullo inaugurated big-bank stress tests in 2009.  Banks then denounced them, but they weren’t exactly in the best of bargaining positions after the 2008 great financial crisis.  So, stress tests began as an urgent reality check.  But, proving the regulatory-rewrite point, over a decade later they took on a new purpose in concert with still more importance by virtue of the new stress capital buffer inexorably and often ineffectively linking stress testing to the bank regulatory requirements that barely existed in 2009.

In 2009, we needed stress tests because capital rules were essentially toothless.  Capital rules are now fanged …

6 10, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Basel Lays Big Plans for Basel V

2023-10-06T14:47:18-04:00October 6th, 2023|The Vault|

As we noted yesterday, the Basel Committee’s October meeting concluded not only with plans for new disclosure consultations, but also a report on lessons learned from the 2023 crisis.  We have long considered the “end-game” standards so substantive as to constitute Basel IV; now, as this report details, Basel is laying plans for Basel V via new liquidity, interest-rate, capital, and structural changes to the current construct.  We thus focus on the supervisory and regulatory action steps Basel posits as necessary responses to the financial-market volatility sparked earlier this year by SVB, SBNY, FRC, and CS’s failures.  While Basel states that none of its recommendations necessarily presages near-term global standards, …

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

20 03, 2023

FedFin Analysis: Possible Cures for a Viral Run

2023-03-20T16:12:34-04:00March 20th, 2023|The Vault|

Among the most vexing issues in the wake of SVB’s failure is the extent to which social media may have led to the first “viral run,” a run akin to the meme-stock volatility that lead the SEC and others to fear a new form of “flash-crash” risk.  In this report, we assess current policy options related to deposit runs resulting from social media, an issue cited frequently by HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) as a top priority as he begins work on post-SVB financial standards.  We note some remedies – e.g., a ban on deposit-related communication were they permissible under various constitutional and statutory free-speech edicts.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

17 03, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Future of U.S. Bank Capital, Liquidity, Structural Regulation

2023-03-17T16:50:38-04:00March 17th, 2023|The Vault|

In this report, we continue our policy postmortem of SVB/SBNY and, now, so much more.  Prior reports have assessed the overall political context (see Client Report RESOLVE49) and likely changes to FDIC insurance (see Client Report DEPOSITINSURANCE118), with a forthcoming Petrou op-ed in Barron’s focusing on specific ways to reform federal deposit insurance to protect only the innocent.  In this report, we look at some key regulatory changes likely as the banking agencies reevaluate the regional-bank capital, liquidity, and the IDI/BHC construct.  As noted in our initial assessment and thereafter, we do not expect meaningful legislative action on the Warren, et. al. bill to repeal “tailoring” requirements, but we do expect bipartisan political pressure not just for supervisory accountability (see another forthcoming report), but also regulatory revisions.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

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