#IMF – Page 2 – Federal Financial Analytics

30 11, 2023

DAILY113023

Eliza Allen2023-11-30T17:02:53-05:00November 30th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-Cleveland Head Calls for Reg Redesign

The head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester, yesterday argued for higher bank capital requirements, including counter-cyclical imposition of a capital buffer during low-risk periods so it can be released under stress based on credit growth under a formula ensuring that the CCyB in fact moves quickly to ease stress.

Brown, Colleagues Stand Behind GSIB Surcharge

Ahead of next week’s hearing with GSIB CEOs, Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) was joined today by Sens. Warren (D-MA), Fetterman (D-PA), and Reed (D-RI) in a letter to FRB Vice Chair Barr voicing their strong support for the Board’s GSIB surcharge proposal (see FSM Report GSIB22).

IMF: Future of AI’s Impact on Banking Unpredictable

The IMF today released an article focused on AI, concluding that banking has the potential to be the biggest beneficiaries of AI, but also may have the most to lose. The article considers the unpredictable future of AI technology through optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, concluding that AI could better protect assets and markets, but also could be put to various nefarious uses.

Daily113023.pdf…

21 11, 2023

DAILY112023

Eliza Allen2023-11-21T10:36:54-05:00November 21st, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Thompson: No Regulatory “Silos” in a Crisis

Reiterating much in FHFA’s sweeping FHLB report, FHFA Director Thompson today reinforced suggestions that FHLBs can avoid acting as lenders of last resort because there are no regulatory “silos” in a crisis.

IMF Reconsiders CBDC

On Friday, the IMF updated its CBDC work, concluding that it is prudent for most countries to consider CBDC implementation even though nations are increasingly hesitant to do so.

IMF: Nations Should Block Fintech Reg Arbitrage

A new IMF study finds that Fintechs adversely affect bank profitability, concluding that “well-designed” fintech regulations are necessary to foster a level bank-fintech playing field.

House Opens New Front vs. FDIC

Following an official HFSC investigation and a raft of letters from Democrats and Republicans, House Oversight Subcommittee on Health and Financial Services Chairwoman McClain (R-MI) along with Rep. Biggs (R-AZ) today sent a letter to Chairman Gruenberg requesting briefings, documents, and communications regarding harassment and workplace practices.

Daily112023.pdf…

12 10, 2023

DAILY101223

Eliza Allen2023-10-12T17:09:17-04:00October 12th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Calls for More Private Climate Disclosures

Expressing considerable satisfaction with climate-risk disclosure progress, the FSB today released a report finding that all member jurisdictions either have or plan climate disclosure regimes, but there still needs to be greater private-sector self-reporting.

Pressure Builds for Heightened Iran, China Sanctions

Ahead of the hearing we anticipated earlier this week, HFSC Republicans have introduced several bills designed to increase financial pressures on Iran to punish it for the Hamas attack.

EU Regulators Add ESG Considerations to Regulatory, Supervisory Standards

In a bit of gold plating for what it believes to be the public good, the European Banking Authority today issued a report pressing for Pillar 1 capital charges for activities posing ESG risks with particular attention to climate.

OMB Redesigns Federal Rulemaking to Consider, Increase Competition

Acting under the President’s competition executive order (see Client Report MERGER6), OMB’s Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs yesterday issued new guidance governing federal rulemaking stipulating express assessment of the impact of new or prospective rules to enhance market competition.

CFPB, DoJ Issue Immigration Discrimination Warning

Taking action that may in some cases put lenders in conflict with state law, the CFPB and DoJ stated today that “unnecessary or overbroad reliance” on immigration status in a credit decision may violate the ECOA.

Daily101223.pdf…

11 10, 2023

DAILY101123

Eliza Allen2023-10-11T16:47:36-04:00October 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Bowman Targets U.S. Leverage Ratio, NBFIs

In remarks during the Morocco IMF/Bank meeting today, FRB Gov. Bowman contrasted U.S. bank resilience with the IMF’s findings yesterday on potential vulnerabilities as rates rise and macroeconomic conditions soften.

FSB Reiterates Stability Concerns

The FSB’s latest work plan reiterates all it most recently said to the G20.

CFPB Barrels Down on “Basic” Banking Fees

In conjunction with a new White-House junk-fee initiative, the CFPB today issued “guidance” – i.e., essentially a final rule – banning large banks and credit unions from collecting “unreasonable” fees for what the Bureau considers reasonable and “basic” account information.

SEC Throws Wrench into TLAC Standards

As we noted yesterday, the FSB’s assessment of the global resolution framework’s effectiveness found significant glitches it urges national regulators quickly to address via standards such as those now pending in the U.S. to bring smaller banking organizations into the resolution-planning regime (see FSM Report LIVINGWILL23).

OFR Study: Short-Selling Does Not Harm Financial Stability

OFR today released a model-based study that finds no evidence that short-selling adversely affects financial stability.

Daily101123.pdf…

10 10, 2023

DAILY101023

Eliza Allen2023-10-10T16:46:21-04:00October 10th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Barr Stands Firm on Capital Rewrite

In remarks yesterday, Vice Chair Barr made it clear that, no matter all the industry and Republican pressure, the Fed believes the pending capital rewrite has no material problematic consequences and is necessitated by recent events.

FSB Calls for Continued Improvements in Cross-Border Payments

Following its cross-border payments roadmap, the FSB today released two progress reports finding that further work is needed in ensuring payment system interoperability, establishing common data standards for payments messages, developing tools needed for APIs, and providing a vehicle for the investigation of legal, regulatory and supervisory frameworks.

FSB Presses for Better Smaller-Bank, GSIB Resolvability

Following Basel’s review late last week on the 2023 crash (see Client Report REFORM228), the FSB today released its assessment of implications for GSIB resolution. Basel’s report acknowledged challenges in this area, but largely focused on what we call Basel V.

Fed Finalizes DIHC Insurance-Capital Construct

As promised in the bank-capital proposals (see FSM Report CAPITAL230), the FRB Friday voted 6-0 to finalize long-pending standards for insurance-focused depository institution holding companies.

GOP Hikes Pressure on Iran Payment, Sanctions

Presaging likely HFSC hearings and delays in regular committee action, Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) today called for Secretary Yellen to testify in front of Senate Banking to explain why $6 billion is being released to Iran and to identify any sanctions gaps.

Bowman Pursues Barr, Array of Recent Fed Actions

Continuing her opposition to much of what Vice Chair Barr is doing, …

25 09, 2023

DAILY092523

Eliza Allen2023-09-25T16:05:07-04:00September 25th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

IMF Report: CBDC Designs Could Boost Financial Inclusion

On Friday, the IMF released a report concluding that a well-designed CBDC could foster financial inclusion and act as an entry point for the unbanked to the broader financial system. This will strengthen Democratic demands for a U.S. CBDC, but we expect GOP opposition to remain firm and the Fed’s posture to retain its current focus on wholesale CBDCs.

FRB-NY: Stablecoins, MMFs Have Same Dynamic Runs

An FRB New York study today concludes that stablecoin investors behaved similarly to MMF investors in numerous recent runs. Staff found that investors consider a stablecoin to have been effectively depegged once its price drops below $0.99 which triggers a run and mirrors the dynamics of MMFs “breaking the buck.”

Senate Dems Target SIFI Designation, Scenarios to Curb Climate Risk

Senator Warren (D-MA) along with Sens. Sanders (I-VT), Heinrich (D-NM), Markey (D-MA), Whitehouse (D-RI), and Merkley (D-OR) today released a letter dated last Wednesday to Treasury Secretary Yellen and Climate Counselor Zindler calling on the Department to significantly increase the urgency with which it targets climate-related financial risk.

Daily092523.pdf…

7 09, 2023

DAILY090723

Eliza Allen2023-09-07T16:43:25-04:00September 7th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB-IMF Report Lays Out Crypto-Policy Roadmap

The FSB and IMF today published a joint report synthesizing their policy and regulatory recommendations for cryptoassets, laying out a policy roadmap that breaks no new ground.

Senate Dems Try Again to End State Usury Ceilings

Senate Majority Whip Durbin (D-IL) yesterday introduced another effort (S. 2730) to impose a federal usury ceiling.

NGFS Warns Ecological Risk Could Be Systemic

The Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) today released a report on nature-related financial risk concluding that ecological risk transmission could cause contagion leading to systemic risk.

CFPB Soon to Advance Its Open-Banking Construct

CFPB Director Chopra today announced that the CFPB will be issuing proposed rules next month to reactivate its DFA consumer data rights powers (see FSM Report DATA3).

Global Securities Regulators Craft DeFi Standards

IOSCO today released a DeFi consultation report proposing nine policy recommendations intended to support heightened regulatory consistency and oversight.

Waters Presses Agencies to Change SSN Collection Requirements

HFSC Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) today wrote to the leadership of the banking agencies, Treasury, and FinCEN asking them to consider allowing financial institutions only to collect a SSN’s last four digits to minimize cybersecurity risks.

Fed Staff Suggest Solution to CBDC Privacy Problem

Addressing one of the biggest CBDC challenges in the U.S., Fed staff today published a report arguing that the use of privacy-enhancing technologies preserves digital asset user confidentiality while maintaining enough visibility for official audits in order to prevent illicit finance.

Daily090723.pdf…

6 09, 2023

Daily090623

Arezou Rafikian2023-09-07T09:07:08-04:00September 6th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Focuses on NBFI Liquidity, Leverage with Few Concrete Actions

Following its report recommending resolution-policy review, the FSB today continued its G20 reports with two focusing on NBFIs. The most substantive of these addresses sector liquidity. Recommendations here include adoption of pending OEF standards, continuing review of margining and work to determine if NBFI systemic-risk standards are warranted.

Fed Study: Big Bank Branches May Better Serve Customers

Fed staff have issued a report suggesting that new large bank branches tend to grow faster than new ones at small banks because large bank branches are favored by customers seeking lower prices or greater value.

IMF Outlines Post-SVB Supervision Standards

In an opaque but nonetheless stinging rebuke to U.S. bank supervision, the IMF today released a working paper emphasizing the importance of supervisors having the will and ability to act on effective supervision, recommending that supervisors are given strong operational independence and accountability, clarity regarding the primacy of their safety-and-soundness mandate, adequate resources, and legal protection.

Daily090623.pdf…

5 09, 2023

DAILY090523

Eliza Allen2023-09-05T17:16:52-04:00September 5th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Considers Resolution Construct Revamp

In addition to calling for full and consistent implementation of the Basel III framework, the FSB head’s letter to the G20 today stresses that this year’s bank failures challenge long-held views about deposit stickiness and the speed of bank runs, leading international standard-setters now to consider unspecified policy changes to the resolution construct.

BIS Study: Fed, FDIC Reassurances Offset Bank Run Risk

Contributing to analysis of viral runs and how to stop them, a new paper from BIS staff concludes that public communication from the Fed on banking system stability and from the FDIC on deposit insurance during crises can mitigate systemwide run risk, while similar statements from political figures such as President Biden are less effective.

IMF: Money Laundering Undermines Financial Stability

The IMF yesterday published a blog post on money laundering’s financial-stability impact, concluding that cross-border illicit payments result in equity-price declines, higher CDS costs, elevated perceived credit risk, and declines in deposits for the individual banks involved. The blog also states that there is a contagion dynamic as a result of spillover effects between targeted banks and other banks within the region.

Daily090523.pdf…

8 08, 2023

Daily080823

Arezou Rafikian2023-08-08T16:56:31-04:00August 8th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

IMF Staff Presents New CCyB Trigger

A new IMF paper weighs into an important question inherent in the new construct of U.S. regulatory capital: how to set the counter-cyclical capital buffer (CCyB) to anticipate financial stress. As noted in a recent Karen Petrou memo, the Basel CCyB (see FSM Report CAPITAL173) is linked to a ratio of credit growth to GDP; the Fed’s CCyB (see FSM Report CAPITAL213) gives the Fed unlimited discretion to sound the capital alarm or release the buffer.

GAO Asks Banking Agencies To Focus On Blockchain, Alternative Data, PCA

The GAO today issued its annual policy recommendations to the federal banking agencies and the SEC. All of the agencies are asked to coordinate policy on blockchain to better address risks; the agencies neither agreed nor disagreed, each flagging routine interagency engagement. GAO maintains that coordination efforts have failed to address cryptoasset risks in a timely manner.

Warren Presses Goldman Hard on SVB Conflicts

Not letting one letter to Goldman Sachs suffice when it comes to SVB, Sen. Warren (D-MA) yesterday sent another letter to the bank taking serious issue with its response, particularly regarding the steps it took to avoid conflicts of interest.

OCC Targets Fintech Partnerships

Continuing its fintech-partnership crackdown, the OCC today clarified that its legal lending-limit standards apply to purchased loans and particularly to those purchased from nonbanks.

IMF Reiterates Need for U.S. Mid-sized Bank Regs, Better Contingency Funding

Building on its prior assessment of U.S. performance in …