#treasury

6 03, 2023

Karen Petrou: Why Way-Woke Won’t Work in 2023

2023-03-06T16:31:48-05:00March 6th, 2023|The Vault|

The fact that both the House and Senate passed a Congressional Review Act resolution overturning the Department of Labor’s ESG standards makes it clear that striking an anti-woke blow is deemed good politics by red and purple politicians. The President’s certain veto also makes it clear that a blue man sees matters quite differently, as did 204 House Democrats and 46 of their Senate colleagues. This stalemate will continue for changes to federal law, but it won’t stop Republicans from taking a lot out on financial regulators and big banks that they can’t get into the law books. Thus, anyone deemed even a bit woke-ful will get an earful.

Even if all these excoriations are only rhetorical, they will prove meaningful because even federal regulators immune from the appropriations process are susceptible to political influence – as well they should be if they are not also to be unaccountable. That anti-wokeness is already making its mark is evident in many ways, most recently in the inter- agency crypto-liquidity risk statement at great pains to refute any Republican suggestion that tough new standards amount to a blanket ban on engaging in any form of legal cryptoasset activity. In essence, the new statement says, “banks can do crypto if it’s legal, but they almost surely shouldn’t do crypto because it’s way risky and we’re watching.”

To be sure, anything crypto isn’t always toxic. Another way the agencies will handle accusations that they are conducting a stealth-woke anti-crypto campaign is to make it …

21 11, 2022

FedFin on: Treasury Plumbs the Depth of Nonbank Finance, Seeks New Merger Policy, Rules

2022-11-22T13:19:47-05:00November 21st, 2022|The Vault|

As promised, this report provides an in-depth analysis of Treasury’s report and resulting recommendations to the President’s Competition Council on the impact of new nonbank consumer-finance entrants from a competition, consumer-protection, and financial-stability perspective.  Although the report calls for reconsideration of bank-merger policy with an eye to the growing role of fintechs and bigtechs, its overall view of market power fails in our view to capture the actual landscape in which…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

14 11, 2022

FedFin on: Treasury Inches Closer to All-to-All Trading

2022-11-14T16:01:03-05:00November 14th, 2022|The Vault|

Building on our initial assessment, this report goes in-depth into the Treasury assessment of the market for its obligations and reforms necessary to avert another dash for cash.  Although the Federal Reserve, which participated in this study along with other agencies, indicated in 2020 it will review the supplemental leverage ratio (SLR) to…

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

17 10, 2022

Karen Petrou: Fed Financial Losses and Big-Bank Political risk

2022-10-17T15:39:27-04:00October 17th, 2022|The Vault|

Congress will do nothing about anything until the midterm election seals each Member’s fate.  Thus, I expect nothing to come from Congress in 2022 responding to the Fed’s sudden turn for the financial worst.  However, when Congress again comes to thinking about the Fed, it will not go unnoticed despite all the acrimony about monetary-policy miscues that taxpayers are in some ways now far more clearly subsidizing payments to banks, MMFs, and other financial companies holding deposits with the central bank or using its standing market windows.  The last time Congress thought about interest rates on reserves (IRR), more than a few Members wanted it back.  Given that these payments are now at what seems direct taxpayer cost, they’ll have a lot of new friends in the next Congress unless someone quickly shows why these interest payments are an artifact of Fed confusion, not big-bank malfeasance.

Yes, I know – the $2.9 billion loss the Fed reported in terms of Treasury remittances for the first week of October isn’t a direct taxpayer subsidy any more than the hundreds of billions the Fed has sent to the Treasury since 2008 are funds directly taken from taxpayers.  The ups and downs of Fed remittances are the result of balance-sheet operations comprised of liabilities owed to financial companies and earnings on assets in the Fed’s portfolio.  Neither is direct spending nor revenue raising.  This is, though, a technicality for Members of Congress who have become used to having the Fed – and …

26 09, 2022

Karen Petrou: Nonbanks Win Big

2022-09-27T10:49:12-04:00September 26th, 2022|The Vault|

As our in-depth reports detailed, Treasury took the President’s policy edicts to heart when crafting a new digital-finance policy for the U.S.  Treasury could have ducked some hard decisions via laudatory rhetoric, but it chose instead to recommend specific policies that cut a new path to a U.S. CBDC and crypto regulation.  Our reports detail key policy decisions and what’s soon to be done with them, but one warrants even more immediate attention:  Treasury’s decision to adhere not just to the President’s executive order on crypto-finance, but also to another on increasing financial sector competition.  This puts banks on notice that not all have yet taken.

Overlooked in much analysis of Treasury’s sweeping reports is its call to break up what Treasury clearly sees as the monopoly banks have long enjoyed over payment-system access.  Treasury for example argues that many banks have exited retail remittances even though these are critical to financial inclusion and leaves the market ill-served.  Indeed, it wants nonbanks to obtain overall instant-payment access, saying:

Network effects support the adoption of instant payment systems: Widespread use makes it more likely that a payor can use an instant payment system to make a payment to a payee, increasing the system’s value. …  Broadening the range of financial institutions that are eligible to participate in instant payment systems, as certain foreign jurisdictions have done, could help to enhance speed and efficiency, competition, and inclusion in payments, including for cross-border payments.

The problem with Treasury’s call for payment-system …

23 09, 2022

FedFin on: Digital Asset AML/CFT Compliance

2022-09-30T12:01:32-04:00September 23rd, 2022|The Vault|

Treasury is seeking comments on issues raised by the President’s executive order (EO) on digital assets to guide further work curbing illicit-finance and national-security risks in this sector.  The request includes no policy discussion beyond introductory comments about the risks identified in Treasury’s reports, but the range of questions suggests openness to at least some industry-supported compliance and reporting systems that …

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

22 09, 2022

FedFin on: The Cryptoverse Has A Big Black Hole

2022-09-30T12:03:14-04:00September 22nd, 2022|The Vault|

In this report, we follow our earlier analysis of Treasury’s CBDC recommendations and housing finance  with an analysis of another Treasury report in response the President’s executive order focused on the overall construct of cryptoassets in the U.S.  Treasury here makes its views even clearer than it did when favoring a CBDC.  It simply sees no “natural use case” for…

The full report is available to subscription clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here.…

21 09, 2022

FedFin Analysis: Treasury Sees Few Crypto Benefits, Much Risk to Contain and Control

2022-09-30T12:11:23-04:00September 21st, 2022|The Vault|

We follow our prior in-depth analysis of Treasury’s CBDC and payments report (see Client Report CBDC14) with a detailed assessment of the Department’s assessment of overall cryptoasset policy.  We noted on Friday key recommendations and turn here to a more in-depth assessment of Treasury’s reasoning, recommendations, and likely action.  This section of the response to the President’s executive order (see Client Report CRYPTO26) is notably uncharitable to cryptoassets, observing that broader use cases beyond trading and lending within the crypto verse have yet to materialize and may never do so….

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

12 09, 2022

Karen Petrou: When Crypto Arrogance is Criminal Contempt

2022-10-17T15:44:34-04:00September 12th, 2022|The Vault|

Bankers are often said to live in isolated splendor.  There’s truth to this, but banker insularity is nothing compared to the astonishing effrontery of cryptoasset executives who think their self-assured brilliance puts them above not just the law, but even concern for the public good.  Nothing argues more compellingly for immediate, stringent crypto regulation than the outrage with which crypto companies have greeted Treasury’s demands – request failed to work – that they cease facilitating the kind of dark-money transactions that fund Russian war crimes, North Korean nuclear-obliteration threats, and webs of human trafficking, narcotics smuggling, and general evil around the world.  These companies clearly cannot govern themselves and they must thus be quickly and sharply made to do so for everyone else.

What brought this issue to a head is the self-righteous fury with which crypto companies view Treasury’s efforts to make them comply with the same sanctions rules demanded of anyone dealing in any other form of money.  Somehow, money in digital form is money that can do no wrong because, we are told, those who use crypto-currency – apparently unlike users of any other form of a medium of exchange — have a right to do so as they wish.

This omnipotent perspective is clearly evident in last week’s Coinbase suit against the U.S. Treasury on grounds that sanctioning a crypto “mixer”, Tornado Cash, trampled on so many First Amendment rights that press stories giving its side of the case had space only to list a few.  …

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