#tailoring

1 05, 2023

REFORM221

2023-05-01T11:25:10-04:00May 1st, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment:  Fed Contemplates Supervisory Reform, Promises Regulatory Rewrite

In this and subsequent reports, we build on our initial reactions to SVB/SBNY reports from the Fed, FDIC, and GAO, focusing in more depth on the agencies’ plans for near-term action with strategic consequence and key points in the GAO’s report that will strongly influence Hill reactions on both sides of the aisle.  Informed by today’s rescue of First Republic – on which more is to come from us shortly – FedFin starts here with the Fed, not going into detail on the results of its extensive fact-finding unless new facts are likely to influence near-term policy and political response.  As previously noted, the Fed’s report acknowledges serious supervisory shortcomings, with the detailed analysis concluding that the “root cause” of this is “difficult to ascertain, especially given the impact of the pandemic on remote supervision in 2020 and 2021.”

 

REFORM221.pdf

27 04, 2023

DAILY042723

2023-04-27T17:05:53-04:00April 27th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

House GOP Presses Entirely New Digital Asset Jurisdictional Framework

Before today’s HFSC Subcommittee session on digital asset regulatory gaps began, full committee Chairman McHenry (R-NC) and House Ag. Committee Chairman Thompson (R-PA) along with Reps. Hill (R-AR) and Johnson (R-AL) issued a joint statement emphasizing that inter-committee collaboration will characterize future legislative efforts and announcing that the committees will hold a joint hearing next month.  Opening the hearing, Subcommittee Chairman Hill argued that Congress must act to resolve definitional and jurisdictional disagreements between the SEC and CFTC.  He also called for a disclosure regime tailored to the specific needs of digital asset purchasers.  Ranking Member Lynch (D-MA) sided with SEC Chairman Gensler’s views that most digital assets are securities and also defended the current regulatory regime.

Daily042723.pdf

14 04, 2023

Al041723

2023-04-14T16:38:08-04:00April 14th, 2023|3- This Week|

So Much to Do…

Last week, we continued our assessment of the policy questions confronting federal regulators and Congress as they simultaneously investigate recent failures and position themselves to get as much out of them as possible to achieve long-cherished reform goals.  Although there will be no decisive action until the Fed and FDIC submit their reports and answers to lots of letters that trickle in, important directional signs are coming into view.

Al041723.pdf

12 04, 2023

DAILY041223

2023-04-12T17:20:45-04:00April 12th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Hill Charts Different FDIC Course

In remarks today, newly-confirmed Republican FDIC Vice Chairman Travis Hill for the first time lays out his thinking ahead of a raft of FDIC decisions in SVB’s wake.

CFPB UDAAP Policy Now Effective

The Federal Register today includes the CFPB’s policy statement expanding the scope of the Bureau’s UDAAP framework, which is now effective upon this publication.

Scott Lays Out Housing Plan

In conjunction with advancing his Presidential campaign, Senate Banking Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) late yesterday announced his new federal housing framework via planned legislation, the Renewing Opportunity in the American Dream (ROAD) to Housing Act.

Basel Turns to Capital, LCR Revamp

The Basel Committee’s head, Pablo Hernández de Cos, today spoke out strongly against regulatory liberalization, implicitly criticizing the U.S. tailoring rules and urging jurisdictions to adhere tightly to Basel’s “multi-metric” standards given their proven value in the recent crisis.

Daily041223.pdf

11 04, 2023

DAILY041123

2023-04-11T16:56:01-04:00April 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB-NY Finds Still Sticker Deposit Rates, Tougher Fed Policy Transmission

A new post from Federal Reserve Bank of New York staff concludes that, even as deposit funding declines, banks remain liquid due to less rate-sensitive sources such as time deposits and FHLB advances.  As we noted when assessing a prior FRB-NY deposit post, these analyses go beyond conventional deposit-flight and unfair-competition arguments to show the complexity of funding-market behavior during periods of rising interest rates.  The latest post brings the prior study through the end of 2022, showing continuing lags between the fed funds rate and interest-bearing deposit rates through the fourth quarter.

Chopra Wants Expanded FDIC Coverage, Payment-System Guardrails, Comp Reform

In remarks today, CFPB Director Chopra called for tailoring DIF assessments to protect community banks and to expand coverage to payroll and certain other accounts.  He also said that current law may give regulators the tools needed to deal with viral runs via systemic designations for certain payment systems and/or providers.  He did not explain how this would be accomplished in practice (e.g., mandatory speed bumps, etc.).

Daily041123.pdf

11 04, 2023

FedFin Assessment: Top Brainard, Gruenberg Regulatory Rewrites

2023-04-11T16:52:14-04:00April 11th, 2023|The Vault|

In this report, we drill down on prior forecasts (see Client Report REFORM219) of near-term regulatory action to identify the revisions sure to be prioritized as NEC Director Brainard and FDIC Chairman Gruenberg seek to reverse rules finalized over their objections when they were in the minority.  Ms. Brainard does not have a direct role dictating what the Fed will do given central-bank independence, but she has a good deal of influence as evidenced most recently by the White House action list.  Acting Comptroller Hsu was not casting formal votes over these years, but he was an influential staff leader in this area and clearly has his own list – see for example his efforts on bank merger and resolution policy (see FSM Report RESOLVE48).  We expect he will concur with Vice Chairman Barr and Mr. Gruenberg if they all advance the rewrites to the tailoring rules to which Ms. Brainard and Mr. Gruenberg so strongly objected….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

11 04, 2023

REFORM220

2023-04-11T10:41:47-04:00April 11th, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Assessment: Top Brainard, Gruenberg Regulatory Rewrites

In this report, we drill down on prior forecasts (see Client Report REFORM219) of near-term regulatory action to identify the revisions sure to be prioritized as NEC Director Brainard and FDIC Chairman Gruenberg seek to reverse rules finalized over their objections when they were in the minority.  Ms. Brainard does not have a direct role dictating what the Fed will do given central-bank independence, but she has a good deal of influence as evidenced most recently by the White House action list.  Acting Comptroller Hsu was not casting formal votes over these years, but he was an influential staff leader in this area and clearly has his own list – see for example his efforts on bank merger and resolution policy (see FSM Report RESOLVE48).  We expect he will concur with Vice Chairman Barr and Mr. Gruenberg if they all advance the rewrites to the tailoring rules to which Ms. Brainard and Mr. Gruenberg so strongly objected.

REFORM220.pdf

3 04, 2023

REFORM219

2023-04-03T11:07:12-04:00April 3rd, 2023|5- Client Report|

FedFin Forecast: Probable Changes to Bank Supervision, Regulation, Law

With Thursday’s White House announcement, we know that the Administration will do its best to support Fed and FDIC efforts to color recent events as a failure of Republican-led rulemaking, not also one of agency supervisory acumen, speed, and even competence.  So far, key Democrats are instead pursuing a two-track strategy:  complaining mightily about Trump-era rules but also joining with Republicans to cite an array of supervisory lapses they want quickly remediated by new standards, new rules, and – if need be – also by new law.  Indeed, on Friday, Democrats made it clear that they want considerably more from the Administration than the fixes on which the agencies prefer to focus.  Given how much is in motion and how much could advance, this report details FedFin’s forecast for near-term action in each of these arenas, focusing on matters with broad industry impact rather than specific SVB/Signature- enforcement issues.  We thus provide forecast for immediate supervisory actions, those Congress will demand, new rules (tailoring and beyond), and the few legislative initiatives we believe have a reasonable chance of passage and Presidential approval.

REFORM219.pdf

20 03, 2023

Karen Petrou: Three Fast, Urgent Fixes to U.S. Bank Supervision and One Major Change to End Bailouts

2023-03-20T11:35:24-04:00March 20th, 2023|The Vault|

In the wake of recent bank failures, much has rightly been said about how supervisors failed to act even though warning claxons blared.  Nothing that happened to Silvergate, SVB, or Signature is due to forces beyond supervisory control, but there are deep, structural weaknesses in how banks have long been supervised.  How long?  I went back to my 2001 Senate Banking testimony about what was then the largest-ever failure to find that many of the lessons that should have been learned never sunk in.

Given that this hearing was in 2001, a good deal of what I said about bank capital requirements was about Basel I and is thus long out of date.  However, one key point isn’t:  the capital triggers used to spark prompt corrective action (PCA) were and are an unduly-simplistic way to identify the need for rapid supervisory intervention.

Silvergate, SVB, and Signature were all “well” capitalized right up to the brink of collapse because each of the banks in its own way arbitraged the capital rules to enormous – and obvious – advantage.  Nothing in law or rule bars bank supervisors from stepping in well before PCA ratios sink but nothing seems to stir supervisors to do so.  1991’s PCA requirements were an important advance at the time, but it was outdated only a decade later.  Now, it’s a dangerous supervisory distraction.

What else noted in 2001 remains an urgent fix?  Over two decades ago, I urged the FDIC to reinstate the high-growth early-warning system it …

20 03, 2023

M032023

2023-03-20T11:35:13-04:00March 20th, 2023|6- Client Memo|

Three Fast, Urgent Fixes to U.S. Bank Supervision and One Major Change to End Bailouts

In the wake of recent bank failures, much has rightly been said about how supervisors failed to act even though warning claxons blared.  Nothing that happened to Silvergate, SVB, or Signature is due to forces beyond supervisory control, but there are deep, structural weaknesses in how banks have long been supervised.  How long?  I went back to my 2001 Senate Banking testimony about what was then the largest-ever failure to find that many of the lessons that should have been learned never sunk in.

m032023.pdf

Go to Top