#Brown – Federal Financial Analytics

18 04, 2024

DAILY041824

Eliza Allen2024-04-18T17:08:48-04:00April 18th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

G7 Backs NBFI Reform

Although prioritizing Ukraine and broad statements about the global economy, the new statement from G7 finance ministers and central bankers also emphasizes the need to pursue the kind of NBFI reforms advanced yesterday by the FSB.

Bowman Battles New Liquidity Regs

FRB Gov. Bowman today reiterated her conviction that sufficient contingency funding should be a matter between banks and supervisors, not a cause for new rules.

Brown, Reed Press Big Banks on Wire Transfer Fraud

Building on their longstanding campaign pressing banks on Zelle, Senate Banking Chair Brown (D-OH) and Sen. Reed (D-RI) today sent letters to the CEOs of JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and Citi stating that banks have a responsibility to proactively monitor and prevent fraudulent wire transactions and should reimburse customers when these obligations are not met.

House Select Committee Targets Index-Fund Chinese Investments

Building on its prior report pressing financial institutions to address exposures to China and potential systemic risks, the House Select Committee on the CCP today released a bipartisan report sharply criticizing index-fund and asset managers for investing American savings in sanctioned Chinese companies associated with the PLA and/or human-rights abuses.

Daily041824.pdf…

17 04, 2024

DAILY041724

Eliza Allen2024-04-17T17:36:07-04:00April 17th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

Global Regulators Tackle NBFI Margining, Collateral Transformation

As it has long promised, the FSB today issued a consultation on standards designed to buttress derivatives, commodity, and securities-financing markets under stress through more stringent margining and collateral requirements.

Basel Head Says Go Slow re AI Risk, Supervisory Models

Basel’s Secretary General, Pablo Hernández de Cos, today focused on AI’s risk-reward profile in the banking sector, concluding that it raises a series of profound questions global regulators must work cooperatively to address.

Lummis, Gillibrand Begin Senate Stablecoin Debate

As long anticipated, Sens. Lummis (R-WY) and Gillibrand (D-NY) today introduced a significantly revised version of their 2022 Bill (see FSM Report CRYPTO28) laying out U.S. stablecoin standards.

FIO Subpoena Power Faces Rollback

At HFSC’s mark-up today, the committee began with Rep. Fitzgerald’s (R-WI) Insurance Data Protection Act, H.R. 5335, which would repeal the Federal Insurance Office’s authority to subpoena insurance companies for data collection.

HFSC Likely to Pass RegTech Bill

At HFSC’s extended mark-up today, the committee turned to H.R. 7437, a bipartisan bill that would require federal banking regulators to regularly review and report to Congress on their use of technology to ensure they’re equipped to address threats to the financial system.

HFSC Set to Pass AOCI Recognition, Systemic-Risk Designation Study Measures

Continuing our coverage of today’s mark-up, HFSC was generally supportive of the two bills on the agenda from Democrats, H.R. 4206 from Rep. Sherman (D-CA) requiring large banks with available for sale securities to mark to market …

8 04, 2024

Karen Petrou: Why Lowering Interest Rates Now Makes Housing Even More Unaffordable

Shane Smith2024-04-08T09:30:15-04:00April 8th, 2024|The Vault|

As we’ve noted, Sen. Warren and a raft of progressive Democrats are emphatically demanding that the Federal Reserve lower interest rates to promote affordable housing. However, as a new Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas note confirms, low rates don’t necessarily make it easier to buy a home because house prices generally rise as rates fall. Worse still, ultra-low real rates eviscerate not just the ability of all but the well-heeled and -housed to save for a down payment, but also for much else that ensures economic resilience and long-term security. Simply put, lower for longer makes the U.S. still more economically unequal, not exactly what progressives want.

The assumption in Sen. Warren’s letter and a like-kind one from Chair Brown is that lower mortgage rates reduce the carrying cost of a mortgage and thus make it easier for lower-income households to qualify for a loan. However, this seemingly-obvious conclusion assumes that housing markets are static and, as any real-estate agent will tell you, they aren’t.

When rates go down, demand goes up and prices do the same. Or, as the Dallas Fed study observes, a one-percentage-point hike in short-term rates usually lowers house prices by 7.5 percent over two years. Just as intuition suggests that easy money spurs homebuying, so it is that tight money reduces demand and prices respond accordingly.

Or, they do in a normal market and there haven’t been any of these since the Fed sent interest rates below inflation-adjusted zero in 2008 and kept them …

12 03, 2024

DAILY031224

Eliza Allen2024-03-12T16:59:10-04:00March 12th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

Hsu Says Opsrisk Not Cured by Capital, Liquidity

In remarks today on operational resilience, Acting Comptroller Hsu notes that operational risk is not “a problem that capital or liquidity can solve.” Karen Petrou has noted this most recently with regard to the operational-risk capital rules included in the current proposal, which are founded on the longstanding regulatory assumption that capital indeed buffers operational risk.

Senate Talk of Affordable Housing Turns to FHLB Role

At today’s Senate Banking Committee affordable-housing hearing, Chairman Brown (D-OH) again called for the Fed to cut interest rates to address the crisis. The hearing also touched on the role FHLBs can play, with Sen. Lummis (R-WY) stating her intentions to work with the system to expand its impact on the housing supply shortage.

CFPB to Proceed to Mortgage-Fee Rulemaking

NEC Director Brainard today said that the CFPB will pursue a rule or similar action to curtail mortgage-closing “junk” costs along the lines we identified following last week’s Bureau post in conjunction with the new White House competition strike force.

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7 03, 2024

DAILY030724

Eliza Allen2024-03-07T16:51:03-05:00March 7th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

HFSC GOP Press Discount-Window Reform, Slow-Go on Liquidity Risk

Building on questioning at a recent HFSC hearing (see Client Report LIQUIDITY34), Financial Institutions Subcommittee Chair Barr (R-KY) led all Republican members of his subcommittee in a letter to Chair Powell, Chair Gruenberg, and Acting Comptroller Hsu urging them to address stigma and operational issues associated with the discount window.

Powell Reiterates: Capital Rules Will Change

Today’s Senate Banking hearing with Chair Powell covered much of the same ground as the Chair’s appearance before HFSC (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE75) with Democrats focusing on housing affordability and Republicans expressing their satisfaction with Mr. Powell’s statement that the Basel III proposal may have to be withdrawn and re-proposed.

House Judiciary Now Says 12 Large Banks Colluded with FinCEN

Prior to the House Judiciary’s Select Subcommittee on the Weaponization of the Federal Government hearing today on large bank “collusion,” the subcommittee yesterday published a report finding that FinCEN and the FBI engaged in backchannel discussions with large financial institutions to gather private financial data.

BCBS Proposes GSIB Window-Dressing Revisions

As anticipated, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision today released a consultation on revisions to the GSIB assessment framework concerning window dressing.

House Republican Targets Interest on Reserves

Following up on yesterday’s HFSC hearing (see Client Report FEDERALRESERVE75), Rep. Davidson (R-OH) has introduced legislation (H.R. 7562) to prevent Federal Reserve Banks from paying interest on excess reserves.

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20 02, 2024

DAILY022024

Eliza Allen2024-02-20T17:06:56-05:00February 20th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

Waters Fails to Muster Meaningful Democratic Capital-Proposal Protest

Late Friday, HFSC Ranking Member Waters (D-CA) released another letter from Democrats protecting the pending capital proposals.

Fed Study: CBDC Impact on Dollar Dominance, Payment System Depends on Many Decisions

A new Fed staff study finds that a U.S. CBDC would have only a marginal impact on the dollar’s role as the reserve currency and within the payment system, although this conclusion depends on a raft of decisions now being made about other CBDCs and the cross-border payment system.

Sanders Targets BlackRock’s Market Power

We will shortly provide clients with an update on Congressional reaction to the C1/Discover merger earlier today, but here draw client attention to a new letter from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), sure also to be among the credit-card consolidation’s fiercest critics.

Brown Presses Powell for Enforceable Ethics Standards

Senate Banking Chair Brown today renewed his campaign against Fed conflict-of-interest policies, sending another letter to Chair Powell arguing that the Fed’s recent internal-investment and ethics standards are unenforceable.

Initial Response to C1/Discover Merger Starts M&A Debate

With Congress in recess, political response to the Capital One/Discover merger has been muted in terms of sparse comments, but fiery when it comes to Sen. Warren (D-MA).

Daily022024.pdf…

15 02, 2024

DAILY021524

Eliza Allen2024-02-15T17:13:22-05:00February 15th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

Bowman Focuses on Inclusive Cross-Border Payments

FRB Gov. Bowman today emphasized that national and global payment-system improvements must not only work for the financial system and payment providers, but also for end-users and broader inclusive growth. This is a policy challenge that, she said, cannot be resolved only by technology.

Senate Dems Resume Attack on Zelle

Retreating from his stand during a recent hearing that seemed to absolve Zelle (see Client Report PAYMENT28), Senate Banking Chairman Brown, (D-OH) along with Sens. Warren (D-MA) and Reed (D-RI), today sent a letter reiterating calls for Zelle to clarify its reimbursement policy for impostor scams. The letter also demands that Zelle revise its reimbursement policy to cover other scams and to and streamline its reporting process, demanding a new public commitment to doing so.

Waller Sees Impregnable Dollar Dominance

FRB Gov. Waller today mounted a strong defense not only of the dollar as the globe’s reserve currency under current conditions, but also even as digital currencies become more widely deployed. This stand is consistent with those at the FRB opposing proposals in Congress to advance a CBDC on grounds that it is essential to preserve reserve-currency status (see FSM Report CBDC10) and signals no interest in the U.S. central bank to making any other payment-system changes to press sanctions policy with the dollar’s dominance in mind.

Daily021524.pdf…

30 01, 2024

DAILY013024

Eliza Allen2024-01-30T17:13:26-05:00January 30th, 2024|2- Daily Briefing|

FinCEN Estimates High Bank-BOI Reporting Costs

FinCEN via the Federal Register today requested comment on the estimated total annual reporting and recordkeeping burden for new Access Rule beneficial ownership information (BOI) reporting requirements (see FSM Report AML135).

Brown Puts More Pressure on Powell

Following Sen. Warren’s rate-cut demands and affordable housing concerns yesterday, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Brown (D-OH) today sent a letter to FRB Chair Powell also calling for less restrictive monetary policy on grounds that elevated rates negatively impact home affordability, limit the housing supply, restrict small business growth, and dampen wages.

HFSC Targets China Sanctions, Outbound Investments

Today’s HFSC National Security Subcommittee Hearing focused on China sanctions and restrictions on outbound investments.

GOP Demands Retraction of CFPB Tech-Payment Proposal

Reiterating their opposition to the Bureau’s pending digital-payment rule (see FSM Report PAYMENT27), HFSC Chairman McHenry (R-NC) alongside Digital Assets Subcommittee Chairman Hill (R-AR) and Rep. Flood (R-NE) sent a letter today urging the CFPB to reopen and extend the comment period and reconsider finalizing the rule as proposed.

Daily013024.pdf…

26 01, 2024

Al012624

Arezou Rafikian2024-01-26T16:10:55-05:00January 26th, 2024|3- This Week|

Here We Go Again

Late last week, Bloomberg reported that the same kind of interest-bearing stablecoin products that wreaked havoc in 2023 and even some that purport to offer checking accounts are proliferating again with kudzu’s tenacity. Offshore trading volumes for stablecoins grew 28 percent to almost touch $1 trillion at the end of last year, a move said to be bolstered by larger reserve assets at the largest stablecoin issuers. The problem is that other than the case-by-case enforcement actions that drove this market offshore, there is still no U.S. law or rule to protect investors and, as stablecoins head over the $1 trillion hump, also the financial system. Will that change this year?

Al012924.pdf…

19 01, 2024

Al012224

Arezou Rafikian2024-01-19T16:12:35-05:00January 19th, 2024|3- This Week|

Keep Those Cards and Letters…

Although the comment deadline on the capital standards (see FSM Report CAPITAL230) closed last Tuesday, Members of Congress viewed that deadline with the same insouciance they adopt for keeping the federal government open. That is, they got around to it when they felt like it. As a result, letters on the capital rule keep coming in and FedFin analyses keep sending you summaries of each of their key points. As Karen Petrou’s Monday memo will lay out, the most surprising aspect of most of the letters from Democrats is how guardedly they express support for the capital proposal.

Al012224.pdf…