#GSIB – Page 3 – Federal Financial Analytics

19 10, 2023

DAILY101923

Eliza Allen2023-10-19T16:30:42-04:00October 19th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

OIG Blasts FDIC’s Crypto-Policy Delay

Late yesterday, the FDIC’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) issued a report critical of the FDIC’s supervisory crypto policy.

Fed May Signal Possible Compromise as GOP Barr Demands Capital Answers

Amid press reports that Chair Powell has implicitly promised capital-rule compromise, HFSC Financial Institutions Chair Barr (R-KY) released a letter today pressing Vice Chair Barr still harder on the cost-benefit analytical (CBA) and cumulative-impact issues raised at the September hearing at which Karen Petrou testified.

Fed Data Show Increases in Household Financial Resilience, Profound Home-Affordability Gap

The Federal Reserve yesterday released its triennial Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF). As always, we here highlight data with financial-policy implications; Petrou blogs and other releases will update economic-equality indicators.

BIS Head Calls for Review of Large Bank Supervision

BIS General Manager Agustin Carstens today said that the mid-March failures show the need for nations to review how they supervise larger banks, specifically highlighting liquidity risk and setting frameworks for emergency liquidity assistance.

OCC Analysis Shows Broad IRR Resilience With Startling Risk Pockets

Showing some pockets of severe risk but overall resilience, the OCC today released a statistical analysis of interest rate risk based on projected changes in twelve-month net interest income as well as the economic value of equity in parallel interest rate shock scenarios ranging from -200 basis points to +400 bps.

CFPB Thinks Big on Open Banking

As anticipated, the CFPB today advanced from a review of consumer data rights (see FSM Report…

11 10, 2023

DAILY101123

Eliza Allen2023-10-11T16:47:36-04:00October 11th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Bowman Targets U.S. Leverage Ratio, NBFIs

In remarks during the Morocco IMF/Bank meeting today, FRB Gov. Bowman contrasted U.S. bank resilience with the IMF’s findings yesterday on potential vulnerabilities as rates rise and macroeconomic conditions soften.

FSB Reiterates Stability Concerns

The FSB’s latest work plan reiterates all it most recently said to the G20.

CFPB Barrels Down on “Basic” Banking Fees

In conjunction with a new White-House junk-fee initiative, the CFPB today issued “guidance” – i.e., essentially a final rule – banning large banks and credit unions from collecting “unreasonable” fees for what the Bureau considers reasonable and “basic” account information.

SEC Throws Wrench into TLAC Standards

As we noted yesterday, the FSB’s assessment of the global resolution framework’s effectiveness found significant glitches it urges national regulators quickly to address via standards such as those now pending in the U.S. to bring smaller banking organizations into the resolution-planning regime (see FSM Report LIVINGWILL23).

OFR Study: Short-Selling Does Not Harm Financial Stability

OFR today released a model-based study that finds no evidence that short-selling adversely affects financial stability.

Daily101123.pdf…

10 10, 2023

DAILY101023

Eliza Allen2023-10-10T16:46:21-04:00October 10th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Barr Stands Firm on Capital Rewrite

In remarks yesterday, Vice Chair Barr made it clear that, no matter all the industry and Republican pressure, the Fed believes the pending capital rewrite has no material problematic consequences and is necessitated by recent events.

FSB Calls for Continued Improvements in Cross-Border Payments

Following its cross-border payments roadmap, the FSB today released two progress reports finding that further work is needed in ensuring payment system interoperability, establishing common data standards for payments messages, developing tools needed for APIs, and providing a vehicle for the investigation of legal, regulatory and supervisory frameworks.

FSB Presses for Better Smaller-Bank, GSIB Resolvability

Following Basel’s review late last week on the 2023 crash (see Client Report REFORM228), the FSB today released its assessment of implications for GSIB resolution. Basel’s report acknowledged challenges in this area, but largely focused on what we call Basel V.

Fed Finalizes DIHC Insurance-Capital Construct

As promised in the bank-capital proposals (see FSM Report CAPITAL230), the FRB Friday voted 6-0 to finalize long-pending standards for insurance-focused depository institution holding companies.

GOP Hikes Pressure on Iran Payment, Sanctions

Presaging likely HFSC hearings and delays in regular committee action, Ranking Member Scott (R-SC) today called for Secretary Yellen to testify in front of Senate Banking to explain why $6 billion is being released to Iran and to identify any sanctions gaps.

Bowman Pursues Barr, Array of Recent Fed Actions

Continuing her opposition to much of what Vice Chair Barr is doing, …

5 10, 2023

DAILY100523

Eliza Allen2023-10-05T16:36:40-04:00October 5th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Kanter, Khan Mount Stout Defense of Draft Merger Guidelines

FTC Chair Khan and DOJ Assistant AG Kanter today defended the agencies’ draft merger guidelines (see FSM Report MERGER12) on grounds that they are faithful to congressional intent, reflect core legal principles, are more accessible and easier to apply, and better reflect the modern competitive landscape.

Basel Plans NBFI Ops-Risk Supervisory Standards, Continuing Review of Bank Supervision, New Disclosures

The Basel Committee today released its long-awaited report on 2023 vulnerabilities, deciding based on it to prioritize new supervisory approaches and additional analytical tools.

Bipartisan Bill Provides Transaction Account Deposit Insurance

Following Chairman Gruenberg’s remarks yesterday highlighting targeted deposit insurance reform, Sens. Manchin (D-WV), Braun (R-SD), and Hickenlooper (D-CO) yesterday introduced legislation to reinstate the Transaction Account Guarantee (TAG) program, expanding deposit insurance to non-interest bearing transaction accounts up to $10 million.

FDIC Proposes Public-Good Policy for IDI Corporate Governance

The FDIC today announced the Board’s 3-2 approval of an NPR establishing guidelines on corporate governance and risk management for FDIC-supervised IDIs with over $10 billion in assets.

Daily100523.pdf…

4 10, 2023

DAILY100423

Eliza Allen2023-10-04T16:40:00-04:00October 4th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

Bowman Unbending in Demands for Better Reg Analytics, Community-Bank Mergers

In what might have been only perfunctory introductory remarks, FRB Gov. Bowman today instead continued her all-out campaign to force far more independent research before the Fed finalizes pending rules.

Brown Asks for No Wells Fargo Mercy

Senate Banking Chairman Brown (D-OH) today sent a letter to FRB Vice Chair Barr and OCC Acting Comptroller Hsu taking serious issue with what he calls unfair labor relations practices, consumer abuses, and compliance failures at Wells Fargo, urging the regulators to take stronger action to change the bank’s culture.

McKernan Counters Gruenberg on Endgame’s Nonbank Effects

Fleshing out official comments made in dissent against pending rules, FDIC Board member Jonathan McKernan today countered Chair Gruenberg’s recent comments that any migration of bank activities to nonbanks due to the capital rules should not be considered in the regulatory process.

Gruenberg Reiterates His Top Risk Worries

As with Gov. Bowman earlier today, FDIC Chair Gruenberg used his remarks later in the day to emphasize continuing concerns: in this case, uninsured deposits, maturity mismatches, and rapid growth.

Daily100423.pdf…

2 10, 2023

DAILY100223

Eliza Allen2023-10-02T16:36:52-04:00October 2nd, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FRB FAQs Open a Small, But Significant Capital Window

In what Reuters takes as a sign of hope that the end-game rules may not be as crushing as banks fear, the FRB has issued a new FAQ related to credit-linked notes and SPVs.

Bowman Turns to Specific Supervisory Reforms

In remarks today, FRB Governor Bowman expanded on her prior comments about Fed supervisory lapses, but made it clear that she also opposes a “heavy-handed” supervisory approach that relies primarily on call report data, instead calling for a new approach to CAMELS and regular engagement with financial institutions to express areas of concern or to better understand a bank’s strategic direction.

Fed OIG re Silvergate: Far More Scathing re Supervision, Need for New Guidance

The OIG report today from the Fed regarding supervisory lapses at Silvergate is considerably less expansive than the prior report on SVB because the parent company remains open despite the IDI’s voluntary liquidation and relevant data are thus deemed confidential.

Barr Presses Emergency-Window Readiness

FRB Vice Chair Barr’s comments today on monetary policy and financial stability provide a detailed rationale for addressing the linkages between these two arms of the Fed’s mandate without any specific steps for doing so.

Daily100223.pdf…

29 09, 2023

DAILY092923

Eliza Allen2023-09-29T16:49:25-04:00September 29th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

FSB Head Signals Limits on – Not Just Look at – NBFI Leverage

As the FSOC finalizes a new U.S. systemic framework, FSB chair Klaas Knot today told the FT that the Board along with international standard-setters is conducting a review of nonbank leverage in an effort to improve bank-NBFI interconnections and ultimately limit nonbank borrowing. The express focus on specific leverage constraints goes beyond the FSB’s more general statements to date. Mr. Knot also highlighted imposing tougher collateral requirements for investment fund borrowing against higher-risk securities.

OIG: FDIC Inability to Deploy OLA Acute, Could Hike Systemic Risk

The FDIC’s OIG today released a polite, but still withering criticism of the FDIC’s inability to use OLA over a decade after Dodd-Frank gave it sweeping powers to address systemic-risk resolutions without resorting to bailouts. Specifically, the OIG found that, while the FDIC has made some progress readying OLA-readiness since 2010, it failed to establish key elements needed to use this authority under stress, especially if this stress occurred in an entity other than a U.S. GSIB holding company. However, the FDIC is not operationally ready to resolve a GSIB HC under OLA, nor does it have policies, procedures, or the operational capacity to do so for other entities or in scenarios where multiple systemic-risk failures are possible.

Daily092923.pdf…

26 09, 2023

DAILY092623

Eliza Allen2023-09-26T16:36:09-04:00September 26th, 2023|2- Daily Briefing|

BIS Analysis Blasts Lax Capital Regs, But We See Study Flaws

A new BIS paper uses confidential data to defend tough regulatory capital charges because bank internal measures of expected loss (EL) are “excessively optimistic.” However, this critique in our view is applicable only to internal models. It might be said that standardized-approach charges are also unduly optimistic if based on EL, but the entire Basel construct is intended to cover only EL, with loan-loss reserves, capital-conservation-buffers, the leverage ratio, and stress tests supposed to do the rest.

Basel Sees Large Bank Capital Improvements, Slight Liquidity Reductions

The Basel Committee today released the results of its monitoring exercise for the second half of 2022, finding that the largest banks’ capital ratios increased above pre-pandemic levels while liquidity coverage ratios declined. Under the fully phased-in Basel III framework, the average common equity tier 1 capital ratio increased from 12.5% to 12.7% for Group 1 banks from the first half of 2022 to the end of the year. Group 1 banks also reported regulatory capital shortfalls of $3.42 billion under this framework as of December 31, 2022, all of which was GSIB Tier II capital.

Daily092623.pdf…

18 09, 2023

FedFin on: Large-IDI Resolution Plans

Arezou Rafikian2023-09-19T18:09:58-04:00September 18th, 2023|The Vault|

Although a pending FDIC/FRB proposal imposes a raft of new requirements for resolution plans from IDIs with over $100 billion in assets, the FDIC has also issued a freestanding proposal doing the same, also setting information-filing standards for IDIs below $100 billion but above $50 billion. Aspects of the resolution-plan filing standards for large covered IDIs (CIDIs) echo and in some cases allow reliance on aspects of the joint rule with the Fed, but the FDIC notes that this rule is, as required by the Dodd-Frank Act, focused on financial stability. Its own IDI resolution rules now and as proposed instead address how the FDIC is to meet its own statutory requirements (e.g., least-cost resolution). The NPR mandates many new planning or filing requirements to achieve its goals, most notably adding new severability standards that may require new inter-affiliate or -branch firewalls that reduce operating efficiencies and, when it comes to broker-dealer or other entities, lead to indirect resolution requirements not mandated by functional regulators.

The full report is available to retainer clients. To find out how you can sign up for the service, click here and here.…

15 09, 2023

Al091823

Eliza Allen2023-09-15T16:53:45-04:00September 15th, 2023|3- This Week|

Let It Be Resolved…

Or, maybe not. As detailed below, FedFin has delved into the depths of three new proposals designed to ensure that any big U.S. bank that isn’t made still more impregnable by all the new rules proposed and to come is also indestructible. Karen Petrou has written about the wisdom – if there is any – of making big banks de facto utilities, but this will occur only if all of the new rules work as intended. We’ve had our doubts about that with regard to recent proposals, and our review of the new resolution proposals raises still greater concerns.

Al091823.pdf…